Major international target archery competitions include World Cups, World Championships and the Olympic Games. Those events include both a 72-arrow ranking round and then one-on-one ranked knock-out matches, until one archer or team remains. Previous modelling of the probabilities of winning podium positions at these events has assumed that the distance of an archer’s arrows from the centre of the target is normally distributed and that an archer’s performance levels in ranking rounds and matches are the same. This paper considers those two assumptions. For the top level of men’s recurve archers, this study determined that those assumptions are reasonable.
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