More frequent hot summers in the UK under climate change could lead to increased discomfort in dwellings, but there is little published field data on internal summer temperatures. Temperatures were measured in four dwellings around south Manchester and five dwellings in London during the August 2003 heat wave. Resultant statistics and various comfort metrics indicated a high level of discomfort in most dwellings, particularly in London. Daily internal temperatures were shown to correlate strongly with a time-decaying function of daily outside temperatures. Day and night temperatures were shown to relate to the type of structure. It is concluded that if heat waves become more common, this would lead to increased discomfort, with implications for health, mortality and housing design.
Practical application:
The results presented in this paper show what actually happens to a sample of dwelling temperatures during a severe UK heat wave, and the consequences for comfort. Little has been published on this previously. The correlations between time-averaged outside temperatures, and internal temperatures, provide a method for predicting dwelling temperatures in the future in a warming climate, without the need for detailed simulation and including real occupancy effects such as window opening, which are difficult to simulate reliably. Since there were many excess deaths during the August 2003 heat wave, health is an important concern. Work by others on this issue has shown that mortality rate is correlated with a three-day moving average of outside temperature above a threshold. This moving average correlates closely with the type of time-averaged outside temperature used in the paper. It seems quite possible that a 3-day moving average is a good predictor of excess mortality because it is also a good predictor of internal building temperatures, due to the mediation of thermal mass. This provides an alternative, or additional, explanation to that which explains the mortality as the cumulative result of high external temperatures acting on the human body over a few days, without considering the effects of buildings.
