Abstract
It is understood that the threats posed by possible criminal activity in a neighborhood can play a major role in the decision to drive, take transit, walk, or ride a bicycle, but little empirical evidence has yet been gathered to support this notion, let alone guide public infrastructure investments, land use planning, or the allocation of police services. This study found that high-crime neighborhoods tend to discourage residents from walking or riding a bicycle. When a high-crime neighborhood is compared with a lower-crime neighborhood, the odds of choosing walking over driving decrease by 17% for work trips and 61% for nonwork trips. However, transit trips appear to respond to neighborhood crime in a way similar to auto trips; that is, high-crime neighborhoods appear to encourage transit use. The odds of choosing transit over the auto increase by 17% for work trips and 164% for nonwork trips. The study found that transit access trips (walking, bicycling, or driving to a transit station) are sensitive to neighborhood crimes in keeping with theoretical expectations: high-crime neighborhoods discourage walking and bicycling and encourage driving to transit stations. Specifically, for transit access to work trips, the odds of choosing to walk or bike to a transit station instead of driving decrease by 48%.
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