Machine learning prediction of concrete frost resistance and optimization design of mix proportions

Abstract

This study explores nine machine learning (ML) methods, including linear, non-linear and ensemble learning models, using nine concrete parameters as characteristic variables. Including the dosage of cement (C), fly ash (FA), Ground granulated blast furnace slag (GGBS), coarse aggregate (G), fine aggregate (S), water reducing agent (WRA) and water (W), initial gas content (GC) and number of freeze-thaw cycles (NFTC), To predict relative dynamic elastic modulus (RDEM) and mass loss rate (MLR). Based on the linear correlation analysis and the evaluation of four performance indicators of R², MSE, MAE and RMSE, it is found that the nonlinear model has better performance. In the prediction of RDEM, the integrated learning GBDT model has the best prediction ability. The evaluation indexes were R² = 0.78, MSE = 0.0041, MAE = 0.0345, RMSE = 0.0157, SI = 0.0177, BIAS = 0.0294. In the prediction of MLR, ensemble learning Catboost algorithm model has the best prediction ability, and the evaluation indexes are R² = 0.84, MSE = 0.0036, RMSE = 0.0597, MAE = 0.0312, SI = 5.5298, BIAS = 0.1772. Then, Monte Carlo fine-tuning method is used to optimize the concrete mix ratio, so as to obtain the best mix ratio.