Prior to the Arab oil embargo that began in October 1973, the general feeling was that U.S. oil resources were almost limitless. Certainly there were some who were aware that the rate of crude oil production was falling and costs were increasing, but these perceptions were relegated to the background. Past experience supported the explorer's optimistic outlook concerning potential discoveries. The United States never seemed in danger of being less than the world's foremost producer of crude oil.
American Petroleum Institute, American Gas Association, Canadian Petroleum Association. Reserves of Crude Oil, Natural Gas Liquids, and Natural Gas in the United States and Canada as of December 31, 1977. Washington, D.C.: American Petroleum Institute, 1978
2.
BlairJ. M. The Control of Oil. New York: Random House, 1976. Committee on Mineral Resources and the Environment. Mineral Resources and the Environment. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Science, 1975
3.
CookE. “Forecasting Depletion.” In Background Readings on Energy Policy. Edited by the Committee on Ways and Means. Washington, D.C.: US. Government Printing Office, 1975
4.
Data Resources, Inc.Energy Review: Summer 1979. Lexington, Mass., 1979.
5.
DarmstadterJ.How Industrial Societies Use Energy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1977
6.
Department of Energy. Historical Review of Domestic Oil and Gas Exploration Activity. Washington, D.C., 1978.
7.
HubbertM. K.Energy Resources, A Report to the Committee on Natural Resources: National Academy of Science-National Research Council. Pub. 1000-D. Washington, D.C., 1962.
8.
HubbertM. K.U.S. Energy Resources, A Review as of 1972. Washington, D.C.: US. Government Printing Office, 1974
9.
LakhaniH. “Diffusion of Environment-Saving Technological Change.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change7 (1975): 33-33.
10.
MacAvoyP.PindyckR.The Economics of Natural Gas Shortage in 1960-1980. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co., 1974
11.
MayerL. S. “Modeling the Rates of Domestic Crude Oil Discovery and Production.” Princeton, N.J.: Department of Statistics, Princeton University, February1979.
12.
National Petroleum Council. U.S. Energy Outlook, An Intitial Appraisal. Washington, D.C.: National Petroleum Council, 1971
13.
SalterW. E. G.Productivity and Technical Change, 2nd ed.London: Cambridge University Press, 1969
14.
SchanzJ. J. “Oil and Gas Resources: Welcome to Uncertainty.” Resources58 (March1978): 1-20.
15.
UriN. D. “Price. Quantity and Causality in the Production of crude Petroleum in the United States.” Energy Sources5 (1980a): 31-43.
16.
UriN. D. “Two Models for Estimating Undiscovered Oil Resources.” Applied Energy (forthcoming, a).
17.
UriN. D. “Energy, GNP and Causality: A Statistical Look at the Issue.’’ Energy Communication (forthcoming, b).