Abstract
This paper explored whether air pollutants influenced acute aortic dissection (AAD) incidence in a moderately polluted area. A total of 494 AAD patients’ data from 2013 to 2016 were analyzed. The results showed that AAD had the strongest associations with
Introduction
Environmental pollution is an increasingly critical health threat worldwide. Air pollution has been demonstrated to be one of the major influencing factors of cardiovascular disease. For instance,
Acute aortic dissection is an uncommon cardiovascular disease. According to existing study and Chinese Cardiovascular Health and Disease Report, the estimated annual incidence rate of AAD was .028%, far below that of CHD (3.3%).4,5 However, AAD is fatal. Blood from the aortic lumen enters the aortic media from a tear in the aortic intima, disconnects the media and expands along the long axis of the aorta to produce a true-and-false lumen separation state in the aortic wall. Acute aortic dissection has an extremely high mortality rate, with as high as 1% per hour direct mortality rate at initial onset. 6 Since AAD usually has no apparent symptoms before onset, it is usually diagnosed after aortic rupture or the onset of other AAD complications. Accordingly, identifying potential risk factors is crucial in the prevention of AAD.
To date, the cause of AAD is not yet clear. Previous studies have reached consensus on a few clinical risk factors, such as hypertension, congestive heart failure, hyperlipidemia, and other underlying diseases.3,7 Some studies have found that meteorological factors have an impact on AAD incidence. For example, Takagi et al.
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found that AAD incidence reached the highest (28.2%) in winter and lowest (20.6%) in summer. However, few studies have considered air pollution as a potential risk factor for AAD. Xie et al. studied 345 patients from Chengdu city, and found that the air quality index (AQI) and
Most studies have focused on the impacts of air pollutants in heavily polluted areas, such as Beijing, 11 Shenzhen, 12 and Delhi. 13 Relationships between moderate levels of pollutants and AAD incidence have been rarely studied. Since more and more evidence estimated the associations between low-level air pollution exposure and increased mortality, it is necessary to fill the gaps in this area. 14 Our study aimed to identify the impacts of moderate pollution on AAD in Northwest China by studying residents in Xi’an city, expanding the data to a new study area. Meanwhile, existing research found AAD incidence had seasonal variation, 8 while others showed no predictive power of season on AAD events. 15 Since Xi’an belongs to the winter heating zone, and the concentrations of air pollutions are different between heating season and non-heating season (Figure A-1), this paper also analyzed the impact of seasonal variation on AAD incidence.
Material and Methods
Study Area
This study was carried out in Xi’an, the capital of China’s northwestern Shaanxi province. Xi’an, with a population of more than 7 million, has a sub-humid continental monsoon climate. The mean annual temperature in Xi’an is 15.6
Daily AAD Incidence Data
Hospital admissions were used to represent the AAD incidence in our model. The electronic medical records (EMRs) of patients with AAD admitted to the target hospital in Xi’an were collected from December 1, 2013 to December 31, 2016. The target hospital is one of the largest hospitals in Northwestern China, with 3.26 million outpatients and emergency visits in 2019, accounting for nearly 26% of the total number of general hospital outpatients in Xi’an according to Xi’an Statistical Yearbook (2018–2019). Therefore, our collected data are reasonably representative of the patient population in Xi’an.
Acute aortic dissection patients were identified according to the International Classification of Diseases Revision 10 (ICD-10) I71.0 diagnosis code. Each EMR record included length of hospitalization, sex, age, date of birth, address, time of admission, time of discharge, and medical diagnosis. The exclusion criteria were as follows: (1). permanent residence outside of Xi’an; (2). endophytic aortic disease due to prior cardiac surgery or interventional repair; and (3). patients with chronic aortic dissection. In total, 494 AAD patients were enrolled in our study. The protocol of study and accessing the hospital admission data was approved by the ethics committee of First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University (Number XJTU1AF2021LSK-2021-114).
Air Quality and Meteorological Data
Hourly averaged concentrations of six criteria air pollutants (
Meteorological data were obtained from the Xi’an Meteorological Service Center. For each day, the following parameters were assessed: minimum temperature
Statistical Analysis
Acute aortic dissection incidence data, daily air pollution concentrations, and weather data were linked through calendar data and then analyzed for exposure-response associations. Discrete variables are presented as percentages. Continuous variables are presented as means ± standard deviations (SD). Categorical variables are expressed as total numbers and percentages. The RR and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for each 10-unit increase in each pollutant. Since the daily number of AAD incidents had a quasi-Poisson distribution, a generalized additive model (GAM) was adopted to capture the short-term effects of air pollutants on AAD incidence.19,20 All statistical tests were two-sided, and a P-value < .05 was considered statistically significant. R software version 3.6.1 was used to perform all statistical analyses. R package mgcv V1.8-33 was used to build the GAM.
Since some of the pollutants had obvious non-normal distributions, the correlations between weather conditions and air pollution factors were evaluated by the Spearman correlation test. Locally weighted scatter plot smoothing (LOWESS) curves with 95% CIs were used to present the seasonal, monthly, and daily variations in the incidence of AAD.
Generalized additive models can reveal nonlinear relationships between health effects and environmental factors.
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The natural cubic spline function was used to adjust for long-term trends of date and season. Dummy variables were used to adjust for confounder variables such as seasonal trends, day of the week, and public holidays. Single-pollutant models were used to explore the individual effects of each pollutant. A multiple-pollutant model was used to explore the joint effects of all the pollutants. Degrees of freedom (df) were selected by the Akaike information criterion (AIC). The GAM model in our study was as follows:
Since the relationship between air pollution exposure and the incidence of AAD indicated an “exposure-lag-response” relationship, 23 we selected a 4-phase lag (lag0 to lag4) to estimate the short-term effects of air pollutants on AAD incidence. We also took into account moving average lags (i.e., lag 0:1, lag 0:2, and lag 0:3) to be consistent with previous studies.19,24 Lag0 indicates that the exposure and incident occurred on the same day. Lag1 indicates that the effect of exposure on incidence was delayed by one-day. Similarly, lag2, lag3 and lag4 represented 2-day, 3-day, and 4-day delays, respectively. A moving average lag of 0:1 was the average concentration of the present day and previous day. Correspondingly, lag 0:2, lag 0:3, and lag 0:4 were the averages of the present day and previous 2 days, previous 3 days, and previous 4 days, respectively.
As Xi’an is a typic central heating city and air quality varies from non-heating season to heating season, 16 we also analyzed the association between heating/non-heating season and AAD incidence. According to the central heating policy, 25 heating season begins from November 15th to March 15th next year and non-heating season begins from March 16th to November 14th.
Results
Descriptive Statistics
Time series trend of air pollutants and meteorological parameters
Table A-1 presents the summary statistics of air pollutants and weather conditions in Xi’an during the study period. Based on the Chinese National Ambient Air Quality Standards (CNAAQ) Class I (
The results of the Spearman correlation analyses between air pollutants and meteorological parameters showed that
Study population and AAD incidence trend
The study enrolled 494 AAD patients, including 372 males (75.42%) and 122 females (24.58%). The average age was 55 ± 13 years. The average length of hospital stay (LOS) was 12.42 ± 9.6 hours, indicating that AAD patient’s hospital stay was shorter than other cardiovascular diseases (e.g., 6 days for congenital heart disease 27 ), and implying that AAD was developing rapidly given the high lethality.
Figure A-5 shows the hourly, daily, and monthly trends of AAD incidence. It is clearly that the AAD incidence had a seasonal trend, with a high occurrence in cool weather (i.e., the heating season) and a low occurrence in warm weather (i.e., the non-heating season). The monthly variation shows a clear “V”-shaped pattern, with a tendency to moderately increase from January to May and sharply decrease from June to August, followed by a rapid increase from summer to winter. Specifically, AAD incidence was 1.7 times lower in July than in the rest of the year, and the difference was significant (P = .03). For 24-hour incidence, AAD incidents mostly occurred between 10
The diurnal temperature range and AAD incidence followed an inverted U-shaped pattern (Figure A-6). As the LOWESS curve shows, AAD incidence increased when the daily temperature was 5-9
Table A-3 shows the differences in meteorological conditions between the days with AAD and without AAD incidents. The average temperature and diurnal temperature range were both significantly lower on the days with AAD incidents than on those without AAD incidents. In contrast,
Single-Pollutant Models
Figure 1 shows the lagged effects of the air pollutants on AAD incidence. The RR for AAD associated with RR (with 95% CIs) for AAD incidence per 10-unit increases in 
Multi-Pollutant Models
The single-pollutant models revealed significant associations between air pollutants and the daily incidence of AADs. The combined influence of air pollutants was tested with multi-pollutant models. Since
Figure 2 presents the RRs associated with RRs (with 95% CIs) for AAD incidence with a RRs (with 95% CIs) for AAD incidence in association with 

Comparison Between the Heating Season and Non-heating Season
Xi’an’s AQIs in the heating season and non-heating seasons varied. This section discusses the different influences of
Discussion
Based on the data of 495 AAD patients in Xi’an from December 2013 to December 2016, the present study analyzed the relationships between 6 air pollutants and daily AAD incidents in a moderately polluted area. The largest group of patients was farmers, followed by retirees (176 and 118, respectively) (Table A-5). Potential reasons are that farmers are more accustomed to physical discomfort due to the nature of their work, and elderly individuals (including retirees) are a major source of cardiovascular disease. 28
The results showed that both air pollutants and temperatures affected AAD incidence. In general, the incidence of AAD showed a seasonal trend. The incidence rate was higher in heating season than in non-heating season. One possible reason is that the concentration of air pollutants is higher in heating season than in non-heating season due to central heating. The 24-hour incidence rate showed an inverted “U” pattern, where the incidence gradually increased from 6
The single-pollutant models showed that
This study has three limitations. First, this was a retrospective study with data selection bias. Second, this work used hospital admissions to reflect morbidity, so those who died before arriving at the hospital were excluded, which may cause data deviation. Third, the air pollutant monitoring sites were fixed, leading to regional limitations, and the impact of air pollution may be underestimated.
Our research makes the following contributions to the prevention of AAD. First, residents of a moderately polluted city/area with basic cardiovascular diseases, such as high blood pressure, should take preventive measures when the daily temperature difference is 9–13
Conclusion
This retrospective cohort study explored the adverse effects of air pollutants on AAD incidence in the moderately polluted city of Xi’an. The results provide evidence that cold atmospheric temperatures and relatively large daily temperature changes significantly increase the risk of AAD. The results demonstrated that increased
Footnotes
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Appendix
Basic characteristics of the AAD patients included in the study.
| Variables | Total (n = 494) |
|---|---|
| Age (year) | 55 ± 13.4 |
| Gender (male/female) | 372/122 |
| LOS (hour) | 12.42 ± 9.6 |
| Marriage (married/spinsterhood/divorce & widowhood) | 473/11/10 |
| Occupation (peasant/retirees/workers/other) | 176/118/68/132 |
LOS: length of stay.
