Filtering for fast mean-reverting processes

Abstract

We consider nonlinear filtering applications to target tracking based on a vector of multi-scaled models where some of the processes are rapidly mean reverting to their local equilibria. We focus attention on target tracking problems because multiple scaled models with fast mean-reversion (FMR) are a simple way to model latency in the response of tracking systems. The main results of this paper show that nonlinear filtering algorithms for multi-scale models with FMR states can be simplified significantly by exploiting the FMR structures, which leads to a simplified Baum–Welch recursion that is of reduced dimension. We implement the simplified algorithms with numerical simulations and discuss their efficiency and robustness.