System and statistical approach of analysis and forecasting terrorist activity

Abstract

We considered system-analytical and statistical approach for solving the problem of analysis and predicting terrorist attacks. Intervals between attacks have been the objectives of our research. This study can help us to predict next terrorist activities and consider counter-terrorism action plan. Proposed methodology was illustrated on the examples of terrorist activities in Afghanistan, Algeria, India, Iraq and the USA. We used for calculations statistical data for the time frame 2000–2010.