Abstract
Growing efforts in the United Kingdom to establish “triage” programs at the police gateway to the criminal justice system have met mixed success. This article reviews the evaluations of these programs, most of which use clinical rather than actuarial models of forecasting risk. Drawing on a recent experiment in diverting low-risk defendants from prosecution in Birmingham, this article suggests the design and implementation of an actuarial approach to risk assessment that would provide an evidence-based triage tool for processing arrestees in police stations.
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