International Energy Workshop: A Summary of the 1983 Poll Responses

Abstract

Energy forecasting is a hazardous occupation. Virtually any pro- jection is doomed to be incorrect. Opinions can swing from one extreme to another during a six-month period. Our paper is not intended to provide still another projection, but rather to try to explain why different individuals and organizations arrive at divergent views on the long-term energy outlook-and therefore differ on policy decisions.