The purpose of this study was to develop, test and evaluate simple math
ematical time series forecasting models to predict covers in a commercial
foodservice environment. Total covers were selected as the focus of this research
because they have been identified as the most common forecast numbers for food
sales forecasts within hotel food and beverage operations (Schmidgall, 1989).KeyWords:Forecasting, foodservice, mathematical (time series) models, hospitality
management.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
Armstrong, J.S. (1986). Research on forecasting: A quarter-century review, 1960-1984. Interfaces, 16, 77-89.
2.
Chandler, S.S., Norton, L.C., Hoover, L.W., & Moore, A.N. (1982). Analysis of meal census patterns for forecasting menu item demand. Journal of the American Dietetic Association , 80(4), 317-323.
3.
Cullen, K.O., Hoover, L.W., & Moore, A.N. (1978). Menu item forecasting in hospital foodservice . Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 73(12), 640-646.
4.
Georgoff, D.M. & Murdick, R.G. (1986). Manager's guide to forecasting. Harvard Business Review, 64(1), 110-120.
5.
Lapin, L.L., (1988). QuickQuant, version 1.2 [Computer program]San Francisco: Microsoft Corp.
6.
Lawrence, M.J., Edmundson, R.H., & O'Connor, M.J. (1983). An exploration of some practical issues in the use of quantitative forecasting models. Journal of Forecasting, 2, 169-179.
7.
Lotus 1-2-3. (1989). Version 2.2 [Computer program]. Cambridge, MA: Lotus Development Corp.
8.
Messersmith, A.M., Moore, A.N., & Hoover, L.W. (1978). A multi-echelon menu item forecasting system for hospitals. Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 72(5), 509-515.
9.
Miller, J.L. (in press). Forecasting in foodservice: Surveys in three types of operations . NACUFS Journal.
10.
Miller, J.L., and Repko, C.J. (1990). Forecasting in commercial foodservice. Hospitality Research Journal, 14(2), 583-584.
11.
Miller, J.L., Thompson, P.A., & Orabella, M.M. (1991). Forecasting in foodservice: Model development testing and evaluation. Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 91(5).
12.
Miller, J.L., McCahon, C.S., & Bloss, B.K. (1991). Food production forecasting with simple time series models. Hospitality Research Journal, 14(3), 9-22.
13.
Repko, C.J., & Miller, J.L. (1990). Survey of foodservice production forecasting. Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 90(8), 1067-1071.
14.
Schmidgall, R.S. (1989). While forecasts hit targets, GMs still seek better guns. Lodging, 15(3), 101-106.
15.
Small Business Administration. (1986). Forecasting: An effective tool to improve decision making. Small Business Report11(8), 71-75.
