A New Methods of Predicting Voting Behaviour

HOLSTEIN R (1991). Comparison of the likelihood to vote among pre-election poll respondents and non respondents. Public Opinion Quarterly, 55, 648–650.

CONVERSE P (1966). The concept of a normal vote. In Elections and the Political Order. Campbell A (Ed), New York: Wiley.

DAY D ; GAN B ; GENDALL P , & ESSLEMONT D (1991). Predicting purchase behaviour. Marketing Bulletin, 2, 18–30.

DAY R , & BECKER K (1984). Pre-election polling in the 1982 Illinois gubernatorial contest. Public Opinion Quarterly, 48, 606–614.

FENWICK I ; WISEMAN F ; BECKER J , & HERMAN J (1982). Classifying undecided voters in pre-election polls. Public Opinion Quarterly, 46, 383–391.

FREEMAN H (1953). A note on the prediction of who votes. Public Opinion Quarterly, 17, 288–292.

GENDALL P ; Esslemont II , & DAY D (1991). A comparison of two versions of the Juster Scale using self-completion questionnaires. Journal of the Market Research Society, 33, 257–263.

JUSTER F (1966). Consumer Buying Intentions and Purchase Probability. Occasional Paper 99, National Bureau of Economic Research, Columbia University Press.

KRAUT H , & MCCONAHAY J (1973). How being interviewed affects voting: an experiment. Public Opinion Quarterly, 37, 398–406.

LAMPERT S (1978). A new approach to pre-election polling. Public Opinion Quarterly, 42, 259–264.

LAMPERT S , & TZINER A (1985). A predictive study of voting behaviour using Lampert's Pollimeter. Social Behaviour and Personality, 13, 1–9.

MILLER M (1952). The Waukegan Study of voter turnout prediction. Public Opinion Quarterly, 16, 381–398,

MITOFsKY W (1981). The 1980 pre-election polls: a review of disparate methods and results. American Statistical Association Proceedings of the Section on Survey Research, 47–52.

PERRY P (1960). Election survey procedures of the Gallup Poll. Public Opinion Quarterly, 24, 581–542.

PERRY P (1973). Comparison of the voting preferences of likely voters and likely nonvoters. Public Opinion Quarterly, 37, 99–109.

PERRY P (1979). Certain problems in election survey methodology. Public Opinion Quarterly 43, 312–325.

PETROCIK J (1988). An algorithm for estimating turnout as a guide to predicting elections. Public Opinion Quarterly, 55, 643–647.

PICKERING J , & ISHERWOOD B (1974). Purchase probabilities and consumer durable buying behaviour. Journal of the Market Research Society 16, 203–226.

SHAMIR J (1986). Pre-election polls in Israel: structural constraints on accuracy. Public Opinion Quarterly, 50, 62–75.

TRAUGOTT M , & KATOSH J (1979). Response validity in surveys of voting behaviour. Public Opinion Quarterly, 43, 359–378.

TRAUCOTT M , & TUCKER C (1984). Strategies for predicting whether a citizen will vote and estimation of electoral outcomes. Public Opinion Quarterly, 48, 330–343.