Abstract
In this paper we extend the Aw–Rascle–Zhang (ARZ) non-equilibrium traffic flow model to take into account the look-ahead capability of connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs), and the mixed flow dynamics of human-driven and autonomous vehicles. The look-ahead effect of CAVs is captured by a non-local averaged density within a certain distance (the look-ahead distance). We show, using wave-perturbation analysis, that increased look-ahead distance loosens the stability criteria. Our numerical experiments, however, showed that a longer look-ahead distance does not necessarily lead to faster convergence to equilibrium states. We also examined the impact of spatial distributions and the market penetrations of CAVs and showed that increased market penetration helps to stabilize mixed traffic while the spatial distribution of CAVs has less effect on stability. The results revealed the potential to use CAVs to stabilize traffic and may provide qualitative insights into speed control in the mixed autonomy environment.
Introduction and Review of Related Work
Hydrodynamic Traffic Flow Models
Hydrodynamic traffic flow models, often given in the form of partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely studied in the literature on traffic science. They have wide applications and are often used in traffic simulation, state estimation, and control design. The most well-known of them is the Lighthill–Whitham–Richards (LWR) model ( 1 , 2 ), which has the form
where
where
where the constant
The ARZ model has been widely used and studied since it was first proposed. Theoretical and numerical solutions of the ARZ model have been studied in, for example, ( 7 – 9 ). Others have extended the ARZ model: for example, Lebacque et al. ( 10 ) generalized the ARZ model to the generic second-order models (GSOM) where the pressure term is generalized to a non-linear velocity term. GSOM have then been used for data fitting ( 11 ) and extended with non-local densities ( 12 , 13 ).
Notably, first-order non-local models have been proposed and analyzed to incorporate look-ahead effects by defining vehicle velocity as a function of spatially averaged downstream density ( 14 , 15 ). However, as with the LWR model, they lack the dynamic velocity evolution and hyperbolic structure needed to capture non-equilibrium traffic dynamics and perform stability analysis, particularly in the context of mixed autonomy.
Stochastic first-order models ( 16 , 17 ), inspired by the noisy Burgers’ equation ( 18 ), have been proposed to capture scatter in the FD and certain non-equilibrium patterns by introducing variability and randomness. In contrast, second-order models, as continuum approximations of car-following dynamics, retain explicit velocity evolution needed to represent instabilities and wave propagation. These two approaches reflect different objectives: stochastic models focus on variability, while higher-order deterministic models are well suited to analyzing instability mechanisms and stability control in mixed traffic.
Multi-Class Hydrodynamic Traffic Flow Models
Real-world traffic has vehicles of different types and levels of performance, which can be categorized into vehicle classes. Each class of vehicle may interact with others in different ways and this can be captured by extending the aforementioned models to multi-class hydrodynamic traffic flow models. Starting with an extension of the LWR model, Wong and Wong ( 19 ) proposed a multi-class LWR model with heterogeneous drivers characterized by their choice of free-flow speeds. In particular, they gave an isotropic case where the speed of each class is a function of the total density. In a separate work, Zhang and Jin ( 20 ) proposed a multi-class LWR model considering critical density such that when traffic concentration reached a critical value, all the class of vehicles are mixed together and move as a group, and below the critical density the model is similar to Wong and Wong’s model. Ngoduy and Liu ( 21 ) proposed a generalized multi-class first-order simulation model based on an approximate Riemann solver, which is able to explain certain non-linear traffic phenomena on freeways. Logghe and Immers ( 22 ) proposed a new model where vehicle classes interact in a non-cooperative way, where slow vehicles act as moving bottlenecks for fast vehicles while fast vehicles have no influence on slow vehicles. Such relationships were presented in ( 23 ). Qian et al. ( 24 ) developed a macroscopic heterogeneous traffic flow model with pragmatic cross-class interaction rules.
There are also studies that have proposed non-equilibrium hydrodynamic models for mixed traffic flow, for example, ( 25 – 29 ). Specifically, Ngoduy et al. ( 25 ) proposed a multi-class gas-kinetic model where one class of vehicle is able to receive a warning message when there is downstream congestion. They further extended this in ( 26 , 27 ) to include cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC). Mohan and Ramadurai ( 28 ) extend the ARZ model to a multi-class model using area occupancy (AO) which can capture the unique phenomena in lane-free traffic. Huang et al. ( 29 ) proposed a multi-class model where human-driven vehicles (HDVs) are modeled by the ARZ model and CAVs are modeled by a mean-field game. They also performed linear stability analysis for the mean-field game model.
CAVs as Agents for Traffic Stabilization
The traffic flow of HDVs can be unstable even without an external disturbance. For example, in Sugiyama et al. ( 30 ), a field experiment on a ring road with HDVs showed that stop-and-go waves can arise without the presence of bottlenecks when there is a sufficient number of vehicles on the road. A recent field experiment, on the other hand, showed that such stop-and-go waves can be eliminated with a single autonomous vehicle (AV) as a control agent to pace HDV traffic for the vehicles involved ( 31 ). Such improvements were also found in a larger field experiment of over 100 CAVs ( 32 ). This stabilization effect of an AV or CAV as a control agent has also been widely studied through traffic simulation using microscopic car-following models, for example, in ( 33 – 35 ). In these studies, it is shown that a single AV can stabilize multiple HDVs on a single-lane road by using its sensing capabilities and feedback control to adjust its speed.
The Main Contributions of This Paper
In this paper, we enhance the understanding on the look-ahead effect of CAVs in traffic flow modeling by extending the ARZ model with a non-local density parameter, which simulates the forward-looking capabilities of CAVs. This modification allows for a more realistic representation of how autonomous technologies might influence traffic flow dynamics.
We undertake a comprehensive theoretical stability analysis using wave-perturbation methods and demonstrate that the extended model for CAVs can achieve greater stability over longer look-ahead distances, offering a theoretical foundation for integrating CAVs into traffic systems.
Additionally, we further extend our model to a multi-class framework, accommodating both HDVs and CAVs. This extension is crucial to evaluate the stabilization effect of CAVs in various traffic conditions with the presence of HDVs. Through extensive simulations referencing the studies above, we evaluate how different configurations of look-ahead distances and vehicle distributions affect traffic flow stability.
The findings of this study contribute to ongoing discussions on traffic management in mixed autonomy environments. One of them suggests that moderate look-ahead distances might provide optimal stability conditions. Another notable finding is that with a relatively low penetration rate of CAVs, the mixed flow can be effectively stabilized, which is consistent with previous studies. Furthermore, evenly distributed CAVs achieve marginally better stabilization results compared with segregated distributions.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: We first introduce the modified ARZ model and interpret it as a model for CAVs. We then give a stability analysis of the model using wave perturbation. This is followed by a formulation of a multi-class extension of the modified ARZ model for mixed CAV-HDV traffic; the parameters of both models are analyzed via numerical experiments to test the stability of CAVs under different conditions. We end with conclusions and propose directions for future research.
An Extended ARZ Model with Look-Ahead Effects
We first extend the ARZ model to take into account the look-ahead capability of CAVs without explicitly modeling CAVs and HDVs as distinct classes. Here we assume that the CAVs are all equipped with range sensors and vehicle-to-vehicle communication to enable them to observe the density of a certain distance ahead, say

A CAV’s front observation of the traffic density of a certain distance in front.
Instead of responding to the motion of the vehicle immediately in front, a CAV can take advantage of this look-ahead capability and adopt a speed that is based on the average traffic condition within this look-ahead distance, therefore reducing over- or under-reaction and smoothing its trajectory. This will in turn lead to greater stability in traffic. Following this argument, we modify the ARZ model with a new relaxation term that takes into account this look-ahead effect on traffic flow as follows:
where the relaxation of
Remark 1. A more general weighted average density
where
With the look-ahead (weighted) average density we are primarily focusing on the CACC logic in CAVs. There are many other complex dynamics and controls which can be implemented into the model Equation 4.
Additionally for periodic boundary conditions (i.e., traffic on a ring road), partial observation (look-ahead) is equivalent to full observation (look-ahead of the entire road) when
For readers who are interested in the theoretical analysis such as solution existence, this model can be implicitly written as the non-local traffic model in Hamori and Tan ( 13 ) that has been shown to be well defined under certain constraints.
Stability Analysis of the Extended ARZ Model
In this section we will follow the classic wave-perturbation analysis approach ( 37 – 39 ) to analyze the stability of the extended ARZ model Equation 4.
For a given initial state, the steady state solution of the ARZ model is
where
with
By neglecting second- or higher-order terms of
where
Following the calculation process in Ramadan et al. ( 39 ), we can deduce that traffic is stable when
Since
Remark 2. In particular, if
A Multi-Class Extension of the ARZ Model with Look-Ahead Effect
In this section, we propose a model for mixed autonomy traffic where HDVs and CAVs are modeled as distinctive classes. Similar to Huang et al. (
29
), in our model, the HDVs are reacting to the total density of traffic at its position. If we let
where
Remark 3. Practically, in mixed autonomy, CAVs might be capable of observing both the density and speed of surrounding HDVs to change their speed accordingly, which means the pressure term and relaxation term can be defined with consideration of the density of HDVs. We will consider such extensions in future work.
Numerical Solutions
To obtain numerical solutions for Equations 4 and 10, we adapted a forward scheme with an approximate Riemann solver in Ramadan et al. (
39
) that has low computation cost and preserves properties of finite volume methods. To calculate the average density, we use a Riemann sum to give an estimation of the integration term. Given
where the update of the approximated flow
For the model parameter values, we assumed that vehicles are on a ring road with length
where
The initial density is also a sinusoidal wave perturbation of equilibrium state similar to Huang et al. ( 29 ):
where for mixed flow we substitute
Investigation of the Look-Ahead Effect
In this scenario we evaluate the look-ahead distance

Density and velocity evolution of the ARZ model (

Density and velocity evolution of the modified model with

Density and velocity evolution of the modified model with

Density and velocity evolution of the modified model with

From the numerical results, we can observe that in all cases look-ahead helps to stabilize traffic, as the only unstable case is when
Investigation of Stability in Mixed Autonomy Traffic
In this scenario we investigate the potential for using CAVs to smooth and stabilize mixed traffic flow, considering two different spatial distributions of CAVs in the traffic mix.
Even Distribution
We first consider CAVs evenly distributed in the mixed traffic with penetration rates of 10%, 20%, and 40%. Based on the results of the single-class model, we choose the observation distance
Remark 4. For the mixed plot, we plot the evolution of the total density and the HDVs’ velocity, since traffic flow of pure CAVs are already shown stable.

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 10% of CAVs evenly distributed: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 20% of CAVs evenly distributed: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 40% of CAVs evenly distributed: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

From these results, we can observe that, with 20% of the traffic being CAVs, the mixed flow stabilizes to smaller oscillations; at 40%, there is faster convergence to an equilibrium state; while at 10% the traffic fails to stabilize. Such results are consistent with those from a similar study ( 29 ).
Segregated Distribution
We now consider another type of distribution, that is, one in which CAVs and HDVs are segregated into two parts. With the same penetration rates, we let CAVs concentrate at around
where

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 10% of concentrated CAVs: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 20% of concentrated CAVs: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

Density and velocity evolution of the mixed flow model with 40% of concentrated CAVs: (a) density evolution; and (b) velocity evolution.

These results show that the segregated distributions of mixed flow have similar asymptotic behaviors as even distributions. The main difference is that the initial waves have larger scales for segregated distributions where the HDVs are concentrated, since HDV traffic is less stable than CAV traffic. Overall, the convergence of mixed traffic is slower than the results obtained in Huang et al. ( 29 ), possibly because of large oscillations and inadequate information from HDVs. One possible improvement is to add predictive or feedback controls as previously investigated in car-following models for example, Zhou et al. ( 43 ), Jin and Meng ( 44 ).
Concluding Remarks
This paper makes extensions to a second-order non-equilibrium traffic flow model, that is, the ARZ model, to take into account the look-ahead capabilities of CAVs, in both single- and multi-class contexts. The look-ahead effect is captured by a modification of the relaxation term, which can be interpreted as a CAV’s attempt to adopt a target speed based on the average traffic conditions within its spatial observation range, similar to multi-following microscopic traffic models. The stability properties of both extended models are analyzed through wave-perturbation analysis, and the results show that a longer observation range yields a less restrictive stability condition. A numerical solution using forward schemes with approximate Riemann solvers is provided, and numerical experiments are carried out to examine the effects of various parameters and the spatial distribution of CAVS on both the stability of mixed autonomy traffic, and CAVs’ ability to stabilize mixed traffic flow. It is found that higher penetration rates of CAVs stabilize mixed traffic flow faster, which is consistent with similar studies in Huang et al. ( 29 ).
Our study reveals several new insights into mixed autonomy traffic. One interesting finding is that having more information on traffic conditions does not necessarily translate into better traffic control. In our particular setting, a moderate look-ahead distance of 100m .enables faster convergence to equilibrium than having the full observation of road conditions on the entire ring road. Another interesting finding is that the distribution of vehicles has little effect on the long-term stability of mixed traffic flow, but the initial oscillations for segregated distribution have larger amplitudes than in the even distribution case. However, these findings rely on the assumption that CAVs follow the same car-following dynamics as HDVs, with the uniformed look-ahead effect being the only advanced control mechanism considered. A promising direction for future research is to incorporate more realistic interaction models and explore the integration of advanced CAV control strategies, including the weighted look-ahead effect, feedback control, model predictive control (MPC), and reinforcement learning (RL), with data validations if possible. These insights can help CAV manufacturers design more effective control algorithms that could be of benefit to both parties in mixed autonomy traffic. In addition, traffic engineers will be better able to manage mixed autonomy flow by leveraging the sensing and control capabilities of CAVs.
Detailed Calculation of Stability Criteria
Here we outline the detailed derivation of Equation 9. The linearized system Equation 8 allows a nontrivial solution only if its determinant is zero, which is equivalent to
where
where
Remark 5. For intermediate
which implies Equation 9 is a sufficient stability condition when
Footnotes
Author contributions
The authors confirm contribution to the paper as follows: study conception and design: Shouwei Hui, Michael Zhang; analysis and interpretation of results: Shouwei Hui; methodology: Shouwei Hui, Michael Zhang; draft manuscript preparation: Shouwei Hui, Michael Zhang. All authors reviewed the results and approved the final version of the manuscript.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
