Global Demand Growth of Power Generation,Input Choices and Supply Security

Abstract

The anticipated global demand growth for energy, and electricity in particular, is mapped for the coming 20 years. Five critical issues implied by this forecast are then spelled out: uncertainty, security of energy supply, energy financing, and the role of nuclear and renewable energy. Finally, based on a review of the energy revolutions which the human race has experienced during history, the paper sketches a long term energy future. It suggests the possibility of a new energy era in the 21st century with electricity and hydrogen as the main final energy and nuclear and renewables as the main primary energy, providing, coincidentally, a solution to the CO2 issues that loom so importantly at the end of the 20th century.

Keywords

Electricity generation energy security carbon dioxide emissions nuclear energy Renewables

Get full access to this article

View all access options for this article.

References

Buhnham

ed. (1993). Renewable Energy: Sources for Fuels and Electricity, Island Press.

Caldor

(1996). “Energy: Emerging Force in the East Asian Security Equation,” paper presented at the Symposium on Pacific Energy Cooperation 96, Tokyo, February.

Eves

(1995). “Regional Cooperation for Power Infrastructure,” A report to the APEC Energy Working Group, September.a

Fesharaki

(1995). “Energy Outlook to 2010: Asia-Pacific Demand, Supply and Climate Change,” East-West Center Honolulu, April.

Fujiie

(1997). “Nuclear Power Development towards 21st Century in a Recycling Oriented World,” Energy Forum (Japanese), August.

IIASA (1995). “Global Energy Perspective to 2050 and Beyond,” WEC Report, Laxenburg, Austria.

Ishiguro

Akiyama

(1995). “Energy Demand in Five Major Asian Developing Countries,” World Bank Discussion Paper, April.

Jamieson

Wilson

(1997). “Developing Transparent, Efficient and Effective Procurement Processes for Power Infrastructure in APEC Member Economies,” paper for the APEC Energy Working Group Project, Reference No 01/97T, May.

Jestin-Fleury

(1997). “Electricity: France Compares Energy Competitiveness,” Petrostragies, May.

10.

Johnson

(1996). “China: Issues and Options in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Control,” World Bank Discussion Paper, June.

11.

Lee

(1997). “Prospects and Problems of Energy demand and Supply in Asia Pacific Region,” paper presented at the Symposium on Pacific Energy Cooperation 97, Tokyo, February.

12.

Lynch

(1997). “Energy Security in Asia,” in International Energy Analysis (Japanese), Institute of Energy Economics, Tokyo, April.

13.

Matsuo

(1997). “Japan’s Optimal Power Source Mix in the Long Run and Nuclear Power Generation,” Energy in Japan, Institute of Energy Economics, Tokyo, May.

14.

O’Brien

(1997). “Mightier than the Sword: Energy Markets and Global Security,” Harvard International Review, Special Issue on Energy Security, summer.

15.

USDOE (1997). International Energy Outlook 1997, Energy Information Administration USDOE/EIA-0484.

16.

World Energy Council (1994). New Renewable Energy Resources, Kogan Page, London.

17.

Yamaji

Fujii

(1995). “Global Energy Strategy” (in Japanese), Denryokushinpousha.