Abstract
A key goal for organisms in competitive social interactions is learning strategies that outperform opponents. Despite the ample literature on modeling strategic behaviors in games, little research has parametrically examined the degree to which individuals’ performance and strategy depend on an opponent’s predictability and how they change over time. To test these questions, we conducted two experiments investigating people’s behavior in the competitive game Rock, Paper, Scissors against computerized opponents programmed using reinforcement learning algorithms. In Experiment 1, the RL algorithms were model-free, where only the values of selected actions were updated following feedback. In Experiment 2, the algorithms were model-based, where the values of unselected actions were also updated. Results from both experiments showed that subjects significantly outperformed both classes of RL opponents, but they implemented different strategies to do so. Specifically, participants tended to engage in a Win-Stay/Lose-Shift strategy in Experiment 1 but a Win-Shift/Lose-Shift strategy in Experiment 2, contrary to behaviors predicted by typical RL models and learning theories. We discuss the theoretical and practical implications of shifting away from reinforced behaviors, reinforcement learning as a representative computational framework of strategic decision-making, and how future research can continue this investigation by testing additional models and competitive games.
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