Economic Performance and the Determination of Presidential Elections in the U.S.

Abstract

Get full access to this article

View all access options for this article.

References

Atesoglu

Sonmez H.

and Congleton

Roger

. “Economic Conditions and National Elections, Post-Sample Forecasts of the Kramer Equations.” American Political Science Review, Vol. 76, no. 4 (December 1982), pp. 873–875.

Burdekin

Richard C. K.

“Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior: Evidence from Presidential Elections.”

Research Paper No. 8506, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, October 9185.

Fair

Ray C.

“The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President.”

Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 60, no. 2 (May 1978), pp. 159–173.

Fair

Ray C.

“The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results.”

Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64, no. 2 (May 1982), pp. 322–325.

Kramer

Gerald H.

“Short-term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964.”

American Political Science Review, Vol. 65, No. 1 (March 1971), pp. 131–143.

Monroe

Kristen R.

“Political Manipulation of the Economy: A Closer Look at Political Business Cycles.”

Presidential Studies Quarterly, Vol. 13, no. 1 (Winter 1983), pp 37–49.

Rosenstone

Steven J.

“Explaining the 1984 Presidential Election.”

Brookings Review, Vol. 3, no. 2 (Winter 1985), pp. 25–32.

Stein

Herbert

. Presidential Economics. New York: Simon and Schuster, 1984.