In this short note, the probability of the event that in a first-past-the-post voting system, the party winning the maximum number of seats loses in terms of popular votes, is studied under a few simplifying assumptions. It turns out that the said probability is roughly 20 per cent. That is, one-fifth of the times, the said event will happen, on the average.
AlcantudJ. C. R.de Andres CalleR. & CasconJ. M.(2013). Consensus and the act of voting. Studies in Microeconomics, 1(1), 1–22.
2.
DeyP. & NarahariY. (2015). Asymptotic collusion-proofness of voting rules: The case of large number of candidates. Studies in Microeconomics, 3(2), 120–139.
