After all that has been spent on missile defense, what does the United States have to show for its investment? Little more than a legacy of failure, according to the authors of this issue's special report on missile defense. The latest iteration of an old idea, a European-based missile defense system to defend against Iranian missiles, is disingenuous and technologically faulty, write George N. Lewis, a physicist and associate director of the Peace Studies Program at Cornell University, and Theodore A. Postol, a physicist and professor of science, technology, and national security policy at MIT. “[T]he goal is clearly unachievable, and … in spite of this, enormous national treasure is being squandered,” argue the longtime critics of missile defense in “The Folly of Missile Defense.”
Geoengineering sounds like science fiction, with its audacious schemes to solve global warming by launching thousands of orbiting sunshades or injecting sulfate aerosols into the atmosphere to block sunlight. But it has some serious scientific backers, which concerns Rutgers University climatologist Alan Robock, author of “20 Reasons Why Geoengineering May Be a Bad Idea.” Robock began researching how injecting aerosols into the atmosphere might affect the planet with a clear goal in mind: “If it turns out the consequences and dangers of a geoengineering solution are much worse than the warming it is designed to prevent, I hope that this will lead to a much more concerted action on the part of the United States to mitigate global warming.”
Siegfried S. Hecker (right) viewed the end of the Cold War from an exceptional vantage point. As director of Los Alamos National Laboratory from 1986 to 1997, Hecker understood the opportunities for collaboration that accompanied warming relations. Within the past several years, Hecker has directed his scientific diplomacy toward the former Soviet stalwart of North Korea. He has traveled to North Korea three times to meet with its scientists and officials to discuss a range of scientific and diplomatic issues. In “Denuclearizing North Korea,” Hecker outlines why he is convinced that the elimination of North Korea's plutonium production capacity is within reach.
Cover Artist: Dan Robbins
In the 1950s, under the specter of the Cold War, America was prosperous, and its growing middle class enjoyed something relatively new, leisure time. Artist Dan Robbins came up with something to fill that time: paint by number. The kits (sold with the tagline “Every man a Rembrandt”) grew so popular that by 1954, President Dwight D. Eisenhower's appointment secretary offered blank kits to administration officials and Oval Office visitors, displaying finished pieces in the West Wing, including one by FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover. The subject of an exhibition at the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of American History in 2001, Robbins returns to his pop-art form for the cover of the May/June 2008 Bulletin, featuring the Doomsday Clock in a seaside paint-by-number scene. Or is that ocean full of dread? When asked about the intentionally unfinished cover, the 82-year-old wondered, “What are the right colors to finish the painting?” Would bright, sunny colors best portray a warning about global warming? Or would dark, somber ones better highlight the continued threat of nuclear weapons? “Whether nuclear or environmental, the threat to our planet is real,” he concluded.
It took 10 years and billions of dollars to sequence one person's genome in 2001. But that was only the first step toward sequencing the various mutations of human DNA inside every person on the planet. Stuart Lindsay, the director of the Center for Single Molecule Biophysics at Arizona State University, analyzes several state-of-the-art sequencing methods, including his own, in this issue's In Review essay. For example, he explores the possibility of reading a long chain of DNA as it passes one base pair at a time through a nanopore. The technical challenges of such research are immense, but so is the potential payoff in terms of healthcare and our understanding of the complexity of the genome. “It's a step away from the reductionist view,” he says. “It's an acknowledgment of the enormous individuality of each organism and even a more spiritual view of biology.”
The idea that someone could patent the atomic bomb seems absurd. But back when the United States was still exploring the feasibility of the bomb, it was a real concern. Alex Wellerstein takes us deep into the bureaucracy that controlled nuclear secrets before the creation of the Atomic Energy Commission in “Inside the Atomic Patent Office.” The often-ignored effort fascinated the Harvard University history of science PhD candidate: “By showing a path not taken–in this case, atomic control through patents–it helps illuminate the contingency of the way it actually happened, the fact that the world we live in today is not the only world that could possibly have been.”
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR/PUBLISHER Kennette Benedict
EDITOR Jonas Siegel
DEPUTY EDITOR and WEB EDITOR Josh Schollmeyer
ASSOCIATE EDITOR Kirsten Jerch
ASSOCIATE EDITOR Stuart Luman
ART DIRECTOR Joy Miller
DIRECTOR OF FINANCE and ADMINISTRATION Barb Netter
DIRECTOR OF DEVELOPMENT and OUTREACH Kendal Gladish
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CHAIR Allison Macfarlane
VICE CHAIR Rose Gottemoeller
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CHAIR Cathryn Cronin Cranston
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