An active learning method combining adaptive kriging and weighted penalty for structural reliability analysis

Abstract

Reducing the surrogate model-based method computation without loss of prediction accuracy remains a significant challenge in structural reliability analysis. The unbalanced probability density, important information in critical region and information redundancy of added sample points are ignored in most of traditional surrogate-based methods, resulting in heavy computational burden. In this work, an active learning combining adaptive Kriging method and weighted penalty (AK-WP) is proposed to analyze the reliability of engineering structures. Firstly, an active learning and weighted penalty function (WPLF) is the result of integrating active learning method, weighted function and penalty function, which is proposed to find the most probable point (MPP). Meanwhile, to avoid redundant information, the best suitable MPP is determined by a proposed distance law established between the found MPP and the existing design of experiment (DoE). Secondly, the Kriging model is refined according to best suitable MPP in each iteration. Thirdly, the failure probability is estimated by the Monte Carlo sample points from the n-ball domain until the convergence condition is satisfied. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method are demonstrated by some numerical examples including the highly nonlinear, the small probability problems and implicit function, as well as a real engineering application.