Abstract
It has recently become increasingly important to evaluate the relative performance of complete systems so as to arrive at an optimum allocation of resources to attain a certain mission with a maximum probability of success. Ships are complex systems subject to a multitude of effects which may cause component, subsystem, or system failures. These, in turn may require a diverse range of corrective actions resulting in loss of availability, reduced mission capability, costs, etc.
In this paper mathematical models are derived which may be of use in estimating the probability of success in attaing the required level of performance and completing the design mission.
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