Purpose: To identify intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) findings that predict midterm stent patency in femoropopliteal (FP) lesions. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis was undertaken of 335 de novo FP lesions in 274 consecutive patients (mean age 72.4±8.2 years; 210 men) who had IVUS assessment before and after successful stent implantation. The mean lesion length was 13.2±9.8 cm. The primary outcome was primary patency at 24 months, defined as freedom from major adverse limb event (MALE) and in-stent restenosis (ISR). MALE was defined as major amputation or any target lesion revascularization (TLR). ISR was defined by a peak systolic velocity ratio >2.4 by duplex ultrasonography. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of stent patency at 24 months; the results are presented as the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the optimal threshold for prediction of stent patency at 24 months. Results: Over the 24-month follow-up, 18 (7%) patients died and 43 (15%) of 286 lesions were responsible for MALE (42 TLRs and 1 major amputation). Primary patency was estimated at 82.5% (95% CI 78.1% to 86.9%) at 12 months and 73.2% (95% CI 67.9% to 78.5%) at 24 months. Multivariable analysis revealed that longer lesion length (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.97, p<0.01) was an independent predictor of declining patency, while cilostazol use (OR 3.45, 95% CI 1.10 to 10.78, p=0.03) and increasing distal reference external elastic membrane (EEM) area (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.37, p=0.03) were associated with midterm stent patency. ROC curve analysis identified a distal reference EEM area of 29.0 mm2 as the optimal cut-point for prediction of 24-month stent patency (area under the ROC curve 0.764). Kaplan-Meier estimates of 24-month primary patency were 83.7% (95% CI 78.3% to 89.2%) in lesions with a distal EEM area >29.0 mm2 vs 53.1% (95% CI 42.9% to 63.3%) in those with a distal EEM area ≤29.0 mm2 (p<0.001). Conclusion: In FP lesions with a larger distal vessel area estimated with IVUS, stent implantation can be considered as a reasonable treatment option, with the likelihood of acceptable midterm results.
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