Investigations on the applicability of machine learning algorithms to optimize biodiesel composition for improved engine fuel properties

Abstract

Selecting suitable biodiesel for the intended application is challenging due to the significant variations in the feedstock for producing biodiesel. The available models to predict biodiesel properties have limited applicability and reliability. The present work addresses these two challenges by developing reliable models based on machine learning algorithms for predicting engine fuel properties of biodiesel and optimizing biodiesel composition for better fuel properties. The models are developed using multilinear regression (MLR), artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machine regression with grid search (SVMGS), Bayesian optimization (SVMBO) and grey-wolf optimization (SVMGWO) for hyperparameter tuning, Gaussian process regression (GPR), random forest (RF), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) algorithms. The models are trained to predict viscosity, cetane number, and calorific value from 13 methyl ester constituents of 70 biodiesels. SVMGS models predicted the viscosity, cetane number, and calorific value of 33 validation samples with a mean absolute percentage error of 1.54%, 1%, and 0.43%. Biodiesel composition was optimized to minimize viscosity and maximize cetane number and calorific value. The optimized composition exhibits 3.72 cSt viscosity, 57 cetane number, and 43 MJ/kg calorific value, which can be prepared by blending 68% ± 1% camelina and 32% ± 1% coconut oil. Applying machine learning algorithms to predict biodiesel properties yielded more accurate predictions than available models. It helped find the optimal composition for improved engine characteristics.