The Scenarios Underlying Climate Change ‘Predictions’

Castles Ian Henderson David (2003). “The IPCC Emission Scenarios: An economic-statistical critique” in Energy and the Environment, Vol.14, Nos. 2&3, pp. 159–185.

Chakravorty Ujiayant Tse Kin-Ping (no date). “Transition from Fossil Fuels to Renewable Energy”, http://www.earthinstitute.columbia.edu/events/econSeminar/Chakravorty.pdf.

Corcoran Terence (2002). “An ‘insult to science’”, National Post, 14 December. Available at http://www.canada.com/national/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=%7b54b082f6–100c-4ada-9012–edf7ec30dd03%7d.

The Economist (2003). “Hot Potato”, 13 February.

Gray Vincent (2002). The Greenhouse Delusion. Brentwood, Essex, UK: Multi-Science.

Henderson David (2003). “SRES and IPCC: Further Concerns”, available at http://www.economist.com/displaygeneric.cfm?pageheadgif=FinanceandEconomics&key=efhp1 pp. 7–10. See also: Castles Ian Henderson David (2003). Correspondence with the SRES http://www.economist.com/displaygeneric.cfm?pageheadgif=FinanceandEconomics&key=efhp1;.

IEA (2002). Key World Energy Statistics, http://www.iea.org/statist/keyworld2002/key2002/keystats.htm.

IPCC (1998). The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability.

IPCC (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, Summary for Policymakers, http://wwwipcc.ch/pub/sres-e.pdf.

IPCC (2001). The Scientific Basis: Technical Summary, Climate Change 2001, Working Group I, available at http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/010.htm.

IPCC (no date) http://www.ipcc.ch/about/about.htm.

Landes David (1998). The Wealth and Poverty of Nations, London, Abacus.

Lomborg Bjørn (2001). The Skeptical Environmentalist, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Maddison Angus (1991). Dynamic Forces in Capitalist Development: A Long-Run Comparative View (New York: Oxford University Press). See also Maddison Angus (2002). The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (Paris: OECD Development Centre).

Magné Bertrand Moreaux Michel (2002). “Long Run Energy Trajectories: Assessing the Nuclear Option In Response To Global Warming” (Preliminary Draft). February. http://weberucsd.edu/∼carsonvs/papers/617.pdf.

Marland Gregg (no date). Tom Boden Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Link: http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/ndp030/global99.ems.

McKitrick Ross (2003). “Emission Scenarios & Recent Global Warming Projections”, Fraser Forum, January.

Nakicenovic N. Riahi K (2002). “An Assessment of Technology Change”, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2002. Available at http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Publications/ Documents/RR-02-005.pdf.

SRES, no date. Spreadsheet with the scenario data available at: http://sres.ciesin.org/.

UN (2003). “Below replacement fertility expected in 75 percent of developing countries” (press release), 26 February, http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2003/pop850.doc.htm.

UNDP (2002). Human Development Report, Oxford, Oxford University Press. http://hdr.undp. org/reports/global/2002/en/.

UNPP (2002). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision. http://esa.un.org/unpp/.

Webster, et al (2001). “Uncertainty in Emissions Projections for Climate Models”, MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Report No. 79 (August) Available at http://www.mit.edu/afs/athena.mit.edu/org/g/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt79.pdf.