Abstract
The prevalence of venous thromboembolism is high in patients with COVID-19, despite prophylactic anticoagulation. The evidence that supports the preferred thromboprophylaxis regimen in non-critically ill patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 is still limited. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of hospitalized patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 who received standard thromboprophylaxis anticoagulation with intermediate to high prophylaxis regimens. We systematically searched MEDLINE and Embase databases for published studies until August 17th, 2022. We included studies on patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 who received thromboprophylaxis during their hospital stay. Patients who received standard prophylaxis dose “control group” were compared to patients who received intermediate to high prophylaxis “intervention group”. Random effect models were used when pooling crude numbers and adjusted effect estimates of study outcomes. A comprehensive analysis was conducted, encompassing seven studies involving a total of 1931 patients. The risk of all-cause thrombosis was not statistically different between the two groups (risk ratio [RR] 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.11, 20.21]). The risk of minor bleeding was reported to be lower in patients who received intermediate to high prophylaxis (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.21, 1.97), while had a higher risk of major bleeding compared with the standard prophylaxis (RR 1.40, 95% CI 0.43, 4.61); however, did not reach the statistical significance. The overall risk for all hospital mortality favored the utilization of intermediate to high doses over the standard thromboprophylaxis dosing (RR 0.47, 95%CI 0.29, 0.75). In medically ill patients with COVID-19, there is no difference between standard and intermediate to high prophylaxis dosing regarding thrombosis and bleeding. However, it appears that intermediate to high prophylaxis regimens are linked to additional survival benefits.
Keywords
Introduction
Several patients with Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) develop signs and symptoms related to venous thromboembolism (VTE). 1 The prevalence of VTE is high in critically ill patients with COVID-19 despite the use of prophylactic anticoagulation. 2 The reported prevalence of pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with COVID-19 was 7.8% and 11.2%, respectively. 3 The development of pulmonary microvascular thrombosis may be attributed to the pathogenesis of COVID-19 in the lungs. 2
Parenteral anticoagulation is recommended for thromboprophylaxis in acutely ill hospitalized patients with a high risk of thrombosis.4,5 In patients with COVID-19, high D-dimer levels have been reported as one of the strongest predictors of mortality. 2 Therefore, higher parental thromboprophylaxis doses have been used in patients with COVID-19. 6 A meta-analysis including randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing thromboprophylaxis standards dose to escalated dose in critically and non-critically ill patients with COVID-19, showed that escalated dose of anticoagulation was not associated with mortality benefit, but was associated with a significant increase in any bleeding in non-critically ill, but not in critically ill patients (P = 0.03). 6 However, the benefit of escalated thromboprophylaxis regimen was demonstrated in patients with COVID-19 patients who were critically ill.6,7
Despite the lack of solid evidence supporting standard thromboprophylaxis regimens in non-critically ill patients, clinical guidelines recommend using a standard prophylactic dose of anticoagulation for acutely ill patients with COVID-19 based on expert opinion.4,8,9 The evidence that supports the preferred thromboprophylaxis regimen in non-critically ill patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 is still limited. Thus, this study aims to compare the clinical outcomes of non-critically ill hospitalized patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 who received standard thromboprophylaxis anticoagulation doses to intermediate to high regimens.
Methods
This systematic review and meta-analysis wasregistered in the international prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO) with a reference number CRD42022350918. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guideline was followed during the design of this study.
Search Strategy and Study Selection
We searched the literature using MEDLINE and Embase databases. There were no restrictions on publication date or language. All studies published up until August 17, 2022, were included. Furthermore, we hand-searched the reference lists in review articles identified during this search and the final included studies to identify additional potentially eligible papers. We specified our search terms to those related to the population of interest, which is non-critically ill, hospital-admitted patients with COVID-19, and the intervention of interest, which is thromboprophylaxis. Full details of the search strategy, and the medical subject heading (MeSH) terms used is provided in the Supplemental Material 1.
Studies including adult patients aged 18 years or older, who were hospital admitted for non-critically ill COVID-19 and receiving intermediate to high prophylaxis anticoagulation doses during their hospital stay, were included. We compared two thromboprophylaxis regimens: the “control” for patients who received standard prophylaxis or “intervention” for those who received intermediate to high prophylaxis doses. We planned to include studies of any design (ie, observational, and interventional studies) and further perform the analysis separately by design. We excluded any study that included critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs) or treated in outpatient settings. Furthermore, studies investigating oral anticoagulation agents or VTE treatment doses of anticoagulation were excluded.
Titles and abstracts found in the literature search were first screened for eligibility by two independent reviewers (O.A. and K.A.) using Abstrackr, a web tool designed for screening the studies. 10 Second, two independent reviewers (H.J. and A.H.) screened the full-text articles for eligibility. Any disagreements were resolved in discussion with a third reviewer (H.J. and K.A.).
Study Outcomes
The prespecified primary outcome was the risk of arterial and venous thrombotic events (All-cause thrombosis). Secondary outcomes were the risk of bleeding events (either major or minor), in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and the need for organ support. Bleeding was defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH). 11 Meta-analyses were conducted for this study's outcomes if they were reported by at least two or more of the eligible studies.
Data Extraction and Quality Assessment
Two independent reviewers extracted all the data regarding the sample size, characteristics of the study population, study subjects, outcome measurements, and results (S.A. and K.S.). A third reviewer (H.A. or K.A.) was consulted if there were any disagreements. We used a pre-defined data extraction form to extract all relevant data. The quality assessment was performed for eligible studies according to the Newcastle–Ottawa quality assessment scale (NOS), a validated scale for non-randomized studies. 12 This scale awards a maximum of nine points to each study: four for selecting participants and measuring exposure, two for comparing cohorts based on the design or analysis, and three for assessing outcomes and adequacy of follow-up. The results from the NOS were translated into the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality standards of ‘good’, ‘fair’ and ‘poor’ quality. 13 The Cochrane quality assessment tool was used to assess the quality of included randomized control trials. 14 Two investigators assessed the quality of included studies independently, and a third investigator was consulted in case of any disagreements.
Data Synthesis
The meta-analysis was conducted by pooling the appropriate data using R statistical software version 4.1.2. Random effects models were used to combine data as some heterogeneity between studies was expected. The analysis was repeated using a fixed-effect model as a sensitivity analysis.
Studies that reported on at least one of the study outcomes were included in the meta-analysis. We performed meta-analyses of the study outcomes by either using crude numbers or adjusted analysis depending on the availability of these data, using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models. 15 The analyses were performed separately for studies that provided adjusted as opposed to crude numbers. For crude analysis, we pooled the data by using relative risk (RRs) when the number of events was available.
We used adjusted hazard ratios (HRs), odds ratios (ORs), and their 95% confidence internvals (CIs) of study outcomes if reported. However, we first converted the ORs to RRs before combining the calculated RRs and HRs using the method of Zhang and Yu. 16 We included the most adjusted HRs or ORs reported; if only unadjusted ORs were reported, we included them as well. Furthermore, we ran the primary analysis, including all the eligible studies regardless of their design, then performed a sensitivity analysis by including only the observational studies.
Forest plots were inspected visually for the direction, magnitude of effects, and degree of overlap between the CIs. In addition, the P-value from the χ² test and the I² statistic (percentage of total variation across studies due to heterogeneity) were calculated to assess heterogeneity. Due to the limited number of studies included in this review, subgroup analyses were not feasible.
Results
Search Results and Study Characteristics
We had initially retrieved 370 potentially relevant studies. After screening titles and abstracts for eligibility, 49 studies were eligible for full-text review (Figure 1). Seven studies were included in the analysis, totaling 1931 patients from all the analyzed studies.21–27 The detailed characteristics of included studies are presented in Table 1. Of the included studies, one was an RCT, one was a prospective observational trial, and five were retrospective cohorts. Outcomes reported in each study are presented with their definitions in Table 2.

PRISMA Flow diagram of study selection process.
Characteristics of the Included Studies.
ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; BMI, body mass index; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; ETHRA, Enhanced dose THRomboprophylaxis in Admissions; ICU, intensive care unit; IU, international unit; LMWH, low molecular weight heparin; PE, pulmonary embolism; PPS, Padua Prediction Score; U, unit; UFH, unfractionated heparin; VTE, venous thromboembolism; WHO, world health organization
Definition(s) of Outcome.
DVT, deep vein thrombosis; PE, pulmonary embolism; VTE, venous thromboembolism;NA, not applicable; ISTH, International Society of Thrombosis and Haemostasis
Newcastle–Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale for Included Observational Studies.
Thresholds for converting the Newcastle–Ottawa scales to Agency for Health Research and Quality (AHRQ) standards (good, fair, and poor):
Good quality: 3 or 4 stars in the selection domain AND 1 or 2 stars in the comparability domain, AND 2 or 3 stars in the outcome/exposure domain.
Fair quality: 2 stars in the selection domain AND 1 or 2 stars in the comparability domain AND 2 or 3 stars in the outcome/exposure domain.
Poor quality: 0 or 1 star in the selection domain OR 0 stars in the comparability domain OR 0 or 1 star in the outcome/exposure domain.
Enoxaparin was assessed as intermediate to high dosing regimens in six of the included studies, including the following doses >4000 IU daily, 0.5 mg/kg twice daily, 40-60 mg twice daily, ≥0.4 and <0.7 mg/kg twice daily, or 6000-8000 IU daily in the intervention arm compared to standard prophylaxis regimen. While one study assessed tinzaparin (100 IU/kg) once daily, and one evaluated subcutaneous unfractionated heparin (UFH) 7500 U at any frequency as the studied intervention. The quality assessment of the included observational stuides is presented in Table 3. Five studies were rated as good quality, and one as poor quality. In the one included randomized control trial by Muñoz-Rivas et al, the risk of bias was high in blinding participants, personnel, and outcome assessment domains, while the risk of bias was low in the rest of the domains.
Study Outcomes
Thrombosis and Bleeding
The risk of all-cause thrombosis was reported in four of the included studies, with a RR of 1.48, 95% CI = 0.11, 20.21. No difference was found between the two groups, with an I2= 77% (Figure 2). Minor and major bleeding events were reported in four different study groups, with a RR of 0.64, 95% CI = 0.21, 1.97 and 1.40, 95% CI = 0.43, 4.61, respectively. The I2 was 0% in both minor and major bleeding outcomes ((Figures 3 and 4). We repeated the minor bleeding analysis, excluding the one randomized trial in this review, and the results remained consistent (RR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.06, 4.71, I2 = 0%). When running the analyses using fixed-effect models the results remained similar with more narrower CIs.

Forest plot showing the all-cause thrombosis risk ratio using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RR, risk ratio.

Forest plot showing the minor bleeding risk ratio using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RR, risk ratio.

Forest plot showing the major bleeding risk ratio using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RR, risk ratio.

Forest plot showing the hospital mortality (most adjusted) relative risk using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RE, random-effect; RR, risk ratio.
Hospital Mortality
All included studies assessed hospital mortality as one of their outcomes. Using the most adjusted models reported in the studies, the overall RR was 0.47, 95% CI = 0.29, 0.75, I2 = 33%, favoring the intermediate to high-dose prophylaxis compared to the standard dose (Figure 5). Consistent results were observed when unadjusted studies were excluded from the analysis with a RR of 0.41, 95% CI = 0.23, 0.72. Furthermore, when we excluded the RCT in this review and included only observational studies, the results remind consistent (RR = 0.46, 95% CI = 0.27, 0.77), with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 45%). When the analysis was performed on studies that reported crude hospital mortality rates, there was no difference between intervention and control groups (RR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.35, 1.51, I2 = 51%). The summary estimates did not change singifcantly when repeating the analysis using fixed-effects models.
ICU Admission and Need for Organ Support
Only three studies reported ICU admission: Jiménez-Soto et al, Paolisso et al, and Muñoz-Rivas et al. These studies had no difference between the intervention and control groups. The reported overall RR is 1.12, 95% CI = 0.59, 2.11, and I2= 0% (Figure 6). We repeated the analysis, excluding the RCT, and the results remained consistent (RR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.06, 19.01, and I2= 11%).

Forest plot showing the need for organ support risk ratio using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RR, risk ratio.
Three studies assessed organ support requirements: Mennuni et al, Jiménez-Soto et al, and Muñoz-Rivas et al. There was no difference in organ support requirement between the two groups, the overall RR for all included studies was 2.14, 95% CI = 0.32, 14.20, and I2= 82% (Figure 7). The analysis was re-performed by excluding the randomized trial in the review, and the results remained consistent.
Forest plot showing ICU Admission risk ratio using random-effects models in patients receiving intermediate-high-dose prophylaxis (intervention) versus standard-dose prophylaxis (control). Central vertical line, “no difference” point between the two groups; horizontal line, 95% confidence interval; squares: risk ratio; diamonds: pooled risk ratio. CI, confidence interval; RR, risk ratio.
Discussion
This meta-analysis summarized the available evidence on the efficacy and safety of intermediate versus standard doses of thromboprophylaxis in medically ill hospitalized patients with COVID-19. The main finding of this study is that the intermediate dose of thromboprophylaxis seems to be associated with survival benefits when compared with the standard prophylactic dose. However, there is no difference between intermediate to high versus standard prophylactic thromboprophylaxis dose in terms of all-cause thrombosis, minor and major bleeding events, ICU admission, and the need for organ support. Noteworthy that the evidence is mainly derived from observational studies where low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) was the main anticoagulant agent used for thromboprophylaxis.
Interestingly, there was no observed difference in the risk for VTE in higher versus standard prophylactic doses of thromboprophylaxis. However, it has been noted that the analyses of details on the screening or the diagnostic algorithm strategies for VTE were absent. Thus, minor VTE might be uncaptured in most of the studies. Furthermore, besides its anticoagulant action, LMWH has anti-inflammatory effects, which might justify its beneficial role in terms of mortality, above and beyond simply reducing VTE, especially in the early stages of the disease state. 17
The ISTH guidance document and the NIH guideline recommend against intermediate to high prophylactic doses over the standard thromboprophylaxis in medically ill hospitalized patients to reduce the risk of thromboembolism and other adverse outcomes.18,19 The available evidence is mainly derived from the X-COVID-19 RCT study, in which 183 patients were randomized to receive either an intermediate or standard prophylactic dose. 20 The study concluded no difference in the need for mechanical ventilation or all-cause mortality. 20 Zero thrombotic events in the intervention group and six PEs in the control group. 20 However, it is noteworthy that the study was prematurely discontinued due to slow recruitment and the lack of DVT characteristics and imaging. 20 The current meta-analysis included only randomized or observational studies that provided similar outcomes.
The present analysis included mainly observational studies. Most studies used LMWH for thromboprophylaxis. Intermediate-high compared with standard prophylactic dose appeared to be associated with a 53% decrease in in-hospital mortality. However, there was no difference between intermediate to high thromboprophylaxis and standard prophylactic dosing for those studies that reported crude hospital mortality rates. Hence, concluding the survival benefit of the intervention thromboprophylaxis group remains questionable. The finding might highlight the selection bias of the included observational studies: higher doses were selectively administered in patients with higher risk for severe disease due to their baseline risk factors or high levels of indices of COVID-19 severity. Thus, their adverse prognosis might mitigate the benefit of this strategy or even mislead to the link between high dose and mortality. Adjustment for appropriate confounders seems necessary; however, randomized trials are the most relevant studies for providing the highest level of evidence. The X-COVID-19 open-label RCT trial, although limited by its small sample size, showed no statistical difference in all causes of death at 30 days. Interestingly though, numerically higher death rates were reported with patients who received the intermediate prophylactic dose.
Safety is also of paramount importance; this analysis found no difference between major and minor bleeding events with intermediate versus standard thromboprophylaxis doses. An interesting finding that can be analyzed further in medically ill patients considered to be of high risk, such as those with elevated D-Dimer 2 > times the normal upper limit, requiring oxygen supplementation, or having low oxygen saturation rates. These patients are ideal candidates for treatment doses of anticoagulation, deemed that they have low bleeding risk. Therefore, this approach might be optional for those deemed high risk but with moderate to high bleeding risk.
Although this meta-analysis is one of the few studies that focused on the effect of anticoagulation therapy in subjects hospitalized with non-critical COVID-19, some limitations exist. First, this review mainly included observational studies conducted at different times during the pandemic. Nonetheless, we have performed a rigorous process in choosing studies that are similar enough in terms of inclusion criteria and exposure definitions to minimize methodological heterogeneity. In addition, whenever possible, we performed the analysis once using crude numbers and adjusted analysis, and the results remained consistent. Second, the studies had multiple variations, including variability between co-interventions. Third, although this review included studies on non-critically ill subjects hospitalized with COVID-19, the severity level differed across studies and might impact the current study results.
Conclusion
In patients who are medically ill with mild-moderate COVID-19, there is no difference between standard and intermediate-high prophylaxis dosing regarding thrombosis, bleeding, ICU admission, and organ support. However, using intermediate-high prophylaxis dosing seems to be associated with survival benefits. Moreover, further RCTs focusing on the timing of anticoagulation and those carrying risk factors for disease severity are highly warranted.
Supplemental Material
sj-docx-1-cat-10.1177_10760296231191123 - Supplemental material for Thromboprophylaxis in Hospitalized Non-Critically Ill Patients With Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Supplemental material, sj-docx-1-cat-10.1177_10760296231191123 for Thromboprophylaxis in Hospitalized Non-Critically Ill Patients With Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis by Awatif Hafiz, Hadeel Alkofide, Khalid Al Sulaiman, Hala Joharji, Sarah Aljohani, Khadijah A. Sarkhi, Reem Alharbi, Ghazwa B. Korayem, Mashael AlFaifi, Samiah Alsohimi and Ohoud Aljuhani in Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank all the investigators who participated in this project from the Saudi critical care pharmacy research (SCAPE) platform.
Author Contributions
All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported. Conceptualization was done by A.H. and H.A. Methodology was done by K.A. Software was done by K.A. Validation was done by S.A. and K.S. Formal analysis was done by K.A. Investigation was done by O.A., K.A., H.J., H.A., and A.H. Data curation was done by H.J. Writing–original draft preparation was done by H.J., S.A., K.S., and R.A. Writing–review and editing was done by A.H., H.A., G.K., M.A., and S.S. Visualization was done by G.K. and M.A. Supervision was done by O.A. Project administration was done by O.A. All authors gave the final approval of the version to be published; have agreed on the journal to which the article has been submitted; and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Supplemental Material
Supplemental material for this article is available online.
References
Supplementary Material
Please find the following supplemental material available below.
For Open Access articles published under a Creative Commons License, all supplemental material carries the same license as the article it is associated with.
For non-Open Access articles published, all supplemental material carries a non-exclusive license, and permission requests for re-use of supplemental material or any part of supplemental material shall be sent directly to the copyright owner as specified in the copyright notice associated with the article.
