Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication following hip fracture surgery in older adults. This study aimed to identify predictors of postoperative AKI and evaluate its association with short-term complications after extracapsular hip fracture surgery.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study was conducted using TriNetX Analytics, a federated electronic health record network of 109 United States healthcare organizations (2015-2025). Adults aged ≥ 65 years undergoing extracapsular hip fracture surgery (CPT 27244/27245) were included; those with prior AKI (ICD-10-CM N17) were excluded. Propensity score matching was performed 1:1. Predictors were assessed using Cox proportional hazards modeling and postoperative complications were compared using risk ratios, odds ratios, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.
Results
Among 46,287 eligible patients, 1,413 matched pairs (n=2,826) were analyzed. Predictors of postoperative AKI included Black race (HR=1.64), White race (HR=1.21), elevated preoperative serum chloride (HR=1.04), bicarbonate (HR=1.03), creatinine (HR=1.18), and decreased serum protein (HR=1.11). Protective factors included Hispanic/Latino ethnicity (HR=0.70), preoperative opioid use (HR=0.58), elevated serum sodium (HR=0.97), and Tdap vaccination (HR=0.82). Postoperative AKI was associated with increased 30-day risk of myocardial infarction (RR=8.01), sepsis (RR=5.99), respiratory failure (RR=5.30), arrhythmia (RR=2.22), deep vein thrombosis (RR=1.98), transfusion (RR=1.92), and mortality (RR=2.22).
Conclusions
Postoperative AKI was independently associated with increased short-term morbidity and mortality following extracapsular hip fracture surgery in older adults. Recognition of perioperative risk factors may support earlier identification and targeted strategies to reduce AKI incidence and improve postoperative outcomes.
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication defined by the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria as a rapid decline in kidney function, marked by a rise in serum creatinine (SCr) or a reduction in urine output.1 This complication occurs in approximately 22% of hospitalized patients and is associated with significant adverse outcomes, including increased mortality, prolonged hospital stays, higher healthcare costs, and a greater risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular events.2-4
Surgical patients are particularly vulnerable to AKI due to perioperative hemodynamic instability, fluid shifts, blood loss, rhabdomyolysis, and exposure to nephrotoxic agents.5
Postoperative AKI is defined as occurring when KDIGO criteria for AKI are met within seven days of surgery, is most prevalent in cardiac and emergency procedures, and is associated with higher rates of morbidity, mortality, and re-hospitalization.6 Identified risk factors include male sex, preoperative hypertension (HTN), CKD, diabetes, anemia, and intraoperative hypotension.7,8
In orthopaedic surgery, AKI occurs in 3.7-11% of patients undergoing elective lower limb arthroplasty and in up to 21% of patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, with affected individuals experiencing increased risk of postoperative stroke, pneumonia, sepsis, venous thromboembolism, and respiratory failure.9-12 Risk factors in this population include elevated body mass index (BMI), diabetes, CKD, and low preoperative hemoglobin levels.13
Hip fractures are a particularly common and costly clinical issue. In 1990, the global incidence of hip fractures was 1.3 million, and due to population aging, it is projected to rise to 7 to 21 million by 2050.14 Extracapsular femur fractures, specifically intertrochanteric, peritrochanteric, and subtrochanteric types, account for over 40% of all hip fractures, 44% of the annual direct medical costs associated with hip fractures in the United States (U.S.) ($2.63 billion out of $5.96 billion) and are associated with higher surgical complexity and bleeding risk.15,16 Despite this, limited data exists on postoperative AKI specifically in the extracapsular fracture population, with existing studies often restricted by small sample sizes and single-center designs.17,18
The primary aim of this study is to identify predictors of postoperative AKI in hospitalized patients aged ≥ 65 years undergoing surgery for extracapsular hip fractures. Secondary aims include comparing short-term postoperative outcomes between patients who develop postoperative AKI and those who do not, with the goal of improving clinical risk stratification and outcomes in this high-risk population, as well as increasing awareness of possible complications in patients with AKI.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the TriNetX analytics platform (Cambridge, Massachusetts), a federated electronic health record (EHR) network that aggregates de-identified patient data from 109 healthcare organizations (HCOs) across the U.S. This analysis accessed data from 52 HCOs on July 30, 2025. Because the data are de-identified, this study was exempt from Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval and was conducted in accordance with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA).
Patients aged ≥ 65 years who underwent surgical treatment of extracapsular hip fractures, specifically intertrochanteric, peritrochanteric, and subtrochanteric femur fractures, between January 1, 2015 and July 30, 2025 were included. This timeframe was selected to ensure diagnostic consistency following the adoption of the International Classification of Disease, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) in the U.S. Surgical patients were identified using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes 27244 and 27245. Patients were excluded if they had a diagnosis of AKI (ICD-10-CM N17) at least one day prior to the date of surgery.
Two cohorts were created: the AKI cohort included patients diagnosed with AKI within seven days following hip fracture surgery, and the non-AKI cohort included patients without an AKI diagnosis within this postoperative window. The index event was defined as the date of hip fracture surgery to ensure the AKI was related to the fracture.
Data extracted included demographics, comorbid diagnoses, laboratory values, vital signs, medications, and procedures, and diagnoses identified using ICD-10-CM codes. Laboratory values and vital signs were grouped using TriNetX-curated codes, medications were classified using the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC), Veterans Affairs (VA), and RxNorm coding systems, and procedures were identified using CPT codes (Supplemental Material 1).
To reduce confounding, 1:1 nearest-neighbor propensity score matching (PSM) without replacement was performed using the Compare Outcomes tool. Matching variables included components of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (Supplemental Material 2). All covariates were time-restricted to data collected up to one day before surgery. Balance between matched cohorts was evaluated using density plots and standardized mean differences (SMDs).
Preoperative characteristics were compared before and after matching using the Baseline Comparison tool. Variables were selected, time-restricted, and binned according to clinically relevant cutoffs. Results were reported as means ± standard deviations (SD), counts, percentages, p values, and SMDs.
A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify independent predictors of postoperative AKI. Covariates were categorized as binary or continuous and were selected and time-restricted in the same manner as the baseline comparison (Supplemental Material 1). The outcome was postoperative AKI (ICD-10-CM N17) occurring from the date of surgery to 30 days postoperatively. Model outputs included hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), standard errors (SE), and p values.
Postoperative complications occurring within 0-30 days of surgery were assessed using the Explore Outcomes tool. Events were selected for clinical relevance (Supplemental Material 3) and analyzed individually using two statistical methods: Measures of Association, which reported risk ratios (RR), risk differences (RD), and odds ratios (OR) with 95% CIs, and Kaplan-Meier Analysis, which reported survival probabilities, HRs, log-rank test results, p values, and proportionality tests results. Patients with pre-existing outcomes were excluded from analyses.
Results
A total of 46,287 patients met inclusion criteria. Prior to matching, 1,414 patients in the AKI cohort and 28,732 patients in the non-AKI cohort had complete data available for analysis. After 1:1 PSM, 1,413 matched pairs (2,826 total patients) were included in the final analysis. After matching, baseline covariates were well-balanced with minor residual imbalances noted in age, ethnicity, BMI, and select preoperative laboratory values (Table 1 and Supplemental Material 4).
Baseline Characteristics of the Acute Kidney Injury and Non-Acute Kidney Injury Cohort Before and After Propensity Score Matching
Cox proportional hazards modeling identified several independent predictors of postoperative AKI (Table 2 and Figure 1). Black or African American race (HR = 1.64; CI = 1.30-2.07) and White race (HR = 1.21; CI = 1.06-1.39) were associated with increased risk of AKI, while Hispanic or Latino ethnicity (HR = 0.70; CI = 0.55-0.88) was identified protective. Higher preoperative chloride (HR = 1.04; CI = 1.02-1.05), bicarbonate (HR = 1.03; CI = 1.01-1.05), SCr (HR = 1.18; CI = 1.07-1.31), and decreased serum protein levels (HR = 1.11; CI = 1.01-1.21) were identified as predictors. Conversely, higher sodium levels (HR = 0.97; CI = 0.95-0.99), preoperative opioid use (HR = 0.58; CI = 0.52-0.65), Tdap vaccination (HR = 0.82; CI = 0.72-0.94), and primary HTN (HR = 0.88; CI = 0.79-0.99) were protective factors.
Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis of Matched Cohorts
Forest plots of hazard ratios from cox proportional hazards model
Measures of Association analysis revealed that AKI was significantly associated with increased 30-day risk of multiple adverse outcomes (Table 3 and Figure 2). Patients in the AKI cohort had a higher risk of developing myocardial infarction (MI) (RR = 8.01; CI = 4.17-15.39), sepsis (RR = 5.99; CI = 3.54-10.12), respiratory failure (RR = 5.30; CI = 3.76-7.46), stroke (RR = 2.58; CI = 1.65-4.03), arrhythmia (RR = 2.22; CI = 1.63-3.02), deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (RR = 1.98; CI = 1.15-3.42), transfusion (RR = 1.92; CI = 1.65-2.24), and mortality (RR = 2.22; CI = 1.63-3.02).
Measures of Association Analysis of Matched Cohorts
Forest plot of risk ratios from measures of association analysis dashed line at HR = 1. Solid markers indicate statistical significance. Abbreviations: MI, myocardial infarction; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; PE, pulmonary embolism
Kaplan-Meier analyses showed lower 30-day survival probabilities in the AKI cohort for MI (93.92% vs. 99.23%), sepsis (92.75% vs. 98.77%), respiratory failure (84.66% vs. 97.04%), stroke (95.13% vs. 98.12%), arrhythmia (96.23% vs. 98.34%), and transfusion (71.27% vs. 85.08%) (all p < 0.01). Corresponding HRs for these outcomes ranged from 2.06 to 8.20, with AKI also associated with increased mortality (HR = 2.33; CI = 1.69-3.20).
Discussion
This large, multi-center cohort study of adults aged ≥ 65 years undergoing surgical treatment of extracapsular hip fractures found postoperative AKI to be a common complication associated with significantly increased risks of short-term adverse outcomes. Matched analyses identified nonmodifiable predictors of postoperative AKI to be Black or African American and White race and modifiable predictors to be elevated preoperative chloride, bicarbonate, SCr, and decreased preoperative serum protein levels. Conversely, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, preoperative Tdap vaccination, preoperative opioid use, and elevated preoperative serum sodium levels were protective, though these associations warrant further investigation. Patients who developed postoperative AKI experienced significantly higher 30-day risks of MI, sepsis, respiratory failure, stroke, arrhythmia, DVT, blood transfusion, and mortality.
Prior studies have identified an association between preoperative electrolyte abnormalities and postoperative AKI within the orthopaedic population.9,19 Additionally, a relationship between impaired baseline renal function, including increased preoperative SCr and bicarbonate levels, has been established by prior research in both general surgical and orthopaedic populations.5,7,11,13,19 The present study supports these findings, highlighting the importance of electrolyte balance and renal stabilization prior to hip fracture surgery in this high-risk population. Notably, this study found increased preoperative serum sodium to be a protective factor against postoperative AKI. This finding warrants future investigation given the identification of electrolyte abnormalities and baseline renal function as risk factors for postoperative AKI.
The association between preoperative anemia, hypoalbuminemia, and hypoproteinemia has been established previously.6,7,20 This study found reduced preoperative serum protein levels to be an independent risk factor for postoperative AKI, reflecting the importance of hemodynamic stabilization.
Prior studies have found hip fracture patients who developed postoperative AKI to have higher morbidity rates and comorbidity burden, specifically cardiovascular complications, thromboembolism, and respiratory failure.12 The present study also found postoperative AKI patients had higher rates of similar complications. These findings reflect the necessity of adequate screening protocols for AKI in this high-risk population, as well as the need for preventative measures prior to hip fracture surgery.
Of note, the current study identified Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, preoperative opioid use, and Tdap vaccination as predictors of postoperative AKI. These findings should be interpreted with caution and are best considered hypothesis-generating. Current literature does not strongly support these associations, and they may reflect unmeasured confounders or proxies for other factors such as healthcare access, baseline medical optimization, or differences in perioperative monitoring. Further investigation is necessary to determine whether these associations represent true protective effects or residual confounding.
These findings have important clinical implications for perioperative risk stratification in older adults undergoing hip fracture surgery. Several of the identified predictors of AKI, including electrolyte abnormalities and decreased serum protein levels, represent potentially modifiable preoperative factors. Optimization of fluid status, correction of electrolyte imbalances, and attention to nutritional status prior to surgery may help reduce the risk of postoperative AKI in this high-risk population. Because many of these laboratory markers are routinely obtained during preoperative evaluation, they may serve as practical indicators to guide perioperative optimization strategies to help mitigate the risk of postoperative AKI.
This study had several limitations. First, the use of ICD-10-CM codes to define AKI may under detect subclinical AKI and does not differentiate between AKI stages or severity. Second, the retrospective design precludes causal inference, and residual confounding may persist despite PSM. Third, key intraoperative variables could not be accessed by the TriNetX platform. Finally, coding variations and site-level differences may cause residual bias. Despite these weaknesses, this study identified several predictors and outcomes of postoperative AKI that strengthen prior studies, as well as various possibly novel variables that warrant further investigation.
Conclusion
Postoperative AKI is a frequent and clinically significant complication among older adults undergoing extracapsular hip fracture surgery. This study identified several independent predictors, including preoperative serum markers, race, and comorbid conditions, and highlighted a substantially increased risk of short-term complications and mortality in patients who developed AKI. A future meta-analysis that affirms all predictors induced in this study as well as previous studies that these findings highlight would also be particularly useful. These findings underscore the need for improved preoperative risk stratification and tailored interventions aimed at reducing the incidence and downstream consequences of postoperative AKI in this high-risk population.
Supplemental Material
Supplemental Material - Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Older Adults With Extracapsular Hip Fractures
Supplemental Material for Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Older Adults With Extracapsular Hip Fractures by Elizabeth Nocera, Dilan Prasad, Monica DiFiori and Saqib Rehman in Geriatric Orthopaedic Surgery & Rehabilitation.
Supplemental Material
Supplemental Material - Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Older Adults With Extracapsular Hip Fractures
Supplemental Material for Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Older Adults With Extracapsular Hip Fractures by Elizabeth Nocera, Dilan Prasad, Monica DiFiori and Saqib Rehman in Geriatric Orthopaedic Surgery & Rehabilitation.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The authors thank the Lewis Katz School of Medicine and Temple University Hospital Department of Orthopaedic Surgery & Sports Medicine for institutional support. The authors have no additional acknowledgements to declare.
ORCID iDs
Elizabeth Nocera
Dilan Prasad
Monica DiFiori
Ethical Considerations
Due to the retrospective and anonymized nature of the data for this non-interventional study, ethical approval and consent to participate were waived.
Author Contributions
• Elizabeth Nocera, BS: conceptualization, data curation, formal analysis, methodology, visualization, drafting of the manuscript
• Dilan Prasad, BS: data curation, methodology, results verification, manuscript review and editing
• Monica DiFiori, MD: clinical guidance, interpretation of the findings, critical manuscript revision
Publication of this article was funded in part by the Temple University Libraries Open Access Publishing Fund.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
Dr. Saqib Rehman reports receiving royalties and consulting fees from Globus Medical and is a member of the editorial board of SurgiColl. All other authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Supplemental Material
Supplemental material for this article is available online.
References
1.
KellumJALameireNKDIGO AKI Guideline Work Group. Diagnosis, evaluation, and management of acute kidney injury: a KDIGO summary (Part 1). Crit Care. 2013;17(1):204. doi:10.1186/cc11454.
HosteEABagshawSMBellomoR, et al.Epidemiology of acute kidney injury in critically ill patients: the multinational AKI-EPI study. Intensive Care Med. 2015;41(8):1411-1423. doi:10.1007/s00134-015-3934-7.
4.
SeeEJJayasingheKGlassfordN, et al.Long-term risk of adverse outcomes after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies using consensus definitions of exposure. Kidney Int. 2019;95(1):160-172. doi:10.1016/j.kint.2018.08.036.
ProwleJRForniLGBellM, et al.Postoperative acute kidney injury in adult non-cardiac surgery: joint consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative and PeriOperative Quality Initiative. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2021;17(9):605-618. doi:10.1038/s41581-021-00418-2.
7.
MathisMRNaikBIFreundlichRE, et al.Preoperative Risk and the Association between Hypotension and Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury. Anesthesiology. 2020;132(3):461-475. doi:10.1097/aln.0000000000003063.
8.
Abi MoslehKLuLSalameM, et al.Assessment of predictors of acute kidney injury and progression to chronic kidney disease following bariatric surgery. Surg Obes Relat Dis. 2025;21(4):382-388. doi:10.1016/j.soard.2024.10.025.
9.
HancıVÖzbilginŞBaşçıOÖmürDBoztaşN. Acute kidney injury after major orthopedic surgery: A retrospective study of frequency and related risk factors. Acta Orthop Traumatol Turc. 2022;56(4):289-295. doi:10.5152/j.aott.2022.22048.
10.
LeeYJParkBSParkS, et al.Analysis of the risk factors of acute kidney injury after total hip or knee replacement surgery. Yeungnam Univ J Med. 2021;38(2):136-141. doi:10.12701/yujm.2020.00542.
11.
FergusonKBWinterARussoL, et al.Acute kidney injury following primary hip and knee arthroplasty surgery. Ann R Coll Surg Engl. 2017;99(4):307-312. doi:10.1308/rcsann.2016.0324.
12.
GantaAParolaRPerskinCRKondaSREgolKA. Risk factors and associated outcomes of acute kidney injury in hip fracture patients. J Orthop. 2021;26:115-118. doi:10.1016/j.jor.2021.07.019.
13.
FarrowLSmillieSDuncumbJ, et al.Acute kidney injury in patients undergoing elective primary lower limb arthroplasty. Eur J Orthop Surg Traumatol. 2022;32(4):661-665. doi:10.1007/s00590-021-03024-x.
AdeyemiADelhougneG. Incidence and Economic Burden of Intertrochanteric Fracture: A Medicare Claims Database Analysis. JB JS Open Access. 2019;4(1):e0045. doi:10.2106/jbjs.oa.18.00045.
16.
MattissonLBojanAEnocsonA. Epidemiology, treatment and mortality of trochanteric and subtrochanteric hip fractures: data from the Swedish fracture register. BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2018;19(1):369. doi:10.1186/s12891-018-2276-3.
17.
ChoWHwangTYChoiYK, et al.Diastolic dysfunction and acute kidney injury in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Kidney Res Clin Pract. 2019;38(1):33-41. doi:10.23876/j.krcp.18.0083.
18.
KangJSMoonKHYounYHParkJSKoSHJeonYS. Factors associated with postoperative acute kidney injury after hip fractures in elderly patients. J Orthop Surg (Hong Kong). 2020;28(1):2309499019896237. doi:10.1177/2309499019896237.
19.
AgarAGulabiDSahinA, et al.Acute kidney injury after hip fracture surgery in patients over 80 years of age. Arch Orthop Trauma Surg. 2022;142(9):2245-2252. doi:10.1007/s00402-021-03969-y.
20.
LiZCPuYCWangJWangHLZhangYL. The prevalence and risk factors of acute kidney injury in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery: a meta-analysis. Bioengineered. 2021;12(1):1976-1985. doi:10.1080/21655979.2021.1926200.
Supplementary Material
Please find the following supplemental material available below.
For Open Access articles published under a Creative Commons License, all supplemental material carries the same license as the article it is associated with.
For non-Open Access articles published, all supplemental material carries a non-exclusive license, and permission requests for re-use of supplemental material or any part of supplemental material shall be sent directly to the copyright owner as specified in the copyright notice associated with the article.