Several circumstances could lead to deep and extended interruptions of the world's supply of oil during the 1980s. The range of potential interruptions includes those on the scale experienced in 1973-74 and 1979-80 but is not limited to them. Much deeper and longer interruptions may occur or be threatened.
AimAlvin L. “Emergency Supply Interruptions and National Security.” Science211 (March27, 1981): 1381.
2.
BalasEgon. “The Strategic Petroleum Reserve: How Large Should It Be?” Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pa., 1979.
3.
BlankenshipJerry, “The Energy Problem: Costs and Policy Options.” Staff Working Paper, Office of Oil Policy, Policy and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Energy, My 23, 1980.
4.
ChaoH. P.ManneA. S. “Oil Stockpiling and Import Reductions: A Dynamic Programming Approach.” Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), Palo Alto, Calif., 1980
5.
DeeseD. A.NyeJ. S.Energy and Security. Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger, 1981.
6.
Energy Modeling Forum. “Aggregate Elasticity of Energy Demand.” The Energy Journal2, No. 2 (April1981): 37-75.
7.
KlineD.WeyantJ. P. “OECD Oil Demand Projections.” International Energy Program, Stanford University, Stanford, Calif., 1979.
8.
MorkK. A.HallR. E. “Energy Prices and the U.S. Economy in 1979-1981.” The Energy Journal1, No. 2 (April1980): 41-53.
9.
MorkK. A.HallR. E. “Energy Prices, Inflation and Recession, 1974-1975.” The Energy Journal1, No. 3 (July1980): 31-63.
10.
PittingerL. “Emergency Petroleum Production Capacity Outside the Persian Gulf.” In Rowen (13).
11.
PlummerJ. L. “Policy Implications of Energy Vulnerability.” The Ewrgy Journal2, No. 2 (April1981): 25-36.
12.
PugliaresiL.SweetnamG.MinihanS. “Energy Past: An Assessment of the Foundations of U.S. Energy Policy.” Office of Energy Security, Policy, Planning, and Analysis, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, D.C., 1981.
13.
RowenH. S. “Report on Persian Gulf Oil and Western Security.” Marina del Rey, Calif.: Pan Heuristics, 1980
14.
StockmanD. “The Hare and the Tortoise: Why Coupon Rationing Will Not Work in an Emergency.” Congressional Record, June 25, 1980.
15.
SweeneyJ. L. “Energy and Economic Growth: A Conceptual Framework.” In Directions in Energy Policy: A Comprehensive Approach to Energy