Revisiting Basu's Circus Example: Another Look at the Horvitz-Thompson Estimator

Abstract

The objective of this article is a critical appraisal of the classical Horvitz-Thompson (HT) estimator used in survey sampling, and examine when and where it is effective. For illustration, we have brought in the hilarious circus example of Basu's[1] where the HT estimator led to a disastrous result. We have pointed out what went wrong with this example and, in the process, have also discussed what one needs for a successful application of the HT estimator. We also provide a model-based interpretation of the HT estimator, and again discuss the success or failure of the HT estimator from a model-based perspective.