Abstract
Delays in international multimodal marine transport can result in subsequent connection delays, leading to prolonged transportation time and increased uncertainty. To identify more reliable and cost-effective robust transportation routes, this study establishes a constrained planning model for multimodal transportation routes. Employing uncertainty theory, the model is transformed into a deterministic equivalent class model and ultimately incorporates an adaptive differential evolution (ADE) algorithm. Results of a case study indicate that: (i) the proposed model, compared with deterministic models, exhibits greater robustness and better aligns with practical transportation scenarios, resulting in substantial reductions in actual transportation time and cost; (ii) the solution efficiency of the ADE algorithm surpasses that of the genetic algorithm and Dijkstra algorithm; (iii) the start time of transportation and the confidence level of uncertainty also play crucial roles in influencing route selection. Therefore, decision-makers should consider a multifaceted approach when formulating transportation routes.
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