FoulkesMADavisCE: An index of tracking for longitudinal dataBiometrics1981, 37:439–446.
2.
McMahonCA: An index of trackingBiometrics1981, 37:447–455.
3.
WareJHWuMC: Tracking: Prediction of future values from serial measurementsBiometrics1981, 37:427–437.
4.
MorgensternBZ: Hypertension in pediatric patients: Current issuesMayo Clin Proc1994, 69:1089–1097.
5.
SinaikoAR: Current concepts: Hypertension in childrenN Engl J Med1996, 335:1968–1973. * The best recent review of hypertension, its diagnosis and management in children and adolescents. The approach to management, and the consideration of hyperinsulinemia as an underlying mechanism are more controversial than in the recent consensus document.
6.
The Society of Actuaries and Associations of Life Insurance Medical Directors of America: Blood Pressure Study, 1979. Chicago, IL: Society of Actuaries and Association of Life Insurance Medical Directors of America, 1980.
7.
UrbinaEMGiddingSSBaoWPickoffASBerdusisKBerensonGS: Effect of body size, ponderosity, and blood pressure on left ventricular growth in children and young adults in the Bogolusa Heart StudyCirculation1995, 91:2400–2406. ∗ Although the importance of left ventricular topography and hypertrophy have not yet been as well established in pediatrics as in adult medicine, the effects of blood pressure in increasing left ventricular mass are probably similar in both age groups; the relationship to body size is more difficult to account for in children.
8.
LabartheDREissaMVarasC: Childhood precursors of high blood pressure and elevated cholesterolAnnu Rev Public Health1991, 12:519–541. ∗ A good review of the changes in these important cardiovascular risk factors seen in both childhood and adults, which takes the position that both blood pressure and cholesterol can be predicted in adults, on the basis of values obtained during youth.
9.
WoelkG: Blood pressure tracking from child to adulthood: A reviewCent Afr J Med1994, 40:163–169. ∗ A good review of recent studies of blood pressure tracking, focusing on issues related to pediatrics (and especially relevant to pediatrics in Africa).
10.
GillmanMWRosnerBEvansDAKeoughMESmithLATaylorJO: Use of multiple visits to increase blood pressure tracking correlations in childhoodPediatrics1991, 87:708–711.
GillmanMWCookNRRosnerBEvansDAKeoughMETaylorJO: Identifying children at high risk for the development of essential hypertensionJ Pediatr.1993, 122:837–846. * A good summary of the work of these authors, with a limited database of schoolchildren's blood pressures, which discusses also the relative predictive values of single and multiple measurements of an individual's blood pressure, and the difficulties of making public policy on a basis of incomplete information about prognosis for young children related to cardiovascular events decades later.
13.
DonahueRPPrineasRJGomezOHongCP: Tracking of elevated systolic blood pressure among lean and overweight adolescents: The Minneapolis Children's Blood Pressure StudyJ Hypertens1994, 12:303–308. ∗ Blood pressure tracks similarly in lean and overweight adolescents, when differences in maturation and height are taken into account.
14.
WattigneyWAWebberLSSrinivasanSRBerensonGS: The emergence of clinically abnormal levels of cardiovascular disease risk factor variables among young adults: The Bogalusa Heart StudyPrev Med1995, 24:617–626. ∗ Blood pressure, obesity and dyslipidemia all track significantly from early childhood to adulthood.
15.
Working Group from the National High Blood Pressure Education Program: Update on the Task Force (1987) on High Blood Pressure in Children and AdolescentsPediatrics1996, 98:649–658. * The most recent consensus opinion of the United States' Expert Panel on Hypertension in Children and Adolescents.
16.
ReavenGM: Role of insulin resistance in human disease: Banting Lecture 1988Diabetes1988, 37:1595–1607.
17.
BarkerDJPHalesCNFallCHDOsmondCPhippsKClarkPMS: Type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidaemia (Syndrome X): Relation to reduced fetal growthDiabetologia1993, 36:62–67. ∗ Systolic blood pressure, insulin resistance and dyslipidemia correlate inversely with birth weight.
18.
BaoWSrinivasanSRWattigneyWABerensonGS: Persistence of multiple cardiovascular risk clustering related to syndrome X from childhood to young adulthood. The Bogalusa Heart StudyArch Intern Med1994, 154:1842–1847. ∗ Increased blood pressure, dyslipidemia, obesity and glucose intolerance all track from childhood to adulthood, but the ‘clustering’ of all four tracks better than any one abnormality by itself.
19.
SavagePJSholinskyPFlackJMLiuK: Tracking of cardiovascular disease risk factor clusters in young adults: The CARDIA study [abstract]Circulation1992, 86 (suppl I):I198.
20.
RaitakariOTPorkkaKVRasanenLRonnemaaTViikariJS: Clustering and six year cluster-tracking of serum total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol and diastolic blood pressure in children and young adults. The Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns StudyJ Clin Epidemiol1994, 47:1085–1093.
21.
PaffenbargerRSThorneMCWingAL: Chronic disease in former college students. VIII. Characteristics in youth predisposing to hypertension in later yearsAm J Epidemiol1968, 88:25–32.
22.
MillarJAIslesCGLeverAF: Blood pressure, ‘white-coat’ pressor responses and cardiovascular risk in placebo-group patients of the MRC Mild Hypertension trialJ Hypertens1995, 13:175–183. * Examination of several important questions about blood pressure in the set of patients randomly assigned to receive placebo in the first MRC trial. Even in this well-run clinical trial, there was evidence of a temporary increase in blood pressure in response to a physician, and blood pressure tracking over the 5 years of follow-up.
23.
VirdisRVanelliMStreetMZampolliMDe FantiACantoniS: Blood pressure tracking in adolescents with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitusJ Hum Hypertens1994, 8:313–317. ∗ Tracking of blood pressure in high-risk individual patients not known to have hypertension can discern a point at which further increase in blood pressure becomes of more importance, even before arbitrary and commonly accepted thresholds have been crossed.
24.
KarachaliouFHKaravanakiKGreenwoodRMorganHBaumJD: Consistency of microvascular and autonomic abnormalities in diabetesArch Dis Child1996, 75:124–128. ∗ Among children with diabetes, both systolic and diastolic blood pressures (and other abnormalities) track over a 4-year period, but whether these predict clinical disease when the patients age remains unproven.
25.
LawCMde SwietMOsmondCFayersPMBarkerDJCurddasAM: Initiation of hypertension in utero and its amplification throughout lifeBMJ1993, 306:24–27. ∗ This survey of 6725 people (1895 children, 3699 middle-aged, and 1231 older individuals) in Britain found an inverse correlation between systolic blood pressure and birth weight, after accounting for current weight as a confounder. Essential hypertension thus begins in fetal life, and is amplified from growth to old age.
26.
LawCMBarkerDJ: Fetal influences on blood pressureJ Hypertens1993, 12:1329–1332.
27.
KaplanNM: The deadly quartet: Upper-body obesity, glucose intolerance, hypertriglyceridemia, and hypertensionArch Intern Med1989, 149:1514–1520.
28.
Pathobiological Determinants of Atherosclerosis in Youth (PDAY) Research Group: Relationship of atherosclerosis in young men to serum lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations and smokingJAMA1990, 264:3018–3023.
29.
HofmanAValkenburgHAMaasJGroustraFN: The natural history of blood pressure in childhoodInt J Epidemiol1985, 14:91–96.
30.
MichelsVVBergstralhEHovemanVRO'FallonWMWeidmanWH: Tracking and prediction of blood pressure in childrenMayo Clin Proc1987, 62:875–881.
31.
LittenbergBGarberAMSoxHCJr: Screening for hypertensionAnn Intern Med1990, 112:192–202.
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LittenbergB: A practice guideline revisited: Screening for hypertensionAnn Intern Med1995, 122:937–939.
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JohannessonM: The impact of age on the cost-effectiveness of hypertension treatments: An analysis of randomized drug trialsMed Decis Making1994, 14:236–418.
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JonssonBG: Cost-benefit of treating hypertensionJ Hypertens1994, 12 (suppl):S65–S75.
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HoutmanPNDillonMJ: Routine measurement of blood pressure in schoolchildrenArch Dis Child1991, 66:567–568.
36.
ZinnerSHMargoliusHSRosnerBKassE: Stability of blood pressure rank and urinary kallikrein concentrations in childhood: An eight year follow-upCirculation1978, 58:908–915.
37.
WebberLSCresantaJLVoorAWBerensonGS: Tracking of cardiovascular disease risk factor variables in school age childrenJ Chron Dis1983, 36:647–660.
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ShearCBurkeGLFreedmanDSBerensonGS: Value of childhood blood pressure measurements and family history in predicting future blood pressure status: Results from eight years follow up in the Bogalusa Heart StudyPediatrics1986, 77:862–869.
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BerensonGSWattigneyWABaoWNicklasTAJiangXRushJA: Epidemiology of early primary hypertension and implications for prevention: The Bogalusa Heart StudyJ Hum Hypertens1994, 8:303–311.
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NelsonMJRaglandDRSymeSL: Longitudinal prediction of adult blood pressure from juvenile blood pressure levelsAm J Epidemiol1992, 136:633–645.
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Oriola-FontSCalvo-RigualF: Correlation of arterial tension in the child population of Guadasuar [in Spanish]An Esp Pediatr1993, 38:403–406.
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LiLWangYCaoWXuFCaoJ: Longitudinal studies of blood pressure in childrenAsia Pac J Public Health1995, 8:130–133.
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ClarkeWRSchrottHGLeavertonPEConnorWELauerRM: Tracking of blood lipids and blood pressure in school aged children: The Muscatine StudyCirculation1978, 58:626–634.
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AndreJDeschampsJPPetitJCGueguenR: Change of blood pressure over five years in childhood and adolescenceClin Exp Hypertens [A]1986, 8:539–545.
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VoorsAWWebberLSBerensonGS: Time course study of blood pressure in children — the Bogalusa Heart StudyAm J Epidemiol1979, 109:320–334.
BaoWThreefootSASrinivasanSRBerensonGS: Essential hypertension predicted by tracking of elevated blood pressure from childhood to adulthood: The Bogolusa Heart StudyAm J Hypertens1995, 8:657–665. ∗ An increased systolic blood pressure measured during childhood was the best predictor of hypertension in adults aged 21-30 years, even when corrected for body mass index; the odds ratio was 3.6 in the top quintile for systolic and 2.6 for diastolic blood pressure, compared with all other quintiles of childhood blood pressure.
48.
LevineRSHennekensCHKleinB: A longitudinal evaluation of blood pressure in childhoodAm J Public Health1979, 69:1175–1177.
49.
SuhINamCMLeeESKimISLeeSY: Blood pressure tracking in Korean schoolchildrenInt J Epidemiol1994, 23:710–715.
50.
AbeKNishioTMoriCHanedaNWatanabeK: A longitudinal study of blood pressure, cholesterol and left ventricular muscle volume in children: The Shimane Heart StudyActa Paediatr Jpn1993, 35:130–137.
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HigginsMKellerJBMetznerHLMooreFEOstranderLD: Studies of blood pressure in Tecumseh, Michigan. II. Antecedents in childhood of high blood pressure in young adultsHypertension1980, 2 (suppl I):117–123.
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ShashaSCohen-TalIEpsteinLTamirA: Tracking of blood pressure in children: Results of seven years of follow-up: The Nahariya StudyIsr J Med Sci1988, 24:671–675.
53.
WoynarowskaBMukherjeeDRocheAFSiervogelRM: Blood pressure changes during adolescence and subsequent adult blood pressure levelHypertension1985, 7:695–701.
54.
HaltHILerneshawSRosenmanKD: A longitudinal study of blood pressure in a national survey of childrenAm J Public Health1982, 72:1285–1287.
55.
KemperHGSnelJVerschuurRStorm-van EssenL: Tracking of health and risk indicators of cardiovascular diseases from teenager to adult: Amsterdam Growth and Health StudyPrev Med1990, 19:642–655.
56.
BeckettLARosnerBRocheAFGuoS: Serial changes in blood pressure from adolescence into adulthoodAm J Epidemiol1992, 135:1166–1177.
57.
KotchenJMMcKeanHEKotchenTA: Blood pressure trends with agingHypertension1984, 4 (suppl III):III128–III134.
58.
McCueCMMillerWWMauckHPJrRobertsonLParrEL: Adolescent blood pressure in Richmond, Virginia schoolsVa Med1979, 106:210–220.
59.
YongLCKullerLH: Tracking of blood pressure from adolescence to middle age: The Dormont High School StudyPrev Med1994, 23:418–426. ∗ Both systolic and diastolic blood pressure track significantly from childhood to adulthood, but not as well as weight tracks; the differences between genders may be explained by the difference in when boys and girls have their ‘growth spurt’.
60.
AndersenLBHaraldsdottirJ: Tracking of cardiovascular disease risk factors including maximal oxygen uptake and physical activity from late teenage to adulthood. An 8-year follow-up studyJ Intern Med1993, 234:309–315. ∗ Many cardiovascular risk factors, including blood pressure, track from childhood to adulthood, especially in men with lower socioeconomic status who develop poor health habits.
61.
FroomPBar-davidMRibakJVanDykDKallnerBBenbassatJ: Predictive value of systolic blood pressure in young men for elevated systolic blood pressure 12 to 15 years laterCirculation1983, 68:467–469.
62.
TateRBManfredaJKrahnADCuddyTE: Tracking of blood pressure over a 40-year period in the University of Manitoba Follow-up Study, 1948-88Am J Epidemiol1995, 142:946–954. ∗ In this study of nearly 4000 men recruited to Air Force service during World War II, blood pressure tracked significantly over a 40-year period, and was most stable in middle age (45-55 years).
63.
AndreJLSpyckerelleYGuegenR: Future of blood pressure in young adults during 15 years of follow-up [in French]Arch Mal Coeur1995, 88:1187–1191. ∗ Although blood pressure tracked significantly during 15 years of follow-up in 2752 people, the best predictor of blood pressure was always the result of the previous measurement.
64.
GillumRFTaylorHLBrozekJPolanskyPBlackburnH: Indices of obesity and blood pressure in young men followed 32 yearsJ Chron Dis1972, 35:211–219.
65.
ObermanALaneNEHarlanWRGraybielAMitchellRE: Trends in systolic blood pressure in the thousand aviation cohort over a twenty-four year periodCirculation1967, 36:812–822.
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KannelWBSorliePGordonT: Labile hypertension: A faulty concept? The Framingham StudyCirculation1980, 61:1180–1187.