Abstract
Objective
To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of
Methods
This retrospective cohort study included 651 patients initially diagnosed with advanced NSCLC. Patients with
Results
The median plasma
Conclusion
The present results imply that pretreatment plasma
Introduction
Lung cancer remains leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, being responsible for approximately 1.76 million deaths per year. 1 Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), accounting for 80% to 85% of all lung cancer cases, is usually diagnosed when the disease has progressed to an advanced stage. In addition, the overall survival (OS) of patients with NSCLC remains poor, with a 5-year survival rate of 3.5% to 29.6% despite the tremendous improvement in medical technologies regarding NSCLC. 2 However, various factors affect the prognosis of patients with NSCLC, including tumor heterogeneity, physical performance, and responses to treatment. Therefore, identifying the key factors affecting patient prognosis is of great significance for decision making regarding the clinical treatment of NSCLC.
As the most frequent tool in assessment of prognosis of various cancers, the TNM staging system mainly focuses on the anatomical description of tumor development, but its utility in clinical practice is limited because it ignores the effects of oncogenes, the status of the immune system, and the nutritional status. In addition, the TNM staging system mainly depends on the interpretation of imaging tests, which may result in inconsistency between the size of the radiological solid component and the scope of pathological infiltration. 3 Thus, development of alternative biomarkers is urgently needed. Recently, published data described some biomarkers that could represent independent prognostic factors for lung cancer. Meanwhile, plasma-based detection has been widely investigated because of its unique advantages, including non-invasiveness, quickness, and repeatability.4,5
The occurrence and development of malignant tumors can destroy the balance of the blood coagulation and anticoagulation systems through a variety of mechanisms, leading to a hypercoagulable state.
6
As a product of fibrin degradation,
Patients and methods
Study design
A retrospective cohort study was conducted to address the relationship between plasma
Study population
The process of data collection was non-selective and consecutive. The data of patients with advanced NSCLC who were admitted to Guangxi Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital (Nanning, Guangxi, China) between December 2010 and October 2018 were collected. The study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Guangxi Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital, and the protocol complied with the Declaration of Helsinki (Approval number LW2020032, approval date: 2020.05.29). To protect the privacy of patients, all data were anonymized, and thus, the requirement for informed consent was waived. All studies were conducted in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.
Patients with a histologically or cytologically confirmed diagnosis of advanced NSCLC were enrolled for further screening, and their clinical data including sex, age, smoking history, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS), pathology, and differentiation were recorded.
The inclusion criteria of this study were as follows: (1) stage IIIB or IV NSCLC at the initial diagnosis; (2) the availability of complete follow-up data; and (3) no history of chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or other treatments prior to diagnosis. Meanwhile, the exclusion criteria of the study were as follows: (1) malignant diseases other than NSCLC; (2) diseases and conditions such as cerebral infarction, coronary heart disease, pulmonary embolism, and venous thrombosis or the receipt of antithrombotic or anticoagulant therapy; (3) end-stage renal or liver disease; and (4) intracranial infection.
Variables
Plasma
In this study, we included the following covariates: (1) demographic data; (2) variables that may impact plasma
The TNM system of the 7th version of the American Joint Committee on Cancer was used for staging. Patients’ physical status was scored using ECOG-PS. Patients who had had smoked no more than 100 cigarettes in their lifetime were defined as non-smokers. Smokers were defined as current smokers or individuals who quit smoking within 1 year before diagnosis. Tumor histology was classified according to the 3rd edition of the World Health Organization Classification of tumors.
Follow-up procedure
The second author was in charge of follow-up. At each follow-up visit, imaging and laboratory data were reviewed to evaluate the efficacy of treatment. Patients were followed up every two cycles before progression and every 2 months after progression. The cutoff date for participant follow-up was October 2019. Follow-up data were stored in the hospital’s electronic medical record system.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables with a normal distribution were presented as the mean ± SD. Categorical variables were expressed as frequencies or as percentages. The chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test was used to assess categorical variables. Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards model and adjusted for statistically significant variables in univariate analysis. The subgroup analysis and interaction test were performed to further assess the robustness of our study findings. Cumulative OS was estimated using Kaplan–Meier curves and compared using the log-rank test. All analyses were performed with the statistical software packages in R (http://www.R-project.org) and Empower Stats (http://www.empowerstats.com, X&Y Solutions, Inc, Boston, MA, USA). P < 0.05 (two-sided) denoted statistical significance.
Results
Baseline characteristics of selected patients
In total, 920 patients qualified for enrollment in this study. After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 651 participants were selected for the final analysis (Figure 1). The baseline characteristics of the selected patients according to their

Flowchart of the study.
Clinical characteristics of patients with normal and high
Data are presented as percentages.
ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; EGFR, epidermal growth factor receptor; ALK, anaplastic lymphoma kinase; ROS1, c-ros oncogene 1 kinase.
Univariate analysis
The results of univariate analyses are listed in Table 2. The median
Univariate analysis of patient survival.
Data are presented as the mean ± SD or n (%).
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; EGFR, epidermal growth factor receptor; ALK, anaplastic lymphoma kinase; ROS1, c-ros oncogene 1 kinase.
Results of unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazard analysis
The HRs and 95% CIs of the unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazard models are listed in Table 3. In the unadjusted model (crude model), elevated
Relationship between
Crude model: no adjustments.
Model l: adjusted for age, sex, smoking history, clinical stage, histological diagnosis, degree of differentiation, mutation status, number of metastatic organs, number of treatment lines, and treatment approach.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Subgroup analysis
Age, sex, smoking history, ECOG-PS, clinical stage, pathology, the degree of differentiation, the EGFR/ALK/ROS1 mutation status, the number of metastatic organs, the number of treatment lines, and the first-line treatment approach were used as the stratification variables to observe the trends of effect sizes (Figure 2). In this analysis, the relationship between

Subgroup analysis of the relationship between high
Kaplan–Meier survival analysis
As presented in Figure 3, patients with high

Kaplan–Meier estimates of survival probabilities in the normal and high
Discussion
The present study assessed the prognostic value of
A substantial amount of data have established the imbalance between blood coagulation and anticoagulation in patients with malignant tumors.11–13 However, the underlying mechanisms have not been fully elucidated, and per several studies, it may be related to tissue factors,
14
coagulants,
15
,
16
colony-stimulating factors,
17
platelet activation markers,
18
,
19
inflammatory cytokines,
20
DNA, and RNA
21
produced by tumor cells that can activate the coagulation system and subsequently trigger the amplification of the coagulation cascade through multiple signaling pathways. The rupture of thrombin converts plasma fibrinogen into insoluble fibrin, thereby increasing
Antoniou et al.
26
detected
Our study observed no significant correlations of plasma
Ge et al.
28
studied the prognostic value of plasma
In this study, high
The clinical implications of this study were as follows: (1) pretreatment plasma
The strengths of this study were as follows: (1) as an observational study, potential confounding factors could not be excluded, and thus, we used strict statistical adjustment to minimize residual confounders; and (2) the effect modifier factor analysis improved the use of the data and yielded stable conclusions in different subgroups.
Some limitations must be addressed: (1) this study was subject to the limitations inherent to retrospective analyses of observational data from a single center; (2) we could not fully describe the effects of coagulation and fibrinolysis in NSCLC, and whether other fibrin degradation products have the same effect remains to be determined; (3) although we used an adjusted Cox regression model, some selection bias may have remained, including the use of anticoagulants in the course of the disease; and (4) the validity of the results was compromised by the lack of standardized
In summary, pretreatment
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The authors thank all the staff members at our institution.
Declaration of conflicting interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.
Funding
This study was funded by the National Key Clinical Specialist Construction Programs of China (No. 2015-6), Guangxi Medicine and Health Appropriate Technology Promotion Project of China (grant number: S201630), and 139 Talent Planning Project of Guangxi Health Commission of China (grant number: 201903030).Authors’ contributions
