Alzheimer’s Disease and Alzheimer’s Disease-Related Dementias in Older African American and White Veterans

Abstract

Background:

Racial disparity in the epidemiology of Alzheimer’s disease and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) has been reported. However, less is known about this disparity among Veterans.

Objective:

To estimate the racial disparity in AD/ADRD among the Veterans.

Methods:

Of the 5,413,418 Veterans≥65 years receiving care at the Veterans Health Administration (1999–2016), 4,045,269 were free of prevalent AD/ADRD, schizophrenia, or bipolar disorder at baseline. Of these, 432,469 were African American. Race was self-identified and incident AD/ADRD during 20 (median 6.7) years of follow-up was ascertained using International Classification of Diseases codes.

Results:

Patients had a mean age of 70.4 (±6.6) years and 97.8% were men. Age-sex-adjusted incidence of AD/ADRD per 1,000 person-year was 19.3 and 10.8 for African American and white Veterans, respectively (age-sex-adjusted hazard ratio associated with African American race, 1.77; 95% confidence interval, 1.75–1.79; p < 0.0001). This association remained essentially unchanged after multivariable adjustment (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.65–1.69; p < 0.0001). Among the key baseline characteristics that were significant predictors of AD/ADRD in both races, stroke was a significantly stronger predictor among African Americans, and Hispanic ethnicity and depression among whites (p-value for all interaction,<0.0001).

Conclusion:

The findings of a higher incidence of AD/ADRD among African American Veterans is consistent with the findings in the general population reported in the literature, although the overall incidence appears to be lower than that in the general population. Future studies need to examine this disparity in incidence as well as the between-race heterogeneity in AD/ADRD risk.

Keywords

dementia health status disparities incidence race factors

INTRODUCTION

Alzheimer’s disease and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) have emerged as an urgent public health crisis in the United States [1]. About 6 million Americans≥65 years old suffer from AD/ADRD, most of whom are≥75 years old [2]. AD/ADRD poses significant psychological, physical, and financial burden on patients and their families, and the annual cost of AD/ADRD care is estimated to be about $300 billion [1 –5]. It is estimated that the number of Americans≥65 years of age will double to 88 million and those≥85 years will triple to 19 million by 2050, which would further increase suffering and cost [1, 6]. To address these challenges, in 2011 the National Alzheimer’s Project Act (NAPA) was enacted into law, which has established the National Alzheimer’s Project with a goal to create and maintain an integrated national plan to prevent and treat AD/ADRD by 2025 [1, 5].

The prevalence and incidence of AD/ADRD in the general population have been reported to be higher for African Americans than for whites [7]. One of the goals of the National Alzheimer’s Project is to decrease disparities in AD/ADRD for racial and ethnic minority populations that are at higher risk for AD/ADRD [8]. The racial and ethnic disparity in AD/ADRD epidemiology has been attributed to biological and socio-cultural factors [9 –12]. However, others have pointed out that chronic stress of racism and social inequality may also contribute to this disparity [13 –16]. Studies have reported racial disparities in self-reported health and prevalence of chronic disease among Veterans [17 –20]. However, only a limited number of studies have investigated racial disparity of AD/ADRD in US Veterans [21, 22]. The objective of our study was to determine the incidence of AD/ADRD among a national sample of African American and white Veterans, and to examine predictors of AD/ADRD overall as well as separately within these two populations.

METHODS

Data source and study population

This is a cohort study based on Veteran Health Administration (VHA)’s Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW) data available at the VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI) [23]. We restricted our study sample to African American and white Veterans aged≥65 years who regularly received care in the VHA healthcare system during 1999–2016 calendar years. Regular use of VHA service was defined as at least 1 hospitalization or 2 outpatient visits within 12 months before the index VHA encounter qualifying the Veteran’s entry into this cohort. To be eligible to enter into the study cohort, Veterans had to meet the following inclusion criteria: 1) have at least one outpatient or inpatient encounter after attaining age≥65 years during January 1999 and December 2016; 2) be free of diagnoses of AD/ADRD before or at the index encounter; and (3) be free of severe psychiatric conditions, schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. A diagnosis of AD/ADRD was ascertained using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes (Supplementary Table 1). To establish the correct date of censoring, we excluded Veterans who had multiple death dates or wrong death dates (i.e., death date earlier than the last encounter date). We also excluded Veterans who had other dementia of known causes (ICD codes in Supplementary Table 2), because these are not AD/ADRD related dementia. Of the 7,203,427 Veterans aged≥65 years, 5,798,680 were regular VA users. After applying the inclusion/exclusion criterion, a total of 4,045,269 Veterans remained, including 432,469 African American and 3,612,800 white Veterans (Fig. 1).

Fig.1

Flow chart displaying assembly of Veteran cohort of AD/ADRD incidence study.

Race and other baseline characteristics

The main exposure variable of the study was self-reported race, which was limited to African Americans and whites. Patients with other races, and those who reported a mixed-race were excluded. Veterans with Hispanic ethnicity were included in both racial groups. Data on other baseline characteristics were obtained from the VHA data. Chronic comorbid conditions were confirmed using ICD 9 and 10 diagnostic codes, which was documented at least twice up to the date of the index encounter.

Outcomes

The outcome of the study was the incidence of AD/ADRD, which was identified using the ICD 9 and 10 codes listed in the Supplementary Table 1. The VHA transitioned from ICD9 to ICD10 on October 1, 2015; however, to maximize the sample size, we included both ICD 9 and 10 diagnostic codes. We applied direct mapping of these codes from readily available resources (http://www.icd10codesearch.com). To prevent the misclassification of an AD/ADRD outcome, we required an AD/ADRD diagnostic code to be present at least two clinical encounters, with the first date of diagnosis set as the “event” date. Time to event was calculated from the baseline (index encounter) to the first diagnosis of AD/ADRD. Patients who did not develop AD/ADRD were censored at death, last encounter date, or December 31, 2018, whichever occurred first.

Statistical analyses

For descriptive analyses, we compared baseline characteristics of African American and white Veterans using Student t-statistic and Chi-squared analyses as appropriate. Due to the large sample size of our study, even very small differences may become statistically significant. As such, we also calculated absolute standardized differences (ASDs) for each comparison [24]. The ASDs for categorical variables were calculated using the following formula: $\frac{| p_{A} - p_{W} | * 100}{\sqrt{(p_{A} / (1 - p_{A}) + p_{W} / (1 - p_{W})) / 2}}$ , where p is the proportion of a specific observed value, A stands for African Americans, and W stands for whites. For continuous variables, the ASD was calculated as $\frac{| m_{A} - m_{W} | * 100}{\sqrt{(s_{A}^{2} + s_{W}^{2}) / 2}}$ , where m is the mean and, s is the standard deviation, A stands for African Americans, and W stands for whites.

AD/ADRD incidence was estimated as cumulative proportion of patients who developed AD/ADRD during the follow-up. We also estimated incidence rate as number of patients who developed AD/ADRD divided by the sum of person-years during the follow-up. We calculated age-specific, sex-specific, age and sex adjusted, and multivariable adjusted incidence of AD/ADRD for the both racial groups. Because the length of follow-up duration was various in the cohort and age changed with the follow-up, cumulative proportion was not appropriate for age-specific incidence; therefore, we estimated age-specific incidence rate only. The numerator of age-specific incidence rate was the sum of patients whose AD/ADRD onset age at the specific category of 65–<70, 70–<75, 75–<80, 80–<85, and 85 or above; the denominator was the sum person-years patients contributed to the corresponding age categories.

We then used Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) for incident AD/ADRD associated with the African American race. Proportional hazard assumption for the models was checked by examining log-minus-log curves of the two racial groups. We used two models, first that adjusted for age and sex only, and then the second adjusted for age and sex as well as all other covariates presented in Table 1. We used the models to develop survival plots for incident AD/ADRD by race. We then repeated the models separately within African American and white Veterans to identify significant independent predictors for incident AD/ADRD within each racial category and checked for interaction in the overall cohort. Again, due to the extremely large sample size, many interaction terms were statistically significant but the difference in HR estimates between the two groups were small. Therefore, for interactions to be meaningful, we also required a relative difference of HR estimates between the two groups to be > 10%.

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of African American and white Veterans without AD/ADRD receiving care under the Veterans Health Administration Healthcare System (1999–2016)

Number (%) or mean (±SD)	African American (N = 432,469)	White (N = 3,612,800)	Absolute standardized difference (%)	p
Baseline Age, years	68.9 (±5.9)	70.6 (±6.7)	26.9	<0.0001
Baseline Age Categories
65–<70	303,888 (70.3%)	2,088,604 (57.8%)	26.2	<0.0001
70–<75	54,007 (12.5%)	558,994 (15.5%)	8.6	<0.0001
75–<80	40,084 (9.3%)	495,168 (13.7%)	13.9	<0.0001
80–<85	22,760 (5.3%)	309,041 (8.5%)	13.0	<0.0001
85+	11,730 (2.7%)	160,993 (4.5%)	9.4	<0.0001
Female	11,746 (2.7%)	75,842 (2.1%)	4.0	<0.0001
Ethnicity
Hispanic	7,540 (1.7%)	139,623 (3.9%)	12.9	<0.0001
Non–Hispanic	412,259 (95.3%)	3,377,253 (93.5%)	8.0	<0.0001
Unknown	12,670 (2.9%)	95,925 (2.7%)	1.7	<0.0001
Living Area Median Income
≤$25,000	21,806 (5.0%)	77,769 (2.1%)	15.6	<0.0001
$25,001–50,000	275,430 (63.7%)	1,857,303 (51.4%)	25.0	<0.0001
$50,001–75,000	113,912 (26.3%)	1,401,230 (38.8%)	26.8	<0.0001
> $75,000	15,040 (3.5%)	227,228 (6.3%)	13.1	<0.0001
Unknown	6,281 (1.5%)	49,271 (1.4%)	0.7	<0.0001
Marital
Married	209,645 (48.5%)	2,319,477 (64.2%)	32.1	<0.0001
Single/Divorced/Widow	221,766 (51.3%)	1,284,045 (35.5%)	32.1	<0.0001
Unknown	1,058 (0.2%)	9,279 (0.3%)	0.2	0.1333
Area
Urban	354,323 (81.9%)	2,296,905 (63.6%)	42.1	<0.0001
Rural	42,234 (9.8%)	838,266 (23.2%)	36.8	<0.0001
Unknown	35,912 (8.3%)	477,630 (13.2%)	15.9	<0.0001
Hypertension	231,306 (53.5%)	1,374,942 (38.1%)	31.3	<0.0001
Hyperlipidemia	150,210 (34.7%)	1,203,809 (33.3%)	3.0	<0.0001
Diabetes	112,910 (26.1%)	634,986 (17.6%)	20.8	<0.0001
Arthritis	79,369 (18.3%)	459,094 (12.7%)	15.6	<0.0001
Cancer	45,142 (10.4%)	301,321 (8.3%)	7.2	<0.0001
Ischemic Heart Disease	48,889 (11.3%)	496,254 (13.7%)	7.3	<0.0001
Depression	66,395 (15.4%)	395,312 (10.9%)	13.1	<0.0001
COPD	28,721 (6.6%)	267,268 (7.4%)	3.0	<0.0001
Anemia	43,115 (10.0%)	136,519 (3.8%)	24.6	<0.0001
Chronic Kidney Disease	19,189 (4.4%)	54,352 (1.5%)	17.3	<0.0001
Heart Failure	17,816 (4.1%)	88,585 (2.4%)	9.4	<0.0001
Stroke	16,481 (3.8%)	84,061 (2.3%)	8.6	<0.0001
Atrial Fibrillation	8,274 (1.9%)	109,221 (3.0%)	7.1	<0.0001
Asthma	11,833 (2.7%)	71,210 (2.0%)	5.0	<0.0001
Traumatic Brain Injury	986 (0.2%)	5,655 (0.2%)	1.6	<0.0001
Number of Comorbidities
0–1	217,400 (50.3%)	2,164,997 (59.9%)	19.5	<0.0001
2–3	114,225 (26.4%)	877,444 (24.3%)	4.9	<0.0001
4–5	69,864 (16.1%)	413,601 (11.4%)	13.7	<0.0001
6+	30,980 (7.2%)	156,758 (4.3%)	12.1	<0.0001

We also conducted a sensitivity analysis in which an AD/ADRD diagnostic code was required to be present at least in one clinical encounter. It was different from our primary analysis that required AD/ADRD diagnoses to be present for at least two clinical encounters. In the sensitivity analysis, all other variables were kept the same as those used in the primary analyses.

Data availability statement

The data that we used for the study cannot be shared per VHA policies. Procedures for data access and approval of requests by the VHA researchers are available on the VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure website (https://www.hsrd.research.va.gov/for_researchers/vinci/default.cfm)

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics

The 432,469 African American and 3,612,800 white Veterans had a mean age of 70.4±6.6 years old, and 97.8% were men. Compared to whites, African Americans were younger, lived in areas of lower income, and were less likely to be married and to live in rural areas (Table 1). African Americans also had more medical comorbidities than whites, especially for hypertension, diabetes, arthritis, depression, anemia, and chronic kidney disease.

African American race and incident AD/ADRD

A total of 49,082 African American Veterans and 300,372 white Veterans developed AD/ADRD. For African American Veterans, the most common AD/ADRD diagnoses were nonspecific dementias (43.5%), followed by unspecified dementias without behavioral disturbance (10.8%), vascular dementias, uncomplicated (8.2%), AD (6.7%), and senile dementia, uncomplicated (5.1%). In contrast, for white Veterans, they were other persistent mental disorders due to conditions classified elsewhere (43.3%), unspecified dementias without behavioral disturbance (10.1%), AD (9.6%), vascular dementias, uncomplicated (5.6%), dementia unspecified (5.2%), and senile dementia uncomplicated (5.2%).

Incident AD/ADRD occurred in African American Veterans (11.5% for males and 6.0% for females) and white Veterans (8.3% for males and 9.0% for females) during about 20 years (mean of 7.0 years, median of 6.7 years) of follow-up (age and sex-adjusted HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.65–1.69; p < 0.0001; Tables 2–3 and Fig. 2). This association remained unchanged after adjusting for the other covariates (Table 3). We observed a dose-response relationship between age and incidence rate, with the rate changing from 5.3 to 53.8 per 1,000 person-years in African Veterans and from 3.2 to 28.4 per 1,000 person-years in white Veterans (Table 2). Regardless of age-categories, African American Veterans consistently had a higher incidence rate of AD/ADRD than white Veterans.

Table 2

AD/ADRD incidence rates for African American and white Veterans receiving care under the Veterans Health Administration Healthcare System (1999–2016), by age at AD/ADRD onset and sex

	African American Veterans (N = 432,469)		White Veterans (N = 3,612,800)
	%	Incidence (per 1,000 person-years)	%	Incidence (per 1,000 person-years)
AD/ADRD onset Age (y)
65–<70	N.A.	5.3	N.A.	3.2
70–<75	N.A.	9.4	N.A.	5.5
75–<80	N.A.	18.7	N.A.	10.7
80–<85	N.A.	32.0	N.A.	17.9
85+	N.A.	53.8	N.A.	28.4
Gender
Male	11.5	16.1	8.3	10.9
Female	6.0	11.2	9.0	13.6

Table 3

Adjusted AD/ADRD incidence comparison between two races

	African Americans (N = 432,469)		Whites (N = 3,612,800)		Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) associated with African American race
	Incidence of AD/ADRD		Incidence of AD/ADRD
	%	Per 1,000 person-years	%	Per 1,000 person-years
Age and sex adjusted	13.4	19.3	8.2	10.8	1.77 (1.75–1.79); p < 0.0001
Multivariable-adjusted*	12.5	17.6	8.2	10.8	1.67 (1.65–1.69); p < 0.0001

*Model adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, income, marital status, area, all individual comorbid conditions.

Fig.2

Survival curves of AD/ADRD risk between two races.

Predictors of AD/ADRD, overall and by race

Significant predictors of a higher risk of incident AD/ADRD included age, not being married, the following medical comorbid conditions: including atrial fibrillation, anemia, chronic kidney disease, COPD, depression, diabetes, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and traumatic brain injury (TBI; Table 4). Significant predictors of incident AD/ADRD for the overall cohort were generally also significant within each racial group; however, the direction of the effect and magnitude of some of the predictors were different between the two groups, including sex, ethnicity, living area, the presence of arthritis, depression, and stroke (Table 5).

Table 4

Predictors of AD/ADRD risk in the study cohort

	Adjusted HR	95% CI
African Americans versus White Americans	1.67	1.65–1.69
Baseline Age	1.10	1.10–1.10
Female versus Male	1.02	0.99–1.04
Hispanic versus Non-Hispanic	1.41	1.39–1.44
Living Area Median Income
1^st Quartile (lowest)	Reference	–
2^nd Quartile (lower)	0.99	0.98–1.00
3^rd Quartile (higher)	0.97	0.97–0.98
4^th Quartile (highest)	0.90	0.89–0.91
Single/Widow/Divorced versus Married	1.10	1.09–1.11
Rural versus Urban	0.91	0.90–0.92
Atrial Fibrillation	1.10	1.07–1.13
Anemia	1.17	1.15–1.20
Arthritis	0.95	0.94–0.96
Asthma	0.80	0.77–0.83
Cancer	0.93	0.92–0.95
Chronic Kidney Disease	1.27	1.22–1.31
COPD	1.09	1.07–1.11
Depression	1.65	1.63–1.68
Diabetes	1.21	1.20–1.22
Heart Failure	1.25	1.22–1.29
Hypertension	0.87	0.86–0.88
Hyperlipidemia	0.74	0.73–0.75
Ischemic Heart Disease	1.05	1.04–1.06
Stroke	2.09	2.04–2.14
Traumatic Brain Injury	2.37	2.17–2.58

The association of sex and incident AD/ADRD varied between the races: HRs (95% CIs) of incident AD/ADRD was 0.87 (0.81–0.94) and 1.04 (1.02–1.07) for African Americans and whites, respectively (p for interaction < 0.0001; Table 5). Hispanic ethnicity, depression, and stroke were associated with a higher risk of AD/ADRD in both races, but the risk was significantly higher among African Americans. HRs (95% CIs) for incident AD/ADRD among whites versus African Americans for Hispanic ethnicity, depression, and stroke were 1.15 versus 1.42 (p for interaction < 0.0001), 1.31 versus 1.73 (p for interaction < 0.0001), and 2.55 versus 1.98 (p for interaction < 0.0001), respectively. Living in rural area and having arthritis were associated with lower risk of AD/ADRD in both racial groups, but their HR estimates indicated stronger effect size among African Americans than whites with value of 0.75 versus 0.93 (p for interaction < 0.0001) and 0.83 versus 0.98 (p for interaction < 0.0001), respectively (Table 5).

Table 5

Predictors of AD/ADRD by race

	African Americans		White Americans
	Adjusted HR	95% CI	Adjusted HR	95% CI
Baseline Age	1.11	1.11–1.11	1.10	1.10–1.10
Female versus Male*	0.87	0.81–0.94	1.04	1.02–1.07
Hispanic versus Non-Hispanic*	1.15	1.07–1.24	1.42	1.40–1.45
Living Area Median Income
1^st Quartile (lowest)	Reference	–	Reference	–
2^nd Quartile (lower)	1.02	0.99–1.05	0.99	0.98–0.99
3^rd Quartile (higher)	1.01	0.98–1.03	0.97	0.96–0.98
4^th Quartile (highest)	0.96	0.94–0.99	0.90	0.89–0.91
Single/Widow/Divorced versus Married	1.04	1.02–1.06	1.11	1.10–1.12
Rural versus Urban*	0.75	0.72–0.77	0.93	0.92–0.94
Atrial Fibrillation	1.08	0.99–1.18	1.10	1.08–1.13
Anemia	1.17	1.07–1.17	1.22	1.19–1.26
Arthritis*	0.83	0.80–0.86	0.98	0.96–0.99
Asthma	0.78	0.72–0.86	0.81	0.77–0.84
Cancer	0.90	0.86–0.94	0.94	0.92–0.96
Chronic Kidney Disease	1.34	1.25–1.43	1.27	1.21–1.32
COPD	1.05	0.99–1.11	1.09	1.07–1.11
Depression*	1.31	1.25–1.36	1.73	1.70–1.75
Diabetes	1.15	1.12–1.18	1.22	1.21–1.24
Heart Failure	1.27	1.19–1.35	1.24	1.21–1.28
Hypertension	0.90	0.88–0.92	0.87	0.86–0.87
Hyperlipidemia	0.74	0.71–0.76	0.74	0.73–0.75
Ischemic Heart Disease	1.11	1.07–1.16	1.04	1.03–1.06
Stroke*	2.55	2.43–2.67	1.98	1.93–2.03
Traumatic Brain Injury	2.49	2.06–3.02	2.32	2.11–2.56

*p-value for interaction < 0.0001 and HR relative difference between two racial groups > 10%.

DISCUSSION

Findings from our study demonstrate that the overall incidence of AD/ADRD was low among older US Veterans receiving care at the VHA compared to that of the general population [25, 26] and that the incidence of AD/ADRD was higher among African American than among white Veterans. We also observed that independent predictors of incident AD/ADRD were similar between the two races. However, there were between-race differences in the magnitude of some of these associations. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of racial disparity and race-specific predictors of the incidence of AD/ADRD in a national cohort of Veterans.

One possible explanation of the lower overall estimate of AD/ADRD in our study is that AD/ADRD is under-diagnosed or under-documented in the VA system [27]. Another possible explanation is that Veterans have a lower risk of AD/ADRD due to intense physical exercise during early military years and a more disciplined lifestyle thereafter [28]. However, the finding of a higher risk of AD/ADRD among African American Veterans is consistent with previous reports [25 , 29–33]. Age is an important predictor of AD/ADRD. However, African Americans in our study had a lower mean age that was both statistically significant (p < 0.0001) and substantial (ASD, 26.9%) with potential for consequential bias. Yet, despite their lower mean age, African American Veterans had a higher risk of AD/ADRD. One potential explanation is the between-group difference in baseline distribution of AD/ADRD risk factors. For example, diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major risk factor for AD/ADRD [34] and also significantly increased the risk of AD/ADRD by 21% in our study. The prevalence of DM was about 50% higher among African Americans with an ASD of 20.8% which suggests that it had the potential to contribute to the higher risk of AD/ADRD among African Americans. Although we adjusted for the prevalence of DM in our regression model, it may not account for severity of DM at baseline or during follow-up. If DM was severe or progressed faster among African Americans, then that may in part explain their higher risk of AD/ADRD. Baseline stroke and TBI increased the risk of AD/ADRD by 109% and 137%, respectively, in our study. The prevalence of both conditions at baseline were significantly higher among African Americans. However, ASD for both conditions were < 10% suggesting that any confounding by the variables were likely inconsequential.

Another potential explanation of a higher risk of AD/ADRD among African American Veterans is racial discrimination. A recent study based on 368 African Americans with usable gene expression data from the Family and Community Health Study computed accelerated aging as well as self-reports of racial discrimination (Schedule of Racist Events) and depression (Diagnostic Interview Schedule for Children-Version 4) [14]. In that study, racial discrimination at ages 10–15 was associated with depression at ages 20–29 years, which in turn was associated with accelerated cellular-level aging. Thus, it is possible that cumulative life stress due to racial discrimination during early and adult life may increase the risk of AD/ADRD at an earlier age via accelerated aging. However, our study, in which race was self-reported race, was not designed to examine the role of racial discrimination as a potential underlying mechanism of racial disparities in AD/ADRD risk.

Although we did not have data on income at an individual level, higher quartiles of median income of living area was associated with a lower risk of AD/ADRD. This in part be explained by a higher education level and healthier lifestyle that are associated with higher income. Interestingly, this association was only observed among whites, and not among African Americans. One potential explanation of this may be that the gaps between quartiles of income among African Americans were not sufficiently large enough to impact mediators that maybe associated with a lower risk of AD/ADRD. Female sex is a known risk factor for AD/ADRD. However, we found no overall association between sex and incident AD/ADRD. The modest 4% higher risk among whites was likely cancelled by the robust 13% lower risk among African Americans. The opposing direction of this association is intriguing and needs to be replicated in future studies. We observed that being married and rural residence were associated with a lower risk of AD/ADRD, which are consistent with previous findings [35, 36]. Hypertension is an established risk factor for AD/ADRD, and inverse association observed in our study is intriguing. However, higher blood pressure has been shown to have paradoxical relationships with better outcomes in the presence of other morbidities such as heart failure [37, 38]. Brain injury including TBI and stroke and psychiatric disorders such as depression are strongly associated with the increased risk of developing AD/ADRD. These findings are consistent with what was reported in published systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

Our study has clinical and public health implications. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to examine racial disparity in AD/ADRD incidence among a national cohort of US Veterans. Our findings also point to differences in the risk factors between older African American and white Veterans. Our findings identified several race-specific potentially modifiable risk factors. Future studies that replicate and confirm our findings are necessary.

Our study has several limitations. First, it was based on the Veteran populations, which is predominantly male that therefore limits generalizability. Second, we used diagnostic codes based on structured data to define AD/ADRD, which may have underestimated true incidence [22 , 40]. Third, we did not account for the severity of comorbid conditions, medications, or laboratory data. These additional factors should be further explored in future studies to fully understand the complex relationship between comorbid conditions and their association with incident AD/ADRD. Lastly, competing risk of death might be another limitation of our study. During the follow-up, 30.2% African American and 35.5% white Veterans died without developing AD/ADRD. Fine and Grey model or modified Poisson regression model may account for competing risk. However, due to the extremely large sample size, we did not have sufficient computational power to run the full models.

Conclusion

In a large national cohort of US Veterans aged≥65 years, African American race was associated with a higher risk of AD/ADRD when compared with whites. While both races shared the majority of the risk factors, important differences in magnitude and direction were observed between races, which if replicated and confirmed, may generate hypotheses for interventions. Future studies are necessary to develop and test race-specific interventions to lower the burden of AD/ADRD.

Footnotes

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors thank the US Department of Veteran Affairs for providing data and analytical software support. This work was supported by the grants including NIH 1UL1TR001876-01, VA I01 HX001145-02, and NIH R56 AG059739-01.

The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the Veterans Health Administration.

Authors’ disclosures available online ().

The supplementary material is available in the electronic version of this article: .

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