AK-PDF: An active learning method combining kriging and probability density function for efficient reliability analysis

Abstract

An important challenge in structural reliability is to reduce the number of calls to evaluate the performance function, especially the complex implicit performance functions. To reduce the computational burden and improve the reliability analysis efficiency, a new active learning method is developed to consider the probability density function of samples based on the learning function U in an active learning reliability method that combines the kriging and Monte Carlo simulation. In the proposed method, the proposed active learning function contains two parts: part A is based on function U, and part B is based on the probability density function and function U. By changing the weights of parts A and B, the sample points close the limit-state function, and those in the region with a higher probability density function have more weight to be selected compared to the others. Subsequently, the kriging model can be constructed more effectively. The proposed method avoids a large number of time-consuming function evaluations, and the recommended weight is also reported. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated through three numerical examples and one engineering example. The results demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method.