This paper focuses on the behavioural intention of repeater golf tourists in the Algarve. The analysis employs a questionnaire undertaken in 2004 to ascertain the significant characteristics of the returning golf-playing tourist. A random parameter logit model is used to analyse which characteristics (for example, individual characteristics, motivations, tripographic variables, and the most quoted attributes of golf destinations) are associated with the probability of golf tourists playing in the Algarve to return to this Portuguese tourist region, taking into account uncontrolled heterogeneity of the data. This model outperforms the standard logit model. Some policy implications are presented.
AlfnesF. (2004), ‘State preferences for imported and hormone-treated beef: Application of a mixed logit model’, European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol 31, No 1, pp 19–37.
2.
BarrosC. (2005), ‘Evaluating the efficiency of a small hotel chain with a Malmquist Productivity Index’, International Journal of Tourism Research, Vol 7, pp 173–184.
3.
BarrosC.ProençaI. (2005), ‘Mixed logit estimation of radical Islamic terrorism in Europe and North America’, The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol 49, No 2, pp 298–314.
4.
BathC. (1996), ‘An endogenous mode choice model with an application to intercity travel’, Transportation Science, Vol 31, pp 34–48.
5.
Ben-AkivaM.LermanS. (1985), Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
6.
BonnetC.SimioniM. (2001), ‘Assessing consumer response to protected designation of origin labelling: A mixed multinomial logit approach’, European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol 28, pp 433–449.
7.
BrownstoneD.TrainK. (1999), ‘Forecasting new product penetration with flexible substitution patterns’, Journal of Econometrics, Vol 89, pp 109–129.
8.
BrownstoneD.BunchD.S.TrainK. (2000), ‘Joint mixed logit models of state and revealed preferences for alternative-fuel vehicles’, Transportation Research, Part B, Vol 34, pp 315–338.
9.
ChesherA.Santos-SilvaC. (2002), ‘Taste variation in discrete choice models’, Review of Economic Studies, Vol 69, No 1, pp 147–168.
10.
CossensJ. (1989), Positioning a Tourist Destination: Queenstown – A Branded Destination?, unpublished PhD thesis, University of Otago, Dunedin.
11.
CostaP.ManenteM. (1995), ‘Venice and its visitors: A survey and a model of qualitative choice’, Journal of Travel Research and Marketing, Vol 4, No 3, pp 45–69.
12.
CrawfordD.GoodbeyG. (1987), ‘Reconceptualizing barriers to family leisure’, Leisure Sciences, Vol 9, pp 19–128.
13.
De la VinaL.FordJ. (2001), ‘Logistic Regression analysis of cruise vacation market potential: Demographic and trip attribute perception factors’, Journal of Travel Research, Vol 39, No 4, pp 406–410.
14.
DomencichT.A.McFaddenD. (1975), Urban Travel Demand: A Behavioural Analysis, North Holland Publishing, Amsterdam.
15.
EdwardsW. (1954), ‘The theory of decision making psychology’, Bulletin, Vol 51, pp 380–417.
16.
FishbeinM. (1967), Readings in Attitude Theory and Measurement, John Wiley and Sons, New York.
17.
FishbeinM.AjzenI. (1980), Predicting and Understanding Consumer Behavior: Attitude Behavior Correspondence, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
18.
FleischerA.PizamA. (2002), ‘Tourism constraints among Israeli seniors’, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 29, No 1, pp 106–123.
19.
FodnessD. (1994), ‘Measuring tourist motivation’, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 21, No 3, pp 555–581.
20.
GlyptisS.A. (1991), ‘Sport and tourism’, in CooperC.P., ed, Progress in Tourism, Recreation, and Hospitality Management, Vol 3, Belhaven, London, pp 165–183.
21.
HayM.McConnelK. (1979), ‘An analysis of participation in nonconsumptive wildlife recreation’, Land Economics, Vol 55, pp 460–471.
22.
HensherD.A.GreeneW. (2003), ‘The mixed logit model: The state of practice’, Transportation, Vol 30, No 2, pp 133–176.
23.
HensherD.A.RoseJ.M.GreeneW. (2005), Applied Choice Analysis: A Primer, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
24.
HirschmanA.O. (1970), Exit, Voice and Loyalty: Responses to Decline Firms, Organization and States, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
25.
HoldenA. (2003), ‘Investigating Trekkers’ attitudes to the environment of Annapurna', Tourism Management, Vol 24, No 3, pp 341–344.
26.
Iso-AholaS.MannelR.C. (1987), ‘Psychological nature of leisure and tourism experience’, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 14, No 3, pp 314–331.
27.
KockelmanK.KrishnamurthyS. (2004), ‘A new approach for travel demand modelling: Linking Roy's Identity to discrete choice’, Transportation Research, Part B, Vol 38, pp 459–475.
28.
KozakM. (2001), ‘Repeaters’ behaviour at two distinct destinations', Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 28, No 3, pp 784–807.
29.
LancasterK.L. (1966), ‘A new approach to consumer theory’, Journal of Political Economy, Vol 74, No 2, pp 132–157.
30.
LedesmaF.J.NavarroM.Perez RodriguezJ.V. (2005), ‘Return to tourist destination. Is it reputation after all?’, Applied Economics, Vol 37, No 18, pp 2055–2065.
31.
LouviereJ.J.HensherD.A.SwaitJ.D. (2000), State Choice Methods: Analysis and Applications, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
32.
LundbergD. (1990), The Tourist Business, 6th Edition, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.
33.
LuzarE.Z.DiagneA.EcGanC.HenningB.R. (1998), ‘Profiling the nature-based tourist: A multinational logit approach’, Journal of Travel Research, Vol 37, pp 48–55.
34.
MartinsM.V.CorreiaA.H. (2004), O Golfe no Algarve: o Presente e o Futuro, Universidade do Algarve, Faro.
35.
McFaddenD. (1974), ‘The measurement of urban demand’, Journal of Public Economics, Vol 3, pp 303–328.
36.
McFaddenD. (1981), ‘Econometric models of probabilistic choice’, in ManskiC.McFaddenD., eds, Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, pp 13–29.
37.
McFaddenD.TrainK. (2000), ‘Mixed MNL models of discrete response’, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol 15, No 5, pp 447–470.
38.
MillerJ.HayM. (1981), ‘Determinants of hunter participation: Duck hunting in the Mississippi Flyway’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol 63, pp 677–684.
39.
MohsinA.RyanC. (2003), ‘Backpackers in the northern territory of Australia’, The International Journal of Tourism Research, Vol 5, No 2, pp 113–121.
40.
MorleyC.L. (1994), ‘Discrete choice analysis of the impact of tourism prices’, Journal of Travel Research, Fall, pp 8–14.
41.
NicolauJ.MásF. (2005), ‘Stochastic modelling: A three-stage tourist choice process’, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 32, No 1, pp 49–69.
42.
PetrickJ.F. (1999), An Examination of the Relationship between Golf Travellers' Satisfaction, Perceived Value and Loyalty and Their Intentions to Revisit, dissertation presented to the Graduate School of Clemson University, Clemson, SC.
43.
ReveltD.TrainK. (1998), ‘Mixed logit with repeated choices: Household's choices of appliance efficiency level’, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol 80, No 4, pp 647–657.
44.
ShapiroC. (1983), ‘Premiums for high quality products as returns to reputation’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 98, pp 659–679.
45.
SheldonP.J. (1995), ‘The demand for incentive travel: An empirical study’, Journal of Travel Research, Spring, pp 23–28.
46.
ShmanskeS. (2004), Golfonomics, World Scientific, Hackersack, NJ.
47.
ShoemakerS. (1989), ‘Segmentation of the senior pleasure travel market’, Journal of Travel Research, Vol 27, No 3, pp 14–21.
48.
SirikayaE.UysalM.McLellanR. (1996), ‘Modelling vacation destination decisions: A behavioural approach’, Recent Advances in Tourism Marketing Research, pp 57–75.
49.
StandevenJ.DeKnopP. (1999), Sport Tourism, Human Kinetics, Champaign, IL.
50.
StynesD.J.PetersonG.L. (1984), ‘A review of Logit models with implications for modelling recreational choices’, Journal of Leisure Research, Vol 16, pp 295–310.
51.
TrainK. (1986), Qualitative Choice Analysis, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
52.
TrainK. (1998), ‘Recreational demand models with taste variation’, Land Economics, Vol 74, No 2, pp 230–239.
53.
TrainK. (2003) Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
