Towards a more realistic estimation of urban land take by combining cadastral parcels and building footprints

Abstract

Despite its importance as a research issue, a widely accepted methodology of estimating land take resulting from urbanization has not yet been reached. Accurate geospatial datasets are currently available at a European and global level; however, different methods of quantifying urban land take could lead to diverse outputs, potentially resulting in underestimation. This can be alarming as encroaching urban sprawl is emerging as a major environmental challenge by destroying natural habitats, consuming productive agricultural land, and contributing to climate change by increasing energy demands. To address this knowledge gap, we propose an estimation of urban land take that combines cadastral parcels and building footprints. Land parcels can be considered as a suitable minimum mapping unit as they are directly related to the spatial level where economic decisions on land use conversion are made. The proposed geospatial method is compared to methods that depend on datasets of High Resolution Layer Imperviousness, Global Building Footprints (alone), Corine Land Cover, Urban Atlas, and Global Human Settlement Layer. The method is exemplified in case studies in Greece, specifically: (a) two islands of the South Aegean Region (Mykonos and Thera), that are heavily impacted by tourism development and sprawl and (b) a peri-urban zone (Thermaikos-Michaniona) within the metropolitan area of Thessaloniki, impacted by intense suburbanization. Results show that urban land consumes important shares of available land since the mid-20th century, this fact highlighting the dynamic encroachment of urban development. Calculation shows that other methods could underestimate urbanized areas by up to 80%–90%. In the discussion section, the advantages of shifting the focus from the pixel to the parcel are further justified, while explicit links to spatial planning policies for sprawl containment are drawn. Such policies could be informed by more realistic estimations of urban land take, in order to proceed with strategic and regulatory measures to support the ‘no net land take’ policy of Europe.