Future levels of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are an important determinant of the severity and timing of global warming due to elevated levels of radiatively active (greenhouse) gases in the atmosphere. Many studies have addressed this issue,. These include Rotty (1977), Keeling and Bacastow (1977), Siegenthaler and Oeschger (1978), JASON (1979), Marchetti (1980), IIASA in Haefele (1981), Lovins (1981), Hamm (1982), Nordhaus and Yohe (1983), and Reister and Rotty (1983). Ausubel and Nordhaus (1983) provide a recent critical review of emissions forecasts with a focus on methodological development, citing the advance in methodological sophistication leading to improvements in understanding long-term patterns of energy use and their relationship to CO2 emissions.
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BartellS. M.BreckJ. E.GardnerR. H.BrenkertA L. (1986). “Individual Parameter Perturbation and Error Analysis of Fish Bioenergetics Models.” Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences43: 160 68.
3.
BartellS. M.GardnerH.R.O'NeillR. V.(1983). “The Fates of Aromatics Model (FOAM): Description, Application, and Analysis.” Ecological Modelling22: 109-121.
4.
EdmondsJ. A.ReillyJ. M. (1983a). “A Long-Term, Global. Energy-Economic Model of Carbon Dioxide Release from Fossil Fuel Use.” Energy Economics5(2): 74-88.
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EdmondsJ. A.ReillyJ. M. (1983b). “Global Energy Production and Use to 2050.” The Energy Journal4(3): 21-47.
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EdmondsJ. A.ReillyJ. M. (1985). Global Energy: Assessing the Future. New York: Oxford University Press.
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GardnerR. H. (1984). “A Unified Approach to Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis.” Proceedings of IASTD (International Association of Science and Technology for Development) International Conference Applied Simulation and Modelling, June 4-6. San Francisco.
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GardnerR H.In press. “Error Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis in Ecology.” InSinehMadan, ed., Encyclopedia of Systems and Control. London: Pergamon Press.
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GardnerR. H.RojderB.BergstromU. (1983). PRISM: A Systematic Method for Determining the Effect of Parameter Uncertainties on Model Predictions. Studs-vick Enersiteknik AB report/NW-83/555. Nykoping, Sweden.
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GardnerR H.TrabalkaJ.R(1985). “Methods of Uncertainty Analysis for a Global Carbon Dioxide Model.” USDOE Technical Report, DOE/OR/Z1400-4. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.
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HaefeleW., ed., (1981). Energy In a Finite World. Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger Publishing Company.
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HammG. (1982). “Input-Output Analysis: Possible Applications to Modeling the CO;/Climate Change Problem.” Stanford, Calif.: Engineering-Economic Systems Department, Stanford University.
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HoffmanF. O.GardnerR. H. (1983). “Evaluation of Uncertainties in Environmental Radiological Assessment Models.” InTillJ. E.MeyerH. R., eds.. Radiological Assessment: A Textbook on Environmental Dose Assessment. NUREG/CR-3322. ORNL-5968. Washington. DC.: U S Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
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KeelingC. D.BacastowR. B. (1977). “Impact of Industrial Gases on Climate.” In Energy and Climate. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, pp. 72-95.
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MarchettiC (1980). “On Energy Systems in Historical Perspective.” Laxcnburg. Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
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NiehausF.WilliamsJ. (1979). “Studies of Different Energy Strategies in Terms of Their Effects on the Atmospheric CO; Concentration.” Journal of Geophysical Resources84(c6): 3123-29.
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NordhausW. D. (1979). The Efficient Use of Energy Resources. New Haven: Yale University Press.
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NordhausW. D.YoheG. (1983). “Future Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil Fuels.” InAusubel and Nordhaus, Changing Climate. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, pp. 87-153.
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PerryA. M.ArajK. J.FulkersenW.RoseD J.MillerM. M.RottyR. M. (1982). “Energy Supply and Demand: Implications of CO;.” Energy7(12): 991-1004.
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ReillyJ.EdmondsJ. (1985). “Global Energy and C02 Emissions in Changing Climate: A Review.” The Energy Journal6(3): 137-55.
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ReillyJ.DougherR.EdmondsJ.(1983). “Determinants of Global Energy Supply to Lhe Year 2050.” Working Paper No. 83-1. Oak Ridge. Tenn.: Institute for Energy Analysis.
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ReisterD. B. (1984). “An Assessment of the Contributions of Gas to the Global Emissions of Carbon Dioxide.” GRI-84'0003. Chicago: Gas Research Institute.
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RottyR. M.MarlandG. (1980). “Constraints on Carbon Dioxide Production from Fossil Fuel Use.” In W. Bach. J. Pankrath, and V. Williams, eds., Interactions of Energy and Climate. Boston: D. Reidel Publishing Company.
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SeidelS.KeyesD. (1983). Can We Delay a Greenhouse Warming? Washington, D C.: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
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