Regional Economic and Energy Prospects in the Developing Countries: Application of the PREDESS Model

Abstract

The PREDESS model (Previsions Regionales de l'Economie et de la Demande d'Energie par Source et par Secteur) analyzes the economies of the developing countries by region and sector. It integrates the dissymmetry of the world economy into the productive process, with the industrialized countries acting as the traditional driving force. An energy model, also constructed by region and sector, is linked to the world economic model. It includes both commercial and traditional energy sources and stresses their development and substitution possibilities. The model pays special attention to the problems of traditional energy sources (such as deforestation) and analyzes the consequences of replacing traditional with commercial sources.