Abstract
Background:
The intensive study of predictive factors has strongly ameliorated the therapeutic flow-chart of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) by allowing the selection of patients who benefit from specific therapies. For instance, in mRAS (mutated RAS) mCRC patients, anti-EGFR drugs (cetuximab and panitumumab) are not recommended; in this group of patients, the use of anti-angiogenic drugs (bevacizumab and aflibercept) is predominant. However, at progression to standard bevacizumab-based first-line chemotherapy, still to date, there are no studies to guide oncologists in the choice of the best second-line anti-angiogenic drug (bevacizumab beyond progression
Methods:
ARBITRATION is a prospective, observational study assessing efficacy differences between second-line fluorouracil/irinotecan (FOLFIRI)/bevacizumab
Discussion:
We present a large, prospective, observational study aiming to answer two scientific questions: (1) outcome differences between second-line treatments with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab beyond progression
Trial registration:
The ARBITRATION trial (version 0.0, 13 April 2020) has been registered into the clinicaltrials.gov registry on 20 May 2020 with identifier NCT04397601.
Background
Colorectal cancer is the third most frequent neoplasm after prostate and lung in men and breast and lung cancers in women from Western countries.1,2 About 30% of patients presents at diagnosis with advanced and unresectable disease; in these cases, administration of systemic chemotherapies is the mainstay treatment. In recent years, the association with new biologic therapies including anti-angiogenic (bevacizumab and aflibercept), anti-EGFR (panitumumab and cetuximab) and multi-kinase inhibitors (regorafenib) has improved results obtained with chemotherapies (fluorouracil, irinotecan and oxaliplatin). 3 However, despite this progress in the cure of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients, the prognosis is still dismal, with median survivals that rarely encompass 24–30 months.
The intensive study of predictive factors has strongly ameliorated the therapeutic flow-chart by allowing the selection of patients who benefit from specific therapies. In this context, the assessment of RAS (N- and K-) oncogene mutations is able to predict the response to anti-EGFR agents being mutated RAS (mRAS) mCRC patients resistant to these drugs.4–6 The reason is the constitutive activation of mRAS that does not sense the ligand-receptor disruption induced by anti-EGFR monoclonal antibodies (panitumumab and cetuximab). Thus, both European Society for Medical Oncology and National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines do not recommend administration of panitumumab or cetuximab in mRAS mCRC patients.7,8 In this group of patients, the use of anti-angiogenic drugs (bevacizumab and aflibercept) is predominant.
Bevacizumab is indicated in association with chemotherapy in both first- and second-line chemotherapies of mCRC9,10 and it has been demonstrated to be active independently from RAS status.11,12 Two pivotal trials have demonstrated that it can be continued with second-line chemotherapy (bevacizumab beyond progression), being associated with improved survival compared with chemotherapy alone.13,14 Furthermore, aflibercept plus FOLFIRI, another available anti-angiogenic schedule, is able to improve survival after progression to oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy 15 with activity independent from the RAS status. 16 Thus, FOLFIRI/aflibercept is widely accepted and recommended as a suitable option in second-line treatment of mRAS mCRC patients.
Still to date there are no studies to guide oncologists in the selection of the best anti-angiogenic drug (bevacizumab beyond progression
Rationale for evaluating angiogenic factors
Neoangiogenesis has a crucial role in tumour progression. Among many soluble factors involved in this process [including vascular endothelial growth factors (VEGFs), transforming growth factor-β and angiopoietin-1 and -2, fibroblast growth factors (FGFs), placental growth factor (PlGF)], VEGF-A and its receptors have a pivotal role and are understood best.17,18
Blockage of VEGF-A is responsible for the anti-tumor effects of bevacizumab, which is a humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody specifically sequestering the VEGF-A and, in turn, inhibiting its angiogenic effects into tumors.9,10 However, aflibercept, a recombinant fusion protein between the Fc portion of IgG1 and binding portions of VEGFR 1 and 2 (VEGF Receptors 1 and 2), is an anti-angiogenic agent targeting both VEGF-A and PlGF; 19 the last has been implicated in promoting angiogenesis in later phases of tumor progression.18,20 Additionally, PlGF is one of the pivotal angiogenic factors implicated in resistance to bevacizumab.21–24
Thus, the aim of the ARBITRATION study will be to evaluate VEGF-A and PlGF levels in patients’ serum before starting second-line chemotherapy with bevacizumab or aflibercept in order to evidence any pattern related to response and/or prognosis. The hypothesis is that knowledge of relative levels of VEGF and PIGF could direct the choice for the best anti-angiogenic drug in second-line treatment of mRAS mCRC patients.
Methods and design
ARBITRATION is an observational, prospective, no-profit, two-arm, open-label study, conducted under real-word conditions and designed to describe any risk of death differences among FOLFIRI/bevacizumab and FOLFIRI/aflibercept, two suitable options in second-line treatment of mRAS mCRC patients progressing at first-line chemotherapy based on fluoropyrimidines, oxaliplatin and bevacizumab. It will be conducted in an academic center (Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS “G. Pascale” in Naples, Italy). The study includes a biomarker analysis (characterization of angiogenic factors before second-line treatment start).
Objectives
The primary objective is patients’ survival (overall survival; OS) according to the different schedules. Activity will be evaluated according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria, version 1.1. Secondary objectives include: safety, responses’ duration, and progression-free survival (PFS). Toxicity will be graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events the National Cancer Institute, version 4.0, 14 June 2010. Response duration is defined as the time elapsing from documentation of objective response (Complete Response [CR] or Partial Response [PR]) to tumor progression. PFS will be calculated from the treatment start until progression (according to RECIST), OS until death from any cause. Tertiary objective is the study of angiogenic biological markers (VEGF-A and PlGF) as predictors of outcome (see the “Translational research” section below). Intent-to-treat population and per-protocol population will be investigated simultaneously.
Ethical considerations
The protocol has been designed and developed according to the principles of the Good Clinical Practice guidelines of the International Conference on Harmonization and of the Declaration of Helsinki. The study has been approved by the Ethical Committee of the National Cancer Institute of Naples, Italy (No. 04/20). All patients will provide a written informed consent before starting treatment and blood samples collection. The privacy of patients included in the ARBITRATION study will be carefully protected by the Structure that has the responsibility for registration, collection and management of personal data. Patient names will be not provided to persons not involved in the study, with the exception of the Ministry of Health or Ethics Committees (as required by the current legislation only for inspection and control purposes). After registration in the study, a progressive numerical code will be assigned to the patients and will be used to identify them in all documents, electronic data systems or communications. A list to translate numerical codes in patients’ names will exist exclusively at the Secretariat of the ARBITRATION study.
Study design and statistical considerations
Assumptions for sample size calculation were derived from the literature and internal dataset reviews in plenary consensus discussion. A test power of 80% and a median survival of 9 months in second-line treatment of mCRC patients were chosen for statistical design. The final sample will be 220 patients (110 per arm) considering a hazard ratio of 0.67 between the two schedules as indicated by our bio-statisticians. The significance will be verified with a two-tailed log-rank test with an alpha value of the I-type error of 5%. Time-to-outcome will be described by Kaplan–Meier curves. Prognostic factors will be studied through multivariable analyses based on the Cox model. Descriptive statistics and associations between variables (including angiogenic biomarkers’ levels) will be conducted with χ2, Mann–Whitney
The basic characteristics of patients will be described for the categorical variables as total number and percentage and for the continuous variables as mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range. Summary statistics on dose changes, interruptions, non-compliance, and treatment duration will be done.
Eligibility criteria
The inclusion criteria for enrollment in the ARBITRATION study overlap with the institutional clinical practice and are:
Cytological or histological diagnosis of mRAS colorectal adenocarcinoma;
Progression at first-line chemotherapy with fluoropyrimidines, oxaliplatin and bevacizumab;
Stage IV;
Age <75 years;
ECOG Performance Status 0 or 1;
Adequate organ system functions defined as follows: absolute neutrophil count ⩾1.5 × 109/L; hemoglobin ⩾9.0 g/dL; platelets ⩾90 × 109/L; total bilirubin ⩽1.5 × upper limit of normal (ULN); alanine aminotransferase ⩽2.5 × ULN; estimated glomerular filtration rate ⩾30 mL/min per 1.73 m2; spot urine [albumin/creatinine ratios (spot urine)] <500 mg/g (56 mg per/mmol); left ventricular ejection fraction ⩾45%;
Life expectancy >3 months;
Negative pregnancy test for all potentially childbearing women.
The main exclusion criteria are as follows:
Presence of primary non-treated stenosing colorectal neoplasm;
Active or uncontrolled infections;
Recent or active bleedings;
Coagulopathy of any cause;
Cardiovascular diseases including inadequately controlled hypertension, coronary artery disease, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, moderate/severe arrhythmias, aortic aneurysm requiring surgical repair, moderate/sever valvular heart diseases, recent deep vein thrombosis with or without pulmonary embolism, recent arterial thrombosis;
Other concomitant uncontrolled or uncompensated diseases (diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, etc.);
Blood laboratory values contraindicating the study drugs at clinician evaluation;
Presence of brain metastases;
Refusal or inability to provide informed consent;
Impossibility to guarantee follow-up.
Therapeutic schedules
ARBITRATION is a prospective, observational, non-randomized study. The therapeutic schedules will be administered at oncologist discretion following the best clinical practice and are represented by FOLFIRI/bevacizumab and FOLFIRI/aflibercept. These schedules will consist of irinotecan (180 mg/m2), leucovorin (400 mg/m2), fluorouracil as an intravenous bolus of 400 mg/m2, and fluorouracil as a continuous 46-h infusion of 2400 mg/m2 in combination with either bevacizumab (5 mg/kg) (FOLFIRI/bevacizumab) or aflibercept (4 mg/kg) (FOLFIRI/aflibercept) on day 1 of each 14-day cycle. Atropine 0.25 mg
Drugs’ dose modifications
Dose modifications will be applied in relation to occurrence of toxicities and, once modified, the dose will be the same in all subsequent cycles. Toxicity recovery (grade ⩽1) will be mandatory for re-challenge of therapy. A 20% reduction of chemotherapy will be allowed in the case of grade 2 hematologic or non-hematologic toxicities (except for alopecia). A dose reduction of 50% will be applied at the second relapse of grade 2 or at first grade 3 toxicities; however, after a third grade 2 or a second grade 3 toxicity or after the first appearance of grade ⩾2 cardiovascular chemotherapy will be permanently interrupted. Chemotherapy will be also stopped in the case of first occurrence of grade 4 haematologic or non-haematologic toxicity. Bevacizumab or aflibercept will be permanently stopped in the case of one of the following side effects: gastrointestinal perforation, grade ⩾3 thromboembolism, grade 4 hemorrhage, grade ⩾3 hypertension or proteinuria, congestive heart failure. Anti-hypertensive medications (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and/or calcium antagonists at standard doses) will be applied in the case of grade ⩾2 hypertension, or in the case of any symptomatic blood pressure increase of both diastolic and systolic values as compared with baseline. Chemotherapy will be discontinued in the case of administration delay for more than 4 weeks; in this case, the exclusive administration of anti-angiogenic drugs will be permitted. No prophylactic use of G-CSF or erythropoetin is planned.
Timing of exams and procedures
Screening phase
The screening phase of the ARBITRATION study will begin after signing of the informed consent and it will consist in the evaluation of the inclusion and exclusion criteria and in the collection of a venous blood sample (10 mL) for the determination of angiogenic biomarkers. According to our clinical practice, baseline visit and exams will be performed within 28 days before therapy start (clinical history, clinical examination, ECOG Performance Status, vital signs). Blood count, clinical biochemistry, CarcinoEmbryonic Antigen (CEA), Carcinoma Antigen 19.9 (CA19.9), electrocardiogram (ECG) and cardiac ultrasonography with evaluation of the ventricular ejection fraction will be performed in our local facilities. Total-body computed tomography (CT) with intravenous (i.v.) contrast or, if contraindicated, abdomen magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and chest CT without i.v. contrast will be obtained. Pregnancy test will be done for all potentially childbearing women and must be negative. The test can also be repeated during second-line treatment if requested by the local Ethics Committee. However, all patients will be invited to use barrier methods for anti-conception.
Treatment phase
Clinical examination, evaluation of vital parameters, blood count and clinical biochemistry will be performed at day 1 of each cycle before administration of both chemotherapy schedules (every 2 weeks). Cardiological evaluation, CEA, CA19.9 and assessment of response to treatment through total-body CT with i.v. contrast (if contraindicated: abdomen MRI and chest CT without i.v. contrast) will be performed every 3 months.
End-of-treatment phase
The end-of-study visit should be done within 30 days of the last occurrence of administration of therapy for progression, toxicity and/or upon patient request. Additional therapies or follow-up procedures will be permitted at the discretion of the oncologist responsible for the medical treatment. The following data will be collected at the final visit: ECOG Performance Status, clinical examination, tumor status, vital signs, blood count and clinical biochemistry. The “patient death form” must be completed when the patient dies.
Follow-up
All patients included in the ARBITRATION study will be followed up through monitoring visits planned at our center every 3 months. At each visit, considering the high-risk of progression, all patients will perform clinical examination, blood count and clinical biochemistry, cardiological evaluation (ECG and cardiac ultrasonography), CEA, CA19.9 and total-body CT with i.v. contrast (if contraindicated: abdomen MRI and chest CT without i.v. contrast). Timing of exams and procedures is summarized in Figure 1 and Table 1.

Ideal timeline of ARBITRATION study.
Schedule of assessments for ARBITRATION study.
CA19.9, Carcinoma Antigen; CEA, CarcinoEmbryonic Antigen; i.v., intravenous; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; ECOG PS, ECOG Performance Status.
Data management
All information related to the protocol will be registered in electronic Case Report Forms (eCRFs). Institutional Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) have been applied for writing and presenting this protocol to the Ethical Committee and will ensure patient safety and the integrity of the clinical data (integral SOPs can be requested at
Patients’ study withdrawals
Patients’ withdrawals from study therapy will be registered in eCRFs. The information will include date and reason for cessation. Patients’ off study therapy will be followed up until death. Point censoring will be applied at a reasonably very low rate if the patient is lost to follow-up or the event does not occur within the study duration. Patients receiving an “incorrect” treatment or stopping the treatment early for any reason will be not excluded from the time-to-outcome analysis; all patients receiving at least one dose of treatment will be included in the descriptive statistics as well as in safety analysis.
Translational research
Biomarkers levels (VEGF-A and PlGF) will be evaluated in patients’ serum before starting the second-line chemotherapy and correlated with outcomes and therapy effectiveness. If available, they will be also assessed in Formalin-Fixed Paraffin Embedded (FFPE) specimens from primary and metastatic tumor tissues. These investigations will be conducted in the laboratories of the
Data dissemination
Final results of the study will be presented at national and international meetings. The findings of the ARBITRATION study will be submitted for publication to peer-reviewed open access medical/scientific journals. If appropriate, upon Scientific Director authorization, the results of the study will be disseminated by press releases by the Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS “G. Pascale”.
Discussion
The identification of predictive and prognostic biomarkers in mCRC patients is under intensive investigation. To date, RAS oncogene status (mutated
We have recently reported a real practice experience,
25
which is on the basis of the ARBITRATION study design. We found that the two schedules (FOLFIRI/bevacizumab
The choice to design the ARBITRATION protocol as an observational non-randomized study was mainly due to the fact that both FOLFIRI/aflibercept and FOLFIRI/bevacizumab are largely suitable and approved therapeutic options as second-line treatment in mRAS mCRC. Thus, a “control” group could not be identified and randomization with more stringent eligibility criteria would have limited the patients’ enrollment rate. In this context, observational studies do not require randomization and are an acceptable tool to observe outcomes differences. Although randomized studies (randomized controlled trials; RCTs) are considered more reliable because randomization reduces errors and/or biases, very rarely are well-designed, prospective, observational studies (with a clear and
In conclusion, we present a large, prospective, observational protocol aiming to describe: (1) survival differences between second-line treatments with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab beyond progression
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
We acknowledge the LILT (Lega Italiana per la Lotta contro i Tumori – sezione di Napoli) for precious collaboration and we are grateful to Dr. Alessandra Trocino, Librarian at IRCCS “G. Pascale” of Naples, Italy, for bibliographic assistance.
Author contributions
All authors have read and approved the manuscript before submission.
AO, SS, GN contributed to study protocol conception and writing.
MN, AT, CDA, LP contributed to planning the translational research.
OC, ADM, FT, CP, MC, AP, VA, FI, AAm, UP, MDM, PD contributed to planning the clinical aspects of the protocol including evaluations of primary and secondary objectives.
MT, PC, GB, GDF contributed to the statistical design and procedural aspects of the protocol.
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
The “Comitato Etico IRCCS Pascale” (President Prof. Francesco Paolo Casavola, email:
Funding
The authors disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: The “Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli – IRCCS G. Pascale”, via M. Semmola, 80131, Naples, Italy, will provide funds for translational research and publication costs related to the ARBITRATION study. This funding body had no role in the design of ARBITRATION study and will not have any in collection, execution, analyses or interpretation of data. Furthermore, the funding source will not have any role in the decision to submit results of the study for publication. There is no external or government funding.
