Abstract
Background
Laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) is the gold standard for gallbladder disease, yet conversion to open cholecystectomy (OC) remains necessary in 2-15% of cases. Although often life-saving, conversion increases operative time, morbidity, and hospital stay. Identifying reliable predictors is therefore crucial for surgical planning and patient counseling.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 4535 patients who underwent LC at a tertiary center between January 2018 and May 2024. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological, intraoperative, and histopathological data were extracted from medical records. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of conversion. A nomogram was developed to estimate individualized conversion risk.
Results
Conversion to OC occurred in 304 patients (6.7%). Independent predictors included male sex (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.09-2.50), ASA IV classification (OR 4.84, 95% CI 2.51-9.33), elevated CRP (OR 1.007 per mg/L, 95% CI 1.004-1.010), reduced lymphocyte count (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.21-0.84), gastric or intestinal complications (OR 3.38, 95% CI 1.01-11.38), gangrenous gallbladder (OR 2.39, 95% CI 1.45-3.93), and xanthogranulomatous cholecystitis (OR 5.42, 95% CI 1.61-18.25). Gallbladder wall thickness was the strongest preoperative predictor (OR 1.20 per mm, 95% CI 1.13-1.27, P < 0.001), and existence of dense adhesions were the strongest intraoperative predictor (OR 26.77, 95% CI 16.64-43.07).
Conclusion
Conversion to OC reflects anatomical complexity and advanced disease rather than surgical failure. Gallbladder wall thickness, inflammatory markers, adhesions, gangrene, and xanthogranulomatous cholecystitis are consistent predictors. The proposed nomogram provides individualized risk estimation to improve preoperative planning and patient counseling. Prospective multicenter validation is warranted.
Keywords
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
Supplementary Material
Please find the following supplemental material available below.
For Open Access articles published under a Creative Commons License, all supplemental material carries the same license as the article it is associated with.
For non-Open Access articles published, all supplemental material carries a non-exclusive license, and permission requests for re-use of supplemental material or any part of supplemental material shall be sent directly to the copyright owner as specified in the copyright notice associated with the article.
