Wind farms in South East Australia are unlikely to supply any significant power output that system operators can rely upon. Wind farms will load the distribution system with sudden variations in power that are not currently predictable and are as significant as the random variations of user demand.
Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) list of non-scheduled generation installed capacity. Non-Scheduled generation is generation whose output is not controlled through the AEMO central dispatch process. http://www.aemo.com.au/data/gendata_exist.shtml
Reliability level is also referred to as availability. This for thermal and gas turbine generators is above 90 per cent. Reliability is determined historically from forced outage performance. For an example of forced outages see NEMMCO2006 Minimum Reserve Level Recalculation Table 1 http://www.aemo.com.au/electricityops/240-0020.pdf
5.
Variance analysis is the technical term where: Semi-variance(s) = (∑(xi − xi+s)2)/(2.N) with s = series interval between measurements: s = 1, 2, 3…… N = number of samples for xi.
