Abstract
The current study examined whether supervision following release from a Dutch prison in 2012 or 2013 relates to reoffending both during and after the supervision period. A combination of matching by variable and Mahalanobis distance matching was used to match supervised persons to persons who were not supervised after release. Multi-state survival models and zero-truncated negative binomial regressions were used to study the risk and frequency of reoffending. The results suggest that being under supervision following release from prison in the Netherlands is not related to the risk and frequency of reoffending either during or after the supervision period. Possible explanations are discussed and directions for future research are explored.
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