Abstract
Background
Headache has not been established as a risk factor for dementia. The aim of this study was to determine whether any headache was associated with subsequent development of vascular dementia (VaD), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) or other types of dementia.
Methods
This prospective population-based cohort study used baseline data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT 2) performed during 1995–1997 and, from the same Norwegian county, a register of cases diagnosed with dementia during 1997–2010. Participants aged ≥20 years who responded to headache questions in HUNT 2 were categorized (headache free; with any headache; with migraine; with nonmigrainous headache). Hazard ratios (HRs) for later inclusion in the dementia register were estimated using Cox regression analysis.
Results
Of 51,383 participants providing headache data in HUNT 2, 378 appeared in the dementia register during the follow-up period. Compared to those who were headache free, participants with any headache had increased risk of VaD (n = 63) (multivariate-adjusted HR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.4–3.8, p = 0.002) and of mixed dementia (VaD and AD (n = 52)) (adjusted HR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.1–3.5, p = 0.018). There was no association between any headache and later development of AD (n = 180).
Conclusion
In this prospective population-based cohort study, any headache was a risk factor for development of VaD.
Introduction
Dementia, the most common neurological disorder among the elderly, has a huge impact on quality of life of those affected and a substantial economic impact on society (1). Risk factors for dementia are of great interest to researchers, clinicians and the public, especially with a view to prevention. In the last decades, several modifiable risk factors have been identified (e.g. obesity, diabetes, hypertension and lipid disorders) (2–4).
Globally, approximately 45% of adults in the general population of the world suffer from an active headache disorder (5). Headache has not been established as a risk factor for dementia. Most research on the relationship between headache and cognition has focused on migraine. A history of migraine is statistically associated with cardiovascular disease (6–9), and with brain white matter lesions appearing as hyperintensities on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (10). Despite this, no previous studies have found migraine (11–15) or nonmigrainous headache (12) to be associated with cognitive decline. The relationship between other primary headache and cognitive decline and dementia is largely unknown, but of interest since nonmigrainous headache, at least in some population-based studies, also has been found to be associated with unfavorable vascular risk profiles (16,17).
However, no population-based follow-up study has evaluated headache as a potential risk factor for dementia. Our purpose in this large prospective study of the general population was to do this.
Methods
This prospective population-based cohort study used baseline data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT 2) performed between August 1995 and June 1997 and, from the same Norwegian county, a register of cases diagnosed with dementia during 1997–2010.
HUNT and diagnosis of headache
In HUNT 2 all inhabitants ≥20 years old of Nord-Trøndelag were invited to participate. Each participant had to complete two extensive questionnaires, and participants were also invited to clinical consultations that included measurements of height and weight. The median number of days between the return of the first questionnaire (Q1) and the day the second questionnaire (Q2) was filled in at home was two days (range 0–30) (18). Among the topics in the Q1 were education, physical activity and smoking. Anxiety and depression were assessed by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) (19). Educational level was categorized according to duration: ≤9 years, 10–12 years or ≥13 years. Cigarette smoking was categorized as “current daily smoking,” “previous daily smoking” or “never daily smoking.” Reponses to questions on physical activity were categorized in declining sequence according to duration and intensity of exercise per week: ≥3 hours’ hard physical activity, one to two hours’ hard physical activity, ≥3 hours’ light physical activity, one to two hours’ light physical activity, or physical inactivity (0 hours). Body mass index (BMI) was calculated and, for the present study, categorized as <25 kg/m2, 25–29.9 kg/m2 or ≥30 kg/m2.
Headache questions in Q2 were designed first to determine whether a participant had a current headache disorder and, if so, the frequency of headache, and second to diagnose migraine by applying modified migraine criteria of the International Classification of Headache Disorders, first edition (ICHD-I) (20,21). Subjects were classified as having any headache when they answered “yes” to the screening question, “Have you suffered from headache during the last 12 months?” and otherwise as headache free. Headache that did not fulfill the criteria for migraine was classified as nonmigrainous. For headache frequency, those with any headache were asked “On approximately how many days per month do you suffer from headache?” and categorized as one to 14 days or ≥15 days. The validity of these questionnaire-based diagnoses has been reported previously (18): for any headache, sensitivity was 85% and specificity 83% (kappa value 0.57); for migraine, sensitivity was 69% and specificity 89% (kappa value 0.59); for migraine with aura, sensitivity was 50% and specificity 100% (kappa value 0.64), for nonmigrainous headache, sensitivity was 61%, specificity 81% (kappa 0.43); and for headache on ≥15 days/month, sensitivity was 38% and specificity 97% (kappa 0.44). In our validation study, 80% of individuals with nonmigrainous headache suffered from tension-type headache (18).
Diagnosis of dementia
A dementia registry had been established in Nord-Trøndelag County by a two-step procedure. First, a computerized search of the administrative patient database of the two hospitals in Nord-Trøndelag (Namsos Hospital and Levanger Hospital) identified patients with any suspected type of dementia in the period between 1995 and 2010. Second, the hospital records of all such patients were reviewed by a diagnostic team of researchers and clinical experts in dementia, consisting of an internist (geriatrist) and two psychogeriatrists. Cases without complete electronic medical records (mainly introduced in year 2000) were excluded. The diagnostic team employed used a conservative diagnostic strategy to minimize bias from misdiagnoses: As a minimum, included cases had been evaluated by clinical experts in dementia and investigated by computerized tomography or MRI of the brain. All cases were diagnosed in two steps, applying first the clinical ICD-10 criteria for dementia (22), then the research ICD-10 criteria for AD and vascular dementia (VaD) (23). Patients with AD were required also to fulfill the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders Association and Stroke-Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorder Association (NINCDS-ADRDA) criteria for this disorder (24), and patients with VaD the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke-Association Internationale pour la Recherche et l’Enseignement en Neurosciences (NINDS-AIREN) criteria for VaD (25). Dementia with Lewy bodies was diagnosed in cases with two of the following three symptoms: fluctuating cognition, visual hallucinations and motor features of Parkinson’s disease. Cases of frontotemporal dementia had documented changes in behavior and personality. Cases of other types of dementia met the general criteria for dementia but not the specific criteria for AD, VaD, dementia with Lewy bodies or frontotemporal dementia.
The dementia registry was linked to data from the HUNT study using the Norwegian 11-digit personal identity number, which is unique to each resident in Norway.
Study populations
In HUNT 2, 64,787 (70%) of 92,936 invited individuals participated, of whom 51,383 (56%) answered the headache questions in Q2. Details of nonresponders have been described previously (21). Individuals who responded to the headache questions tended to be younger, were more likely to be women and had higher socioeconomic status than nonresponders (21).
The population at risk was defined as those susceptible to but free from the dementia in question at the time of HUNT 2. In this study, the population at risk (N = 51,020) included all 51,383 answering the headache questions in Q2 less 363 patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI, n = 35) or with unvalidated diagnoses of dementia (n = 328) (Figure 1) (26).The population at risk was divided into participants with any headache (subdivided into those with migraine and those with nonmigrainous headache) and those who were headache free. From the dementia registry we identified those who later developed dementia, and categorized them according to dementia type.
Flow diagram of the study population.
Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics of cohort members (n = 51,859).
Numbers of individuals with missing values are given when different from zero. bHospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) anxiety (A) depression (D).
Ethics
The study was approved by the Regional Committee for Ethics in Medical Research, and by the research group Health and Memory in Nord-Trøndelag.
Results
Baseline characteristics of the cohort members are given in Table 1. Compared to those with any headache, individuals without headache were older, more likely to be men and less likely to be current smokers and alcohol users, had somewhat shorter education, higher SBP and diastolic BP, higher total cholesterol and triglyceride levels, higher nonfasting glucose, more self-reported cardiovascular diseases, and, lower HADS scores, and were more likely to be using antihypertensive medication.
Multivariable-adjusted a HRs (95% CIs) of different types of dementia by end of follow-up according to headache status at baseline in HUNT 2.
HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; HADS: Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale; HUNT 2: Nord-Trøndelag Health Study.
Adjusted for age, gender, education, total HADS score, and smoking. The following covariates were excluded from the final model (change the estimated HRs with less than 1%): body mass index, triglycerides, non-fasting glucose, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, self-reported stroke, and physical inactivity. bMixed dementia: merged groups of both AD and VaD (n = 52). cMerged groups of VaD (n = 63) + mixed dementia (n = 52).
In multivariate analyses, age, gender, education, smoking and total HADS score were identified as important confounders; these were included in the final analyses. Any headache in HUNT 2 was associated with an increased risk of VaD (HR = 2.3; 95% CI 1.4–3.8, p = 0.002), this risk being similar and remaining significant both in men (p = 0.043) and women (p = 0.018) (Table 2). There was a significant interaction between age and any headache regarding VaD (p < 0.0001): In subsequent analyses stratifying by age, any headache increased the risk of VaD more among individuals ≥75 years of age at baseline (HR = 3.0; 95% CI 1.3–6.7, p = 0.007) than among those <75 years (HR = 1.8; 95% CI 1.0–3.6, p = 0.059). Any headache in HUNT 2 was also associated with increased risk of being diagnosed with mixed dementia (HR = 2.0; 95% CI 1.1–3.5, p = 0.018), evident in men (HR = 3.3; 95% CI 1.4–7.8, p = 0.001) but not in women (Table 2). When both groups with VaD (VaD only (n = 62) and mixed dementia (n = 52)) were pooled, the increased risk was more marked for men (HR = 2.5; 95% CI 1.4–4.4, p = 0.001) than for women ((HR = 1.8; 95% CI 1.1–3.1, p = 0.018) (Table 2). No relationship was found between any headache in HUNT 2 and a later diagnosis of AD (Table 2).
HRs (95% CI) for vascular dementia (VaD) (n = 63) by end of follow-up according to headache status at baseline in HUNT 2.
HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; HADS: Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale; HUNT 2: Nord-Trøndelag Health Study.
Adjusted for age and gender. bAdjusted for age. cAdjusted for age, gender, education, total HADS score, and smoking. The following covariates were excluded from the final model (changed the estimated HRs less than 1%): body mass index, triglycerides, nonfasting glucose, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, self-reported stroke, and physical inactivity.
Discussion
In this large population-based cohort study, any headache was associated with an increased risk of later diagnosis of VaD, most evident among individuals aged ≥75 years at baseline. In contrast, no association was found between any headache and the later development of AD alone.
Comparison with other studies
To the best of our knowledge, no large population-based follow-up study of adults, with similar objectives and study design, has hitherto been published. According to a recent preliminary report, the influence of migraine on the risk of dementia has been evaluated during follow-up of 716 participants in a health study in Canada (28). In marked contrast to our results, people with a history of migraine were four times more likely to develop AD, whereas no clear relationship was reported between migraine and VaD. However, too few details are available in the Canadian study to compare with our study population, and the quality of these data remains to be seen in the full publication.
Until now, no relationship between headaches and VaD had been established, and no association between migraine and cognitive decline had been found in population-based cross-sectional (11) or prospective studies (13–15). A lifetime diagnosis of migraine was not associated with cognitive deficits among middle-aged Danish twins (11). In a study of 780 participants with a mean age of 69 years, a history of severe headache was associated with an increased volume of brain white matter hyperintensities, but these abnormalities were not related to cognitive impairment (12). This lack of association between migraine and cognitive decline is in contrast to our results, but the reason is unclear. It should be emphasized that none of these earlier studies focused on dementia and, because patients with cognitive impairment are less likely to participate in such studies, the possibility of selection bias could not be ruled out. Furthermore, two of the prospective studies had relatively short follow-up durations of <7 years, and the migraine patients included in all three were relatively young from the point of view of developing cognitive decline (mean ages of 47, 66 and 69 years) (13–15). All these factors may have influenced the divergent results since any headache was a greater risk factor among those ≥75 years in our study, when incipient dementia is more prevalent.
Interpretation
Headache status and the outcome (dementia) came from two separate registries. Thus, it is unlikely that information in the patients’ medical records about headache disorders could have influenced diagnoses of dementia, since no clear relationship between dementia and migraine or other headache existed when the dementia registry was established, and a history of headache is not a part of the diagnostic criteria for any types of dementia. However, those making the dementia diagnoses would still have knowledge of other risk factors. Thus, we cannot rule out that the relationship between any headache and VaD may be an artifactual, because headache is associated with vascular risk profiles and vascular lesions, and these lesions are indicative of whether a demented individual has AD or VaD. For seven individuals, the interval between headache reporting in HUNT 2 and the diagnosis of dementia was less than five years. For those few individuals it is possible that a condition of dementia was causing headache, and not headache that later caused dementia. However, the total follow-up period was 15 years, and the mean interval until diagnosis of dementia was nearly nine years.
Nine of 63 cases of VaD self-reported previous stroke at baseline. We cannot rule out the potential mediating role of stroke in the observed association between migraine and dementia, because migraine is a risk factor for stroke (6) and stroke is a risk factor for dementia (4). Adjustment for self-reported previous stroke at baseline was performed and did not influence the estimates. However, information about stroke during follow-up was not available in our data file. Because stroke is a major part of the diagnostic criteria of VaD, stroke during follow-up could be an important explanation of the relationship between any headache and VaD. This possible explanation may seem more plausible since we found the strongest association between any headache and VaD in those over the age of 75 years, where the risk of stroke is high. It might be argued that people who experience headache, particularly frequent headache and migraine, are be more likely to seek medical care and therefore have more opportunities to be diagnosed with dementia. If this is true, the observed increased risk of dementia among those with any headache may not be real. Given the small number of cases of VaD, even a small bias in the diagnosis of dementia could cause a large effect. However, although this explanation cannot be ruled out, it should be mentioned that very few of the headache sufferers interviewed at HUNT 2 had consulted a doctor (18).
Although an association between any headache and VaD has never before been demonstrated, some indirect evidence exists that makes such a relationship plausible, at least for migraine. White matter hyperintensities and cardiovascular disease are both more prevalent in migraineurs, in particular those with migraine with aura, than in the general population (6–9). This is of relevance since white matter hyperintensities and cardiovascular disease are both associated with increased risks of dementia (6,29–32). The underlying mechanism of the increased cardiovascular risk in migraineurs is still unknown, but probably not mediated by atherosclerosis (33).
The fact that any headache in the present study was associated only with VaD (and mixed dementia for men) and not with other types of dementia may give credibility to our results. A lack of differential influence between migraine and nonmigrainous headache was found. Notably, in other studies based on data from the HUNT 2 study, both migraine and nonmigrainous headache were associated with unfavorable vascular risk profiles (16,17). Accordingly, the possibilities exist of shared environmental factors or shared underlying genetic susceptibilities (34), even though migraine and nonmigrainous headache stood out as independent risk factors when adjusted for available environmental factors.
The observed relationships between migraine and nonmigrainous headache on the one hand and VaD on the other need to be confirmed in other studies because of their major implications. If these headache disorders are indeed risk factors for VaD, the underlying mechanisms must be elucidated. A key question will be whether pharmacological treatment of headache (which changed, at least for migraine, with the introduction of triptans in the early 1990s) may induce vascular changes. Ultimately, treatments with potential efficacy against both headache and the development of VaD might be considered more frequently.
Strengths and limitations of the study
The major strengths were the prospective design, a follow-up period of 15 years and the large cohort recruited from the adult population of an entire county. Furthermore, we had validated the questionnaire-based headache diagnoses (18), which had good sensitivity and high specificity for migraine. The diagnoses of dementia and its different subtypes were carefully verified in all patients by a team of clinical experts in dementia. In the multivariate analyses, there were data available to allow adjustments for a large number of potential confounding factors. Nevertheless, the possibility of residual confounding by unrecognized factors cannot be wholly excluded.
Two limitations should be considered. First, despite the large study size, some subgroups of headache and dementia were relatively small. Thus, separate evaluation of, for example, medication-overuse headache was not possible, although this would have been of interest. Furthermore, few individuals who suffered from headache on ≥15 days/month or migraine with aura developed VaD, and the results for frontotemporal dementia and dementia with Lewy bodies should also be interpreted with caution. Second, there was a relatively low participation rate at baseline in HUNT 2 (56%), introducing a possibility of unknown selection bias, although the wide scope of the HUNT study, which addressed a broad range of medical disorders, made biases with particular relevance to headache unlikely (21,27). Individuals with cognitive impairment might have been less likely to participate in HUNT 2, but this type of selection bias is not a limitation of the present study, since the population at risk was defined as those susceptible to but free of dementia at the time of HUNT 2.
Conclusion
In this large population-based cohort study, any headache was a risk factor for the development of VaD, and the relationship was similar for migraine and nonmigrainous headache. No associations were found between headache and the development of AD.
Clinical implications
Headache is associated with an increased risk of vascular dementia (VaD). The relationship between any headache and VaD is similar for migraine and nonmigrainous headache, and most evident for any headache on ≥15 days/month and age ≥75 years. No association was found between headache and Alzheimer’s disease.
Footnotes
Funding
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
Conflict of interest
None declared.
Contributors
KH designed the study, made the statistical analyses, drafted and revised the paper. He takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. ES designed the study and revised the paper. ML, TS and LJS all drafted and revised the paper.
Acknowledgments
The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) is a collaboration between the HUNT Research Centre, Faculty of Medicine at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), the Norwegian Institute of Public Health and the Nord-Trøndelag County Council.
