Abstract
Widespread uncertainty in engineering problems makes it necessary to carry out structural reliability analysis. The crude Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method can obtain accurate results, but it requires a large number of model evaluations. The Kriging-based method is a feasible way to reduce the computational cost. This study proposes a novel adaptive analysis method. Firstly, the convergence condition based on estimation accuracy is introduced. This condition focuses on the precision of the failure probability rather than the state of the points in the candidate sample pool. Then three extended
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