Abstract
The experiment is concerned with individual choice-behavior in resolving discrepancies in a three-choice card game between long-term (a priori) probabilities and immediate outcomes maximally biased by E‘s use of “marked” cards. S's ability to track changes in outcomes was indicated by within-condition card play strategy. Despite S‘s ability to track outcome changes, results show S's choice-behavior is only partially affected by immediate outcomes as maximal bias does not repeal the control exerted by long-term probabilities. The discussion considers the appropriateness of explanations derived from game theory in characterizing choice-behavior. It is suggested that game theory predicts boundary conditions for card play use rather than a normative strategy.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.