Abstract
Objective:
In the Emergency Department, the physician’s purpose is to rapidly and accurately diagnose the severity of a patient’s condition so that proper treatment can be administered. Therefore, this study pays close attention to the association and prognostic value of blood lactate on different disease outcomes by systematically reviewing recently published studies.
Methods:
The search strategy was developed based on searches in the year 2022 for potential publications including original articles, case reports, and reviews using the following web databases google scholar, PubMed, and Science Direct. A total of 25 studies were identified and reviewed extensively to evaluate the link between mortality and serum lactate levels.
Results:
This literature review presents the strong association of elevated serum lactate levels with the in-hospital mortality rate among emergency department patients.
Conclusion:
These findings suggest that even a moderately raised lactate level in serum can predict the severe outcome in emergency department patients suffering from different conditions. Therefore, early (at the time of administration of hospital) and periodic serum lactate value determination through different techniques and scores is of need and should become part of routine analyses in emergency department to predict and choose therapies that could benefit critically ill patients.
Introduction
In healthy persons, lactate synthesis and metabolism take place continuously in the brain, stomach, skeletal muscle, and erythrocytes to make sure that blood lactate levels remain around 1 mmol/L. 1 In a normal situation, aerobic metabolism transforms pyruvate into ATP molecules by the citric acid cycle. The process is aided by the enzyme pyruvate dehydrogenase, oxygen, glucose, and functional mitochondria. However, when oxygen levels are low anaerobic metabolism get unable to convert pyruvate to Acetyl-CoA by the citric acid cycle. Instead, the enzyme lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) converts pyruvate to lactate, producing two Adenosine Triphosphate (ATP) and lactate molecules. 2 Although the lactate shuttle theory also reports the continuous synthesis and consumption of lactate in many cells under both anaerobic and aerobic situations. 3
In addition, when lactate level surpasses the clearance mechanism of the body or when clearance metabolism declines or both occur alongside, hyperlactatemia arises. 4 Hyperlactatemia can be caused by illnesses associated with raised catecholamine levels, such as asthma, sepsis, shock, trauma, or pheochromocytoma, which cause abnormally increased glycolysis primarily in the muscles to gain energy more quickly. Other etiologies or contributing causes to hyperlactatemia include medicines that inhibit oxidative phosphorylation or acute fulminant liver disease or liver failure that dysfunction lactate removal metabolism. 5
Currently, research also suggests that augmented serum lactate level can prognosticate a high risk of mortality, vasopressor requirement, and mechanical ventilation which can lead to intensive care unit (ICU) admission. 6 Moreover, even a moderate level of initial lactate in serum indicates shock and organ dysfunction in acute sepsis conditions, 7 while elevated lactate levels indicate the complications progression and high death rate in patients with trauma, 8 multiple organ failures, 9 severe infections (all ages),7,10 cancer, 11 and COVID-19 infections. 12
Therefore, lactate-guided therapies during the first stage of resuscitation of critically ill patients have lately been presented as a powerful tool for treatment and care.13,14 Although the cutoff lactate levels and lactate clearance varied, lactate-guided resuscitation therapies resulted in a significant reduction in fatality rates when compared to the resuscitation process that was conducted without lactate level monitoring. 15 Furthermore, an early percentage decrease of lactate is reported to bring improved outcomes in septic shock patients. 16 Likewise, the use of thiamine amino acid in septic shock patients within 24 h hospital administration helps in lactate clearance and reduces the 28-day mortality rate. 17 In another large-scale study, an increase in mortality up to ⩾60% was reported because lactate clearance from serum takes more time. However, the study also states that after 6 h of hospital administration, the initial lactate test and lactate clearance test from serum can also independently predict trauma patients’ mortality. 18 To summarize, according to a classic study, elevated lactate is considered as a biomarker for identifying critically ill patients in ICU and can predict 100% mortality at >13.3 mmol/L or 120 mg/dL lactate levels. 19 However, recent studies showed >2.0–2.5 mmol/L serum lactate level as a predictor for 30-day in-hospital mortality in patients who arrived at the emergency department (ED) and get hospitalized.20–22
Lately, lactate level measurement in serum by using different scores has been examined as a tool for predicting the outcome of emergency patients for accuracy. The study revealed that the combination of different techniques under multiple variables had delivered more precision in predicting mortality rate than the simple lactate level measurements. 23 With this knowledge in hand, this systematic analysis correlates the serum lactate level and mortality rate/risk in ED patients, irrespective of the kind of illness or degree of care they are receiving.
Methodology
Study design
This systematic review investigated the predictive role of lactate measurements for mortality in critically ill patients admitted to hospitals’ ED. The data were collected according to set inclusion and exclusion criteria and are represented by following the PRISMA guidelines for systematic reviews.24,25
Data collection
The literature search was conducted with help of renowned search databases, that is, Science Direct, PubMed, Google Scholar, and Web of Science. The databases were searched for literature published in the year 2022 for original articles, case reports, and reviews using the following web terms: lactate, emergency department, mortality, trauma, lactic infections, lactate rate, shock, hyperlactatemia, lactate clearance, and organ failure. Figure 1 illustrates the followed research methodology for data collection.

Flow diagram of research methodology.
Data inclusion and exclusion criteria
Most recent research on the ED patients who are diagnosed with trauma, sepsis, or other conditions is included in this research. Likewise, research that is not based on the ED of the hospital is also included (i.e. trauma unit, ICU, and operating room). The death rate in hospitalized ED patients with respect to time and their lactate cutoff readings remains of significant interest during the database search. However, after evaluating the titles and abstracts, 25 relevant publications were selected. On basis of the condition of patients; find literature is classified into different sections representing patients with sepsis, patients with trauma, patients undergoing surgeries, patients with cardiac conditions, patients with COVID-19, and others.
Results
Sepsis patients
For 2 decades, sepsis is recognized as one of the most common and lethal conditions for patients with a high mortality rate.
26
Recently, various scores based on serum lactate levels have been used frequently to predict in-hospital mortality in ED patients suffering from sepsis. In this regard, Hu et al. used modified, lactate-enhanced, and procalcitonin (PCT)-enhanced versions of the quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for mortality rate determination in sepsis patients (n = 936). In predicting in-hospital mortality, the lactate-enhanced qSOFA and modified qSOFA outperformed the qSOFA with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.740 and 0.731, a sensitivity of 64.36% and 51.40%, and a specificity of 70.78% and 80.96%, respectively.
27
Similarly, Guarino et al. used qSOFA, MqSOFA along with lactate assay, and national early warning score (NEWS) to analyze data of sepsis and septic shock patients (n = 556). The author found that MqSOFA, NEWS, and lactate assay scores are more significant predictors of in-hospital mortality than qSOFA, with
Moreover, lactate rates, the lactate–albumin difference (LAD), and SOFA scores have been assessed for critically ill sepsis patients on hospital arrival, in-hospital mortality, and 90-day survival to evaluate the prognostic performance of the applied test. The report demonstrated the AUC value for predicting LAD mortality was 0.691 (95% CI: 0.663–0.718), lactate was 0.675 (95% CI: 0.646–0.703), and SOFA was 0.716 (95% CI: 0.663–0.718). However, the authors believe that 0.7 seems to be the best threshold for LAD, mentioning its ease of calculation in comparison with SOFA. Furthermore, LAD outperformed maximum lactate levels in terms of predicting in-hospital death and 90-day survival. Overall 20.3% in-hospital mortality rate was noted among patients (n = 2270). 30
In the ICU, sepsis is common and subsequently leads to renal failure. A retrospective assessment was conducted on sepsis-related acute kidney injury (AKI) patients (n = 157) receiving continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) with a 28-day morbidity endpoint using the public database MIMIC-III. The results revealed that CRRT raises the log(lactate) by 0.041. The joint model also demonstrated a stable relationship between variations in lactate levels and event outcomes, indicating that a one-unit increase in log(lactate) increases the likelihood of 28-day fatality by 2.12. As a result, when offering renal support to a patient with sepsis-related AKI, lactate-control therapies must be given special consideration. 31
In a separate study, the relationship between death and initial high blood lactate levels and positive fluid balance 24 h was investigated after admission of children to the pediatric ICU with sepsis and/or septic shock. According to the investigation, children who had leukopenia, an abnormal international normalized ratio, neurologic failure, initial blood lactate >5 mmol/L, mechanical ventilation (
Trauma patients
AKI following trauma is related to a longer hospital stay and an increased risk of death. Nasu, Toru, and coworkers verify systolic blood pressure (SBP) and arterial lactate level as predictors of freshly developed AKI after trauma. In the given study, AKI was defined in terms of injury, risk, failure, end-stage kidney disease, and loss of kidney function, based on serum creatinine levels. Patients in the high-risk group had pre-hospital SBP of ⩽126 mmHg and lactate levels of ⩾2.5 mmol/L. The incidence of severe AKI in set injury and failure was significantly higher in the high-risk group, with a 7.75 odds ratio (OR) at 95% CI: 2.33–25.77. As a result, early recognition of high-risk groups for serious AKI following trauma, as well as prompt treatment, may help trauma patients have a better outcome. 33
In addition, the clinical value of the lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) as a predictor of multiple organ dysfunction syndromes (MODS) and the 30-day mortality rate were determined in patients admitted to the ED with severe trauma (Injury Severity Score ⩾ 16). The results suggest that the rise in the LAR at admission (OR = 1.618,
Until now, LAR scores have not been linked to the prognosis of burned patients’ mortality. In this regard, Dudoignon et al. published a retrospective cohort analysis involving burn patients admitted to the ICU. LAR levels at admission >0.13 were independently linked with 28-day mortality in multivariate analysis accounting for abbreviated burn severity index (ABSI) with OR = 3.98 at 95% CI: 1.88–8.35. Moreover, at
Wang et al. evaluate the value of the Glasgow Coma Scale, blood glucose, LAR, subdural hematoma, intra-parenchymal hemorrhage, and diffuse axonal damage value for mortality prediction in clinical data of moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury patients (n = 273). The prognostic model was also built using these independent variables. The AUC values for individual lactate, albumin, and LAR were found to be 0.733, 0.740, and 0.780 at 95% CI (0.673–0.794, 0.683–0.797, and 0.725–0.835), respectively. However, the prognostic model had a greater AUC of 0.857 at 95% CI: 0.812–0.901 than LAR (Z = 2.1250,
Surgical patients
In type, acute aortic dissection; ischemia, and mal-perfusion are major predictors of poor postoperative outcomes, and blood lactate seems to be an effective substitute point-of-care marker of mal-perfusion. As a result, Gemelli et al. investigated the relationship between lactate, in-hospital outcomes, and 1-year survival after type A acute aortic dissection surgery. The authors collected serum lactate values from 128 patients 3 times at
Kofler et al. studied the perioperative mortality in patients who are going for surgical repair for acute type A aortic dissection. The mortality rate was predicted by a laboratory-based risk score construct with lactates and four other parameters, that is aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, creatinine, and bilirubin values. According to the calculated mortality score, patients (n = 632) were assigned to groups having low (<7), moderate (7–20), and high (>20) risk with a perioperative mortality rate of 8%, 10%, and 24% (
Patient with respiratory tract infection
Lee et al. confirm the importance of the LDH to albumin ratio as a reliable marker of mortality in the ED patient having lower respiratory tract infection. The result suggests that LDH/albumin ratio had a larger AUC = 0.808 at 95% CI: 0.757–0.842 and
Cardiac patient
For elderly patients hospitalized in the ICU with severe community-acquired pneumonia, myocardial injury can be predicted by LAR. The patients with myocardial injury showed high neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil count, lactate, serum creatinine, and LAR values with a significantly raised mortality rate than the non-myocardial injury patients. Moreover, the author found that the AUC of LAR was 0.737 at 95% CI: 0.620–0.834, with a 1.21 cutoff value, 60.00% sensitivity, and 78.72% specificity, respectively. 40
Hsu et al. predicted in-hospital cardiac arrest by evaluating the data retrieved over 7 years in 342 patients admitted to ED. The patient initial serum lactate levels were grouped into normal, moderately, and highly elevated categories on basis of ⩽2 mmol/L, 2 < lactate ⩽ 4, and >4 mmol/L concentrations. The results show that through multivariable analysis, the group with highly raised lactate had an 18-fold augmented risk of having in-hospital cardiac arrest with OR = 18.0 at 95% CI: 11.5–28.2. Moreover, the study also report that the poor lactate-clearance group of patients (<2.5%/h) showed a 7.5-fold higher risk of in-hospital cardiac arrest with OR = 7.5 at 95% CI: 3.7–15.1. 41 Moreover, M. Azad and colleagues enrolled 100 patients in their study who had had heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass and also reported that ⩾3 mmol/L blood lactate level after 6 h in critical care indicates poor conditions in adult patients. 42
COVID-19 infection
LDH is a high-precision biomarker for predicting in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients who are severely ill. Therefore, physicians worldwide have been directed to do the LDH determination to select aids for patients at high risk and to execute more therapies at an earlier stage to save patients’ lives. 43 For this purpose, in the reported research, COVID-19 patients (n = 203) LDH serum levels were determined at the time of admission. The author discovered that LDH serum levels of 277.00 U/L as a cutoff value with 58.7% sensitivity and 82.0% specificity for predicting COVID-19 infection severity in patients. In addition, 359.50 U/L cutoff value of the serum LDH levels having 93.8% sensitivity and 88.2% specificity was established for predicting death in COVID-19 patients. 44 In another study, lactate and related kinetics measures are beneficial for predicting outcomes in COVID-19-affected critically ill elderly patients (n = 2860). It was reported that 68% of the patient’s serum lactate was <2 mmol/L. However, raised serum lactate was linked with a very high rate of ICU admission and 3-month mortality. 45 Moreover, a cohort study was developed to predict conventional oxygen therapy failure by calculating lactate, oxygenation, and temperature (LOT) score in COVID-19 patients. It was found that substantially increased 30-day mortality and conventional oxygen therapy failure arose when the developed score cutoff value reached >5. 46
Lactate level in other conditions
In the given study, the MIMIC-IV database was used in another study to investigate the potential of arterial blood lactic acid levels to predict fatality within 28 days of the arrival of severe acute pancreatitis patients in the ICU. Results revealed that patients who died had a high lactic acid concentration in arterial blood within 28 days than surviving patients (
Gupta, Manoj, and colleagues conducted an observational retrospective cohort study on 163 patients with severe dengue. Basic arterial blood gas parameters, such as pH, bicarbonate, partial pressure of O2 and CO2, and lactate levels, have been evaluated for mortality prediction by comparing values for the survivor and non-survivor dengue patients. On ROC analysis, lactate is the optimum prognostic marker, with an AUC of 88.7% with higher significantly (
Kim et al. investigated the efficacy of pre-extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) lactate in predicting 6-month mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome having extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The pre-ECMO lactate level was an independent predictor of 6-month mortality (HR = 1.210, 95% CI: 1.064–1.376,
Discussion
In the ED, the physician’s purpose is to rapidly and accurately diagnose the severity of a patient’s condition so that proper treatment can be administered. Therefore, this study pays close attention to the association and prognostic cutoff values of blood lactate, lactic acid, and LDH on different disease outcomes, by systematically reviewing recently published studies in 2022. Practically, every study found a strong link between lactate levels and mortality risk in patients with heterogeneous conditions (Table 1). However, for accuracy in diagnosis, various scores and ratios, such as qSOFA, NEWS, and LAR, are now being used instead of just serum lactate determination.
Summary of selected article in review.
LAD: lactate–albumin difference; SBP: systolic blood pressure; LAR: lactate-to-albumin ratio; AUC: area under the curve; SOFA: sequential organ failure assessment; ABSI: abbreviated burn severity index; LDH: elevated lactate dehydrogenase; ICU: intensive care unit; ACS: Acute coronary syndrome; and ED: emergency department.
Since lactate calculation in the ED is linked to clinical conditions and requirements such as multi-organ failure, injury severity, respiratory problems, hospital stay, emergency operations, mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission, therefore early (at the time of administration of hospital) and periodic (after few hours) lactate level measurements is recommended by all reported studies so that severity of patients can be determined and on basis of that therapies could be recommended for benefit of the patient. Moreover, most studies show that serum lactate determination can become a standard assessment and recommend approximately ⩽2.0 mmol/L lactate levels as the cutoff value for predicting mortality in different conditions.
Limitation
Even though our search was broad and included medical libraries and other published literature, still some findings may get overlooked causing limitations in concluding the role of lactate in the prediction of in-hospital mortality. Furthermore, meta-analysis research would not have been appropriate in this situation due to considerable methodology differences between investigations, as it restricts the understanding of any mutual results. Finally, the quality of the existing literature limits a systematic review outcome, and any selection bias or different treatment for patients could have influenced our findings and reported fatality rates.
Conclusion
These findings suggest that even a moderately raised lactate level in serum can predict the severe outcome in patients under different conditions; thus, clinicians should consider early surveillance of lactate levels for the prognosis of patient condition.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The author is thankful to the department of emergency medicine, King Abdul Aziz University, Saudi Arabia, for the continuous support of this review article.
Author’s note
The author has approved the final article.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
