Abstract
Since 1984 the green tropical alga Caulerpa taxifolia (Chlorophyta), of aquarium origin, has spread rapidly along the north-western Mediterranean sea coast. This alga was recently discovered on the Mediterranean south coast (Tunisia) and the west coast of the United States. This paper presents modeling efforts to simu late Caulerpa taxifolia expansion. Three different mod els were built; the first model is based on stochastic discrete event simulation coupled with a geographical information system. The second model uses a neural network, trained with simulation data and is consid ered as a metamodel. The third is a multimodel de signed to simulate a biocontrol. Indeed, to control Caulerpa overhang, it may be possible to use special ized predator of C. taxifolia such as Elysia subornata (Mollusca, Ascoglossa). Simulation was mandatory before any introduction to estimate the potential re duction of the colonization by C. taxifolia. Encourag ing results concerning the use of E. subornata are pre sented.
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