Abstract
Objective
Post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a frequent complication after heart transplantation. We investigated the specific predictors of PTDM in Chinese heart transplant recipients and the prognostic value of these predictors.
Methods
We retrospectively analyzed 122 adult patients who underwent heart transplantation. Comparisons were made between patients with PTDM (n = 44) and those without PTDM (n = 78).
Results
During the median follow-up of 44 months, the cumulative incidence of PTDM was 19.7% at 1 year after transplantation and 36.1% at the endpoint. PTDM was associated with a significantly higher preoperative body mass index (BMI) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.349), fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentration (OR = 2.538), and serum uric acid concentration (OR = 1.005) after transplantation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.708 and 0.763 for the BMI and FPG concentration, respectively. The incidence of acute rejection and infection were higher and the all-cause mortality rate was considerably greater in patients with than without PTDM.
Conclusions
A higher preoperative BMI (>23 kg/m2), FPG concentration (>5.2 mmol/L), and uric acid concentration could potentially predict PTDM in Chinese heart transplant recipients. PTDM influences long-term survival after heart transplantation.
Keywords
Introduction
Post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is an important complication that occurs in 10% to 40% of patients during the first year after the patient undergoes solid organ transplantation. 1 PTDM potentially exerts a detrimental effect on post-transplant outcomes because PTDM is an independent risk factor for graft failure, cardiovascular disease, and death in kidney2,3 and liver transplant recipients.4–6 The incidence of PTDM and its effect on the survival rate depend on the type of organ transplanted, the recipient’s characteristics, and the immunosuppressive medication administered. Risk factors for PTDM include predisposing factors for type 2 DM, such as older age, obesity, family history of DM, ethnicity, and susceptibility genes.1,7–10 Another major predisposing factor specific to PTDM is immunosuppressive therapy, including glucocorticoid and calcineurin inhibitors (cyclosporine and tacrolimus).7,11 However, most studies of PTDM have involved kidney and liver transplant recipients in Caucasian populations. These results may not be applicable to Chinese heart transplant recipients (HTRs).
Heart transplantation (HT) is an effective therapeutic option for patients with end-stage heart disease. Based on data from the China Heart Transplant Registration Center, 2149 HTs were performed from 2009 to 2016. 12 Despite the increase in the number of HTRs, knowledge of the clinical parameters associated with PTDM in Chinese HTRs remains insufficient. As a potentially modifiable risk factor for PTDM in HTRs, 13 appropriate body mass index (BMI) cut-off points could help to identify patients at high risk of PTDM for intervention. The incidence of new-onset DM varies widely between solid organ transplant recipients and the general population. The use of a BMI cut-off point of ≥25 kg/m2 (overweight) or ≥30 kg/m2 (obese) may underestimate the risk of PTDM. An elevated serum uric acid concentration is a predictor of type 2 DM in the general population14,15 and is common among HTRs, 16 but no studies have evaluated this association among HTRs. Therefore, the present study of Chinese HTRs was performed to identify the incidence of and specific risk factors for PTDM and evaluate the effects of PTDM on the outcomes of HT.
Patients and methods
Study population
Two hundred one patients underwent HT in our hospital from 2002 to 2017. Patients who underwent routine follow-up after HT (monthly during the first 6 months, every 2 months during the next 7–12 months, every 3 months during the second year, and every 6 months beginning in the third year) were included in the present study. Patients with a history of DM (n = 23), death within 3 months after transplantation (n = 41), multiple organ transplantation (n = 2), age of <18 years (n = 2), and no follow-up data (n = 11) were excluded. One hundred twenty-two HTRs were enrolled in this cohort study. According to the DM classification, the patients were divided into those with PTDM (n = 44) and those without PTDM (n = 78). The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Ethical Committee of Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University (No. 2018061X). All clinical and laboratory information were obtained from the retrospective analysis; thus, informed consent was not deemed necessary by the Ethical Committee.
Clinical data collection
Clinical data were collected from the electronic medical records system used in the hospital and supplemented by reviewing follow-up medical records for individual patients. The preoperative data included age, sex, BMI, serum uric acid concentration, history of smoking, pathological diagnosis of primary cardiac disease, biochemical parameters, and hepatitis C virus infection status. The preoperative fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentration was obtained within 1 week before HT when the patient was in stable condition. Perioperative data included immunosuppressant drugs and inpatient days after HT. The cumulative prednisone dose during the perioperative period was calculated from the day on which treatment started to the discharge day, excluding the standard intraoperative dose of 500 mg of methylprednisolone that was administered intravenously to all patients. The prednisone dose (mg/kg/day) at discharge was calculated from the prednisone dosage at discharge divided by the body weight of the HTR. The prednisone dosage at discharge was determined from the stable dose for the discharged patient. Postoperative follow-up data included the FPG concentration, immunosuppressive therapy, drug dosage and concentration, complications, and patient survival or death. The FPG measurements after HT were obtained from blood samples drawn at the end of the first, third, and fifth-year follow-up. Other medications, such as diuretics, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, beta-blockers, and statins, were also recorded. The endpoint event was death of the HTRs.
Diagnosis of PTDM
According to the International Consensus Guidelines for PTDM published in 2014 17 and the American Diabetes Association criteria, 18 PTDM is defined as (1) symptoms of DM and an FPG concentration of ≥7.0 mmol/L or a randomly measured glucose concentration of ≥11.1 mmol/L on more than one occasion, (2) a plasma glucose concentration of ≥11.1 mmol/L in a 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), or (3) a blood glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) concentration of ≥6.5%. Patients who received antidiabetic treatments during follow-up were also considered to have DM. To rule out transient post-transplantation hyperglycemia caused by operation stress and/or high doses of glucocorticoids, PTDM was diagnosed after HTRs had been discharged from the hospital and their medications had been tapered to maintenance doses.
Immunosuppressive therapy
Basiliximab (Simulect; Novartis, Basel, Switzerland), an interleukin-2 monoclonal antibody, was used in the induction therapy protocol. The maintenance medications consisted of a triple-drug combination including a calcineurin inhibitor (cyclosporine or tacrolimus), an antiproliferative agent (mycophenolate mofetil), and a glucocorticoid (prednisone). The starting dose of cyclosporine or tacrolimus was 2.5 mg/kg/day or 0.15 to 0.3 mg/kg/day, respectively, followed by titration according to the blood drug concentrations. The cyclosporine concentration was 300 to 350 ng/mL for 6 weeks, 250 to 300 ng/mL from 6 weeks to 6 months, and 150 to 200 ng/mL after 1 year. The tacrolimus concentration was 10 to 20 ng/mL immediately after HT and 5 to 15 ng/mL after 3 months. Mycophenolate mofetil was orally administered to patients at 500 mg twice a day. All patients received glucocorticoids (500 mg of methylprednisolone intravenously) during the transplant operation. Postoperative methylprednisolone was intravenously administered at a dose of 1 mg/kg/day. When oral medications were able to be ordered, methylprednisolone was switched to a prednisone dose of 0.5 mg/kg/day divided into two administrations, which was gradually tapered to a maintenance dose of 5 mg/day during the next 3 to 6 months. Maintenance or withdrawal of the glucocorticoid treatment depended on the physician’s judgment and the patient’s condition.
Definitions of HT-related complications
The primary outcome of interest was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes of interest were transplant-related adverse events including cardiac allograft rejection, cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV), renal dysfunction, and infection. Cardiac allograft rejection was diagnosed by performing an endomyocardial biopsy according to the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) criteria. 19 The diagnosis of CAV was based on a retrospective review of coronary angiography results and determined by the attending doctors. Renal dysfunction was considered severe when the estimated glomerular filtration rate was <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 for 3 consecutive months after HT. 20 Infection was defined as a bacterial, fungal, or opportunistic infection that required therapeutic intervention. Hypertension was defined as a blood pressure of ≥140/90 mmHg, use of antihypertensive medication, or a reported diagnosis of hypertension during follow-up. Hyperlipidemia was defined as a total cholesterol concentration of ≥5.17 mmol/L or triglyceride concentration of ≥1.70 mmol/L during follow-up medical examinations, use of cholesterol-lowering medication, or a diagnosis of hyperlipidemia during follow-up.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation. One-way analysis of variance with the post-hoc least significant difference test was performed for multiple comparisons. Continuous variables with a skewed distribution are presented as median with interquartile range (IQR) and were compared using nonparametric tests. Categorical variables are presented as percentages and were analyzed by the chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test. Multivariate forward logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for PTDM. The results are reported using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses to evaluate the predictive potential of identified signatures for PTDM. The threshold values (maximum Youden’s index) obtained from the areas under the ROC curves were used for PTDM prediction. Kaplan–Meier survival analyses using the log-rank test were performed with the PTDM status as the categorical variable. We used Cox regression to analyze risk factors for all-cause mortality. Risk factors assessed were age, sex, baseline body weight, PTDM, acute rejection, CAV, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, infection, and renal dysfunction. The results are reported using hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. A two-tailed
Results
Incidence of PTDM
In total, 122 HTRs were enrolled in this study. Forty-four patients (36.1%) were diagnosed with PTDM after a median follow-up time of 42 months (IQR, 18–82 months). The median time of the first assessment of PTDM was 3.0 months (IQR, 2.7–3.1 months) after HT. During follow-up, the cumulative incidence of PTDM at 1, 3, and 5 years was 19.7%, 29.5%, and 32.8%, respectively. The median time to diagnosis of PTDM was 11 months (IQR, 5–30 months) after HT.
Recipient characteristics
The patients comprised 89 (73%) men and 33 (27%) women with an overall mean age of 43.3 ± 13.5 years. The preoperative characteristics of HTRs are shown in Table 1. The body weight, BMI, FPG concentration, and serum uric acid concentration were considerably higher in patients with than without PTDM (all
Recipient characteristics at the time of transplantation and during follow-up.
Data are given as n (%), mean ± standard deviation, or median (25th, 75th percentile). aValues were obtained from 41 patients in the PTDM group. bBody weight at 6 months compared with baseline weight at the time of transplantation
PTDM, post-transplantation diabetes mellitus; HT, heart transplantation; BMI, body mass index; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Postoperative medications and glycemic control
During hospitalization for HT, the cumulative dose of prednisone was significantly higher in patients with than without PTDM (
Characteristics of medication use and evolution of FPG concentration during follow-up.
Data are given as n (%) or median (25th, 75th percentile). PTDM, post-transplantation diabetes mellitus; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HT, heart transplantation; Cmin, minimum concentration; ACEi, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker. aCumulative prednisone dose in the perioperative period.
Risk factors for PTDM
In the univariate analysis, the HTR’s age (OR = 1.036, 95% CI = 1.005–1.067,
Risk factors for PTDM.
Only variables with a
ROC curves were analyzed in this study. An area under the ROC curve exceeding 0.70 for the BMI (0.708, 95% CI = 0.614–0.802,
Effects of PTDM on clinical outcomes
Significantly higher incidences of rejection, hyperlipidemia, and infection episodes were observed in patients with than without PTDM (
Clinical impact of PTDM and no PTDM.
Data are given as n (%). PTDM, post-transplantation diabetes mellitus.

Kaplan–Meier analysis of survival among all patients with and without PTDM during follow-up. PTDM, post-transplantation diabetes mellitus.
Discussion
PTDM occurs in a substantial percentage of HTRs and is associated with adverse outcomes.1,13 The incidence of PTDM in HTRs ranges from 15.7% to 40.0%.13,21–24 The registry of the ISHLT reported an incidence of PTDM of 21.0% at 1 year and 34.5% at 5 years after HT. 25 Ethnicity may play a role in the development of PTDM; non-white race has been identified as an independent risk factor for PTDM in HTRs. 13 We evaluated PTDM in Chinese HTRs and found that the incidence of PTDM was 19.7% at 1 year and 32.8% at 5 years. We also identified several risk factors for PTDM and their appropriate cut-off points to classify recipients at high risk for PTDM, including an increased BMI, FPG concentration, and uric acid concentration.
Consistent with previous reports,11,13,21 we found that an increased BMI before HT was an independent risk factor for PTDM. Moreover, we found that the BMI cut-off point to predict PTDM development was 23 kg/m2 in Chinese HTRs. BMI cut-off points are used clinically to identify high-risk individuals for screening. Because of ethnic differences, Chinese people develop DM at a lower BMI level than do Europeans in the general population.26,27 Both general risk factors for DM and transplant-specific factors can lead to PTDM in solid organ transplant recipients.7,28 The use of a BMI cut-off point of ≥25 kg/m2 (overweight) or ≥30 kg/m2 (obese) may underestimate the risk of PTDM. In the present study, the preoperative BMI of 23 kg/m2 yielded a sensitivity of 77.3% and a specificity of 59.0% for prediction of PTDM. Weight gain after transplantation reportedly impacts the development of PTDM in kidney 29 and pancreas 30 transplant recipients. Considering that the median time to diagnosis of DM was 11 months after HT, we analyzed weight gain at 6 months after transplantation instead of 1 year in the present study. We found no significant difference between weight gain and BMI gain at 6 months in either patients with or without PTDM.
The serum uric acid concentration has been identified as a risk factor for type 2 DM in the general population,15,31 but it has not been reported as a risk factor for PTDM. Most patients with end-stage heart disease undergoing HT have an elevated serum uric acid concentration, which is partly caused by diuretic and immunosuppressive medications and impaired renal function. A retrospective analysis of kidney transplant patients showed that the uric acid concentration did not predict PTDM but that pretransplant use of gout medication did. 8 In our study, the pretransplant uric acid concentration was generally high, but urate-lowering medications were rarely used. An elevated serum uric acid concentration before HT, but not at 6 months after HT, was correlated with PTDM. The mechanisms underlying the association between uric acid and DM remain unclear. One possible explanation is that hyperuricemia may be related to insulin resistance, 32 while a higher insulin concentration can reduce renal excretion of uric acid. 33
In the present study, the preoperative FPG concentration (OR = 2.538,
The use of cyclosporine and tacrolimus as calcineurin inhibitors in this study did not affect PTDM development. More patients in this study used cyclosporine than tacrolimus, which may be a possible explanation for this finding. However, calcineurin inhibitors such as cyclosporine and tacrolimus cause pancreatic β-cell apoptosis and reduce insulin secretion. 37 Conversely, glucocorticoid use is a risk factor for PTDM because it results in insulin resistance and increased hepatic gluconeogenesis. In the present study, the cumulative prednisone dose in the perioperative period increased the risk of PTDM. Appropriate treatment of PTDM should be initiated as early as possible.
Acute allograft rejection is the main complication in patients undergoing HT. In contrast to earlier findings,22,38 we found that PTDM increased the number of postoperative acute rejection episodes. Moreover, PTDM increased the rate of patient infection in our study. A substantial difference in the incidence of CAV was not observed between the two groups, consistent with previous retrospective reports. 38 The all-cause mortality rate was 2.65 times higher in patients with than without PTDM. However, Klingenberg et al. 38 reported an association between preoperative DM and a significant reduction in overall survival, whereas PTDM did not reduce survival. Our study provides evidence that PTDM increases all-cause mortality after HT.
This study has several limitations. It was a retrospective study and not a multi-center study; patients were not routinely screened for PTDM using an OGTT or measurement of the HbA1c concentration. In fact, the reliability of HbA1c measurement may be adversely affected by blood transfusions and higher red blood cell turnover in the early post-transplant period, and HbA1c alone is not sufficient to screen for PTDM. 7 The OGTT is considered the gold standard test for patients suspected to have PTDM. 18 In this study, the FPG concentration was consecutively tested at each follow-up visit, and continuous monitoring of the FPG concentration can be used to achieve a definitive diagnosis.
In conclusion, this study evaluated the long-term incidence of and specific risk factors for PTDM in Chinese HTRs. The most notable finding of our study was that a preoperative BMI of >23 kg/m2, FPG concentration of >5.2 mmol/L, and elevated serum uric acid concentration can be used to potentially predict PTDM in Chinese HTRs. PTDM influences long-term survival after HT. We expect that further investigations of PTDM management will be helpful to reduce graft-related adverse events and improve long-term survival.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to extend their sincere thanks to Prof. Xu Meng and Haibo Zhang (Center for Cardiac Surgery, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University) for their help in the data collection.
Author contributions
Conception and design: Tian Zhao, Yinan Zhao, and Yingsheng Zhou.
Acquisition of data: Tian Zhao, Ailun Zong, Yadi Tang, and Xiaopeng Shi.
Statistical analysis: Tian Zhao, Ailun Zong, Yinan Zhao, and Yingsheng Zhou.
Writing—original draft preparation: Tian Zhao.
Writing—review and editing: Tian Zhao, Yinan Zhao, Ailun Zong, and Yingsheng Zhou.
Project administration: Yingsheng Zhou.
Funding acquisition: Yingsheng Zhou.
Declaration of conflicting interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.
Funding
This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81041024), the Funds of Academic Leaders of Beijing (No. 2013-2-006), and the Funds of Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission (No. Z131100004013044).
