Abstract
Objective:
This study aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
Methods:
Eligible articles were searched from PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. In addition, Google Scholar and reference lists of the retrieved articles were searched from 30 July 2022 to 02 January 2023. The preferred reporting of items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis was used to report the search results. Microsoft Excel was used to keep the data. The qualities of eligible studies were checked using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal checklist for prevalence studies. Analysis was held using STATA Version 11. The degree of heterogeneity was checked using
Results:
We identified 21 eligible articles including 20,757 subjects. Of those participants, 10,601 (51.1%) and 10,156 (48.9%) were males and females, respectively. A total of 15,152 (73%) participants were urban residents. The estimated prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia was found to be 5.26% (95% confidence interval: 4.09–6.42).
Conclusions:
The prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia is considerable, affecting one in 20 school-age children. Therefore, the authors recommend the stakeholders take extra steps to speed up the implementation of the school vision screening program and its integration plan into the existing school nutrition program.
Introduction
Refractive errors (REs) happen as a consequence of disparities in axial length with respect to the total refractive power of the eye or refractive power of the cornea and crystalline lens with respect to the axial length of the eye. 1 Lack of exact matching of the axial length and the optical power of the eye during the early years of eye growth results in the development of REs.1,2 Uncorrected RE has been the leading cause of visual impairment (VI) in the world. 3
Myopia, also known as near-sightedness, is a common form of RE where close objects appear clear, but distant objects appear blurry 4 and it is also defined as a spherical equivalent (SE) of ⩽−0.50 diopter (D) on either eye. 5 The condition can be corrected using spectacles, contact lenses, and/or refractive surgery. 6 Unless early innervations are considered, it has a great influence on the public health and socioeconomic well-being 7 of the country because myopia is one of the known causes of VI. Authors believe that if there is no evidence, there is no intervention at all. As of Holden et al., 7 the 2020 estimated prevalence of myopia for each global burden of disease region between 2000 and 2050 were 33.9% and 8.4% globally and in East Africa, respectively.
Justification of this systematic review and meta-analysis
Myopia is considered one of the rising public health issues, especially in individuals who spend considerable amounts of time on near tasks, 8 and recommendations are pinpointed for epidemiological evidence on the theme.5,9 In addition, previously published articles indicated that the prevalence of myopia in Ethiopia varied from 0.02% to 16.05%.10,11 This indicates that evidence on the theme in Ethiopia from individual articles was staggering here and there. Thus, the authors believed that using meta-analysis may provide a comprehensive pooled prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia. Furthermore, a larger-scale systematic review and meta-analysis done by Ovenseri-Ogbomo et al. 12 on the prevalence of myopia in African school children included only three previous works to represent myopia in school children in Ethiopia. However, the authors believed that there were missing papers that were ignored by previous publications.12,13 As a result, the authors conducted this review to clear the doubt about the precision of the extent of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia. Therefore, the authors estimated the pooled prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia with the maximum effort to include all the potential papers.
This systematic review and meta-analysis can provide evidence for policymakers and planners to design strategies to reduce the negative consequences of myopia among school-age children in the country.
Objective
To estimate the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
Methods
This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) 2020. 14
Searching strategy
The search addressed the databases such as PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science as a source of information. In addition, Google Scholar and the reference list of the retrieved eligible studies from 30 July 2022 to 02 January 2023. These databases were searched using MeSH (Medical Subject Headings) terms and keywords: (“REs” (All Fields) OR “Myopia” (All Fields) OR “Myopia” (MeSh Terms) OR “Short-sightedness” (MeSh Terms) OR “Near-sightedness” (MeSh Terms) OR “VI” (All Fields) AND “school children” (All Fields) OR “school students” (All Fields) AND “Ethiopia” (All Fields)). In addition, manual searching was done for the reference lists of all the retrieved articles. When the outcome is not clearly specified, the authors contacted the corresponding authors of the suspicious papers for further information. Two of the review members (MML and FK) performed an independent systematic search and screening for the articles from 30 July to 02 January 2023. The PRISMA flowchart was used to show the process of selecting eligible articles.
Eligibility criteria
The participants and outcome for this review were school-age children and myopia, respectively.
Inclusion criteria
This review included studies that explained the refraction technique or not. That was done with the sole aim to increase the representativeness of the study population.
Any degree of myopia (SE of ⩽−0.50 D) was accommodated in this systematic review and meta-analysis.
All studies performed on the theme of myopia, REs, and VI that reported the outcome of interest were considered for this review without restriction based on the sex and residence of study participants.
A cross-sectional study design and survey studies with a clear description of sampling techniques were incorporated in this review.
The articles that were published in the English language were included in the review.
The decision on whether to include the articles in the meta-analysis was made by two independent reviewers (MM and FK). To resolve disagreements between the reviewers, the mean value of the quality score of the studies was taken to reach a consensus.
Exclusion criteria
Non-full-text articles, case reports, case series, editorials, and proceedings were excluded from this analysis.
Quality assessment
The quality of the selected article was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) critical appraisal checklist 15 which was prepared for prevalence studies. Using that checklist as a tool, the reviewers (MM, AY, and FK) did an independent review to evaluate the quality of the original articles. Each article was checked for its quality and if it satisfied the necessary criteria outlined on the checklist, a score of one was given for each question. However, the failure to satisfy a criterion scored zero. Then, the risks for biases were classified as high (total score of 0–2), moderate (total score of 3–4), and low (total score of ⩾5) out of nine. Conflicting rates were resolved by taking the mean score of the reviewers’ quality assessment score to reach on consensus.
Data extraction and management
The data extraction and storage were employed using Microsoft Excel. The extraction of each eligible article included the following: Authors name, year of publication, study design, sample size, sex, method of REs assessment (cycloplegic vs non-cycloplegic), the technique of refraction to reach the final decision of the RE (objective vs subjective refraction), the prevalence of myopia, and the response rate. Where the reported prevalence of myopia was not clearly defined, the corresponding author in the published article was contacted for clarification.
Statistical analysis
In this meta-analysis, studies that reported myopia were considered for quantitative synthesis. The analysis was done using STATA V. 11 software. The primary articles included in this meta-analysis were summarized using tables and forest plots. The standard error (SE) of the prevalence of myopia for the original articles was calculated using the formula √(
The possible source (s) of heterogeneity was examined using meta-regression models. The point estimates, the pooled estimates, their 95% confidence intervals, and their corresponding weights were presented using a forest plot.
The potential publication bias was assessed subjectively using a funnel plot and objectively using Begg’s and Egger’s tests at a 5% significance level. 17 Duval and Twee Die’s trim-and-fill analysis was applied to adjust a potential publication bias that was noticed in the test for publication bias.
Subgroup analysis
The subgroup analysis was performed on the prevalence of myopia based on sex, resident year of publication, refraction technique (cycloplegic or non-cycloplegic), and meta-regression output.
Results
Searching results
In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched for articles by 02 January 2023 to study the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia. A total of 2100 articles were identified through Pub Med, Embase, Web of Science, and a search engine like Google Scholar, and a check of reference lists of identified articles, accordingly.
A total of 1350 papers remained after the removal of duplicates. Then, authors excluded a total of 1154 based on their titles and 58 based on their abstracts. In addition, about 108 and 3 full-text articles were excluded because they were conducted outside Ethiopia and were meta-analyses, respectively.
In total, 27 full-text studies were assessed for eligibility based on the set criteria. Six articles were found to be ineligible for this meta-analysis because three of them do not fit the target population,18–20 and four articles have not reported the outcome of interest.21–23 A total of 21 articles were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis (Supplemental Figure 1 and Table 1).
Description of original articles included in the study of the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia (
NE: not explained; NR: not reported; C: cycloplegic; NC: non-cycloplegic.
Description of articles included in this review
All the included articles were cross-sectional studies. The meta-analysis covered eligible studies from 2000 to 2022. In the identified eligible articles, the lowest sample size used by an article was 313 (
Meta-analysis
Prevalence of myopia in school-age children
We performed a random effect model to estimate the overall pooled prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia due to high heterogeneity (

Forest plot representing the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia (
Of 21 included articles, only eight articles (
Publication bias and meta-regression
The publication bias was checked using a funnel plot, Egger’s, and Begg’s tests. The funnel plot showed an asymmetric distribution (Supplemental Figure 4). In addition, Egger’s (
In the meta-regression results, the heterogeneity was explained by sample sizes (
Meta-regression analysis results in the study of pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
Furthermore, Duval and Twee Die’s trim-and-fill analysis42,43 was held due to the significant publication bias revealed by Egger’s (
Sensitivity and subgroup analyses
The existence of a single study effect on the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia was checked using meta-influence analysis. No study significantly influenced the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia (Figure 2).

A forest plot representing the effect of the given named study is omitted from the pooled estimate of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
In a subgroup analysis, the prevalence of myopia among school-age children was 5.40% (95% CI: 3.49–7.41) based on the study’s results that did cycloplegic refraction. The finding of myopia was 8.35% (95% CI: 6.40–10.29) based on the study that applied non-cycloplegic refraction. The prevalence of myopia was 3.79% (95% CI: 2.31–5.26) in studies that did not explain the refraction technique that they used to attain the amount of RE (Table 3).
The subgroup analysis of the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
Based on the year of publication, in studies that were conducted prior to 2015, the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children was 4.94% (95% CI: 3.50–6.38). However, based on the studies that were done from 2015 to 2022, the estimated prevalence of myopia was 5.38% (95% CI: 3.97–6.79) (Table 3).
Based on the sample size, those studies that included study participants of >1000 indicated the prevalence of myopia as 3.69% (95% CI: 2.09–5.30), while those 13 studies that incorporated study participants of <1000 in combination gave the prevalence of myopia as 6.50% (95% CI: 4.57–8.43) (Table 3).
Based on the resident included studies of participants, the prevalence of myopia among urban, rural, and in studies that include both urban and rural school-age children were 5.47% (95% CI: 4.07–6.86), 4.36% (95% CI: 1.07–7.65), and 5.03% (95% CI: 1.93–8.13), respectively (Table 3).
Discussion
In this study, the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia was 5.26% (95% CI: 4.09–6.42). In terms of sex, the prevalence of myopia was 3.95% (95% CI: 2.51–5.39) and 2.91% (95% CI: 1.73–4.08) among female and male school-age children, respectively. The prevalence of myopia based on the refraction technique was 5.40% (95% CI: 3.40–7.41) and 8.35% (95% CI: 6.40–10.29) for the cycloplegic versus non-cycloplegic category, respectively. The pooled prevalence of myopia for studies conducted before 2015 was 4.94% (95% CI: 3.50–6.38), and it was 5.38% (95% CI: 3.97–6.79) for studies conducted from 2015 to 2022. Based on the sample size that the studies included, the prevalence of myopia was 3.69% (95% CI: 2.08–5.30) and 6.5% (95% CI: 4.57–8.43) for studies that used a sample size of >1000 and <1000, respectively. Interims of residency of the study participants, the prevalence of myopia among school-age children was 5.47% (95% CI: 4.07–6.86), 4.36% (95% CI: 1.07–7.65), and 5.03% (95% CI: 1.93–8.13) for urban, rural, and both, respectively.
In the systematic review and meta-analysis conducted by Naidoo et al. 44 in 2020, uncorrected refractive errors (UREs) account for 20.88% and 12.40% of blindness worldwide and in Eastern sub-Saharan Africa, respectively. The same study revealed that moderate and severe VI due to URE accounts for 53.88% and 48.46% globally and in Eastern sub-Saharan Africa, 44 respectively.
In Ethiopia, the estimated prevalence of blindness and low vision due to URE was 7.8% and 33.4%, respectively. 45 Furthermore, the meta-analyses on the prevalence of REs among school students; the one conducted to estimate VI due to REs among children and adolescents, and the other stated VI among school children in Ethiopia reported 7.36% 13 and 6%, 46 and 6.13%, 47 respectively. However, those findings were based on a limited number of studies. Visually impaired children are three times more likely to fail at least one grade level. 48
As a part of REs, myopia is an emerging public health problem worldwide. 7 Its 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050 projection in East Africa ranges from 8.4% to 22.7%, 7 indicating nearly 4%–6% additional increment in the prevalence of myopia throughout every decade.
As of 25 January 2023, the population of Eastern Africa was greater than 474 million, 49 and Ethiopia is the most populous country in East Africa with a total population of more than 122 million. 49 In Ethiopia, as reported by Addis Standard on 22 October 2022, the 2022–2023 academic year school enrolment was 16.3 million leaving 13 million eligible children out of school 50 (i.e., 29.3 million eligible school-age children in Ethiopia). Also, a manual prepared for school vision screening by the Ministry of Health in 2021 indicated that children under the age of 15 years account for 45% of the total population of the country (i.e., Ethiopia). 48 Studies revealed that school-age children are the most exposed group to myopic RE51,52 due to the greater intensity of near activities.53–57 So, this study estimated the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia.
In this meta-analysis, the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia was 5.26% (95% CI: 4.09–6.42). Based on the current eligible school-age children in Ethiopia, 50 at least 1.5 million school-age children are myopic, which is approximately equal to the total population of Ireland 58 and that of Monterrey City, Mexico. 59 This implies that the burden of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia is as huge as observing all individuals in those cited areas visually impaired.
The finding of this meta-analysis (5.26%) is consistent with the results of meta-analyses done in children in India in 2018 (5.3%) 60 and Nepal in 2023 (7.1%). 61 It is also in line with the result of a meta-analysis of childhood myopia and myopia in school children in Africa in 2022 (4.7%)12,62 and comparable with the study finding in Ethiopia among school students (5.10%), 13 based on the results of 16 articles. The similarity in the study results may be due to approximate similarities in the study populations specifically their age. However, the result of this review was lower than a meta-analysis result done by Dutheil et al. 56 (31%) and in Indian school children in 2020 (7.5%). 63 The variation of the results may be explained by the difference in the lifestyle routine (e.g. reading, studying, and using electronic materials for near tasks) of the study participants 64 and the difference in genetic predisposition.
On the other hand, the present meta-analysis showed a higher prevalence of myopia when compared with the result of a meta-analysis conducted in the Middle East Region (4%). 65 The difference in the result might be subjected to the exclusion of studies that performed non-cycloplegic refraction in previous work in the Middle East Region.
In this review, the highest proportion of myopia was among female school-age children in Ethiopia (3.95%; 95% CI: 2.51–5.39). On the other hand, the burden of myopia was lower (2.91%; 95% CI: 1.73–4.08) among male school-age children. This finding is comparable with the previous work conducted by Fahimeh et al. 65 (3.5% among males and 4.2% among females aged 15 years or less). The consistency in the results may be due to the inaccessibility of health care, specifically eye care services. However, the sex-based proportion of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia in the current study is lower than the meta-analysis results in school-age children in Africa. 12 The difference in the study outcome may be due to the variation in ethnicity and race in Africa and within the countries of Africa.
Based on the refraction technique utilized by the included articles, the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children was 5.40% (95% CI: 3.40–7.41) in studies that used cycloplegic refraction. However, the finding was raised to 8.35% (95% CI: 6.40–10.29) in studies that performed non-cycloplegic refraction. This finding is reliable with the study done on African school children. 12 The similarity of the findings might be due to similar inclusion criteria regarding the refraction technique utilized by the original articles. In the studies that did not explain the refraction techniques, the pooled prevalence of myopia was 3.79% (95% CI: 2.31–5.26). This result is lower than the finding in studies that explained the refraction technique they used on the way to detect myopia. The authors’ hypothesis that the lower prevalence of myopia in this category might be due to the smaller sample size (approximately 26% of the total population included in this meta-analysis) in the studies that included estimated myopia although there were no reported refraction techniques by previous original articles.
On the other way, based on the year of publication, in the studies that were conducted prior to 2015, the pooled prevalence of myopia was found to be 4.94% (95% CI: 3.50–6.38). Whereas based on the studies that were conducted from 2015 to 2022, the pooled prevalence of myopia was 5.38% (95% CI: 3.97–6.79). According to the most recent studies, the rising prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia may be due to the shifting nature of lifestyle culture because of technological advancements 66 and due to increasing urbanization. 67
In the current study, the subgroup analysis based on sample size represents that the pooled estimated of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia was 3.69% (95% CI: 2.08–5.30), provided that the included studies recruited >1000 participants (more than 66% of contribution to this meta-analysis) while studies in which <1000 participants were involved shown that the prevalence of myopia was 6.50% (95% CI: 4.57–8.43). The represented cut point was not tested formally, and the authors decided to use this arbitrary cut point to see the effect of sample size on the overall prevalence of myopia. Based on the findings, the authors assume that studies that addressed more than 1000 participants may represent their target population better when compared to their counterparts. Because the pooled results of the studies whose sample sizes >1000 have a narrower confidence interval.
In addition, in this meta-analysis, a subgroup analysis was performed for studies that included urban school-age children (
Generally, myopia is an increasing burden in Ethiopia affecting more than 1.5 million school-age children. This implies that at least 1.5 million of the school-age children in Ethiopia may have impairment in their future lives and may become dependent on others due to the possible complications and irregularities from the rising burden of myopia. In addition, the finding of the present study implies the prevalence of myopia is more common among female school-age children when compared to that of male school-age children. Also, according to this study, the prevalence of myopia based on non-cycloplegic refraction seems overestimated because it is not the recommended refraction technique for the young population in whom the REs can be affected potentially by accommodation. Therefore, the interpretation of the result based on this technique needs caution. As a result, the authors recommend future researchers follow the gold standard approach (i.e., cycloplegic refraction) to investigate the prevalence of myopia in children, provided that using a large sample size as much as possible and encourages emphasis on the population who are perusable at risk.
The strength of this study is that it estimated the pooled prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia. So, it will be an additional input for policymakers and planners and as baseline evidence to execute trends in myopia epidemiology and to establish an early intervention program for school-age children in Ethiopia.
However, the limitation of this study is that it did not report the prevalence of high myopia and the factors that manipulate myopia. In addition, this study included papers that did not declare the method of refraction that they applied to detect myopia.
Conclusion
The prevalence of myopia among school-age children in Ethiopia is considerable, affecting one in 20 school-age children. The analysis is essential to guide future eye health care, the intervention, clinical management, and the betterment of the implementation of the school vision screening program. Therefore, the authors recommend the stakeholders take extra steps to speed up the implementation of the school vision screening program and its integration plan into the existing school nutrition program.
Supplemental Material
sj-docx-1-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 – Supplemental material for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Supplemental material, sj-docx-1-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis by Merkineh Markos Lorato, Ali Yimer and Fassikaw Kebede Bizueneh in SAGE Open Medicine
Supplemental Material
sj-docx-2-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 – Supplemental material for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Supplemental material, sj-docx-2-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis by Merkineh Markos Lorato, Ali Yimer and Fassikaw Kebede Bizueneh in SAGE Open Medicine
Supplemental Material
sj-docx-3-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 – Supplemental material for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Supplemental material, sj-docx-3-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis by Merkineh Markos Lorato, Ali Yimer and Fassikaw Kebede Bizueneh in SAGE Open Medicine
Supplemental Material
sj-docx-4-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 – Supplemental material for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Supplemental material, sj-docx-4-smo-10.1177_20503121231200105 for Prevalence of myopia in school-age children in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis by Merkineh Markos Lorato, Ali Yimer and Fassikaw Kebede Bizueneh in SAGE Open Medicine
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
Researchers who involved in the papers included this meta-analysis.
Authors’ contributions
MML: the conception of the research protocol, analysis, and drafting of the manuscript. AY and FK: designing methods and analysis techniques and reviewing the manuscript. All the authors have read and approved the manuscript.
Availability of data and materials
All relevant data are within the manuscript and on its supplementary materials.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Ethics and consent to participate
Ethics approval and consent are not required.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
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Supplemental material for this article is available online.
References
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