Alt, J.E.1985. "Political Parties, World Demand, and Unemployment: Domestic and International Sources of Economic Activity." American Political Science Review79: 1016-40.
2.
Bloom, H.S., and H.D. Price.1975. "Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: The Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession." American Political Science Review69: 1240-54.
3.
Box, G.E.P., and G.M. Jenkins.1976. Time Series Analysis. San Francisco: Holden-Day.
4.
Box, G.E.P., and G.C. Tiao.1975. "Intervention Analysis with Applications to Economic and Environmental Problems." Journal of the American Statistical Association70: 70-79.
5.
Campbell, A., P.E. Converse, W.E. Miller, and D.E. Stokes.1960. The American Voter. New York: Wiley.
6.
Chrystal, K.A., and J.E. Alt.1981. "Some Problems in Formulating and Testing a Politico-Economic Model of the United Kingdom." Economic Journal91: 730-66.
7.
Claggett, W.1986. "A Reexamination of the Asymmetry Hypothesis: Economic Expansions, Contractions, and Congressional Elections." Western Political Quarterly39: 623-33.
8.
Clarke, H., M. Stewart, and G. Zuk.1986. "Politics, Economics, and Party Popularity in Britain, 1979-83." Electoral Studies5: 243-53.
9.
Fiske, S.T. and S.E. Taylor.1984. Social Cognition. Reading, MA, and Menlo Park, CA: Addison-Wesley.
10.
Frey, B.S., and H. Garbers.1971. "Politico—Econometrics—On Estimation in Political Economy." Political Studies19: 316-20.
11.
Frey, B.S., and F. Schneider.1981. "A Politico-Economic Model of the UK ." Economic Journal88: 123-41.
12.
Goodhart, C.A.E., and R.J. Bhansali.1970. "Political Economy."Political Studies18: 43-106.
13.
Headrick, B.1987. "The Effects of Unemployment and Inflation on British Party Popularity." Paper presented at the 1987 meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois.
14.
Hibbs, D.A. Jr. 1974. "Problems of Statistical Estimation and Causal Inference in Time-Series Regression Models" In H. Costner, ed., Sociological Methodology, 1973-1974. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
15.
Hibbs, D.A. Jr, with R.D. Rivers and N. Vasilators.1982. "On the Demand for Political Outcomes: Macroeconomic Performance and Mass Political Support in the United States, Great Britain, and Germany." Journal of Politics44: 426-61.
16.
Kernell, S.1977. "Presidential Popularity and Negative Voting: An Alternative Explanation of the Midterm Congressional Decline of the President's Party ." American Political Secience Review71: 44-66.
17.
Lanoue, D.J.1987. "Economic Prosperity and Presidential Popularity: Sorting Out the Effects." Western Political Quarterly40: 237-45.
18.
—. 1988. From Camelot to the Teflon President: Economics and Presidential Popularity Since 1960. Westport, CT: Greenwood Press.
19.
Lau, R.R.1985. "Two Explanations for Negativity Effect in Political Behavior ." American Journal of Political Science29: 119-38.
20.
McKuen, M.B., R.S. Erikson, and J.A. Stimson.1989. "Macro-partisanship." American Political Science Review83: 1125-42.
21.
Miller, W.L., and M. Mackie.1974. "The Electoral Cycle and the Asymmetry of Government and Opposition Popularity: An Alternative Model of the Relationship Between Economic Conditions and Political Popularity." Political Studies21: 263-79.
22.
Mishler, E., M. Hoskin, and R. Fitzgerald.1986. "British Parties in the Balance: A Time Series Analysis of Long-Term Trends in Public Support for Major Parties " Paper presented at the 1986 meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C.
23.
Monroe, K.R., 1984. Presidential Popularity and the Economy. New York and London: Praeger .
24.
Mosley, P.1978. "Images of the 'Floating Voter': Or, the 'Political Business Cycle' Revistited." Political Studies26: 375-94.
25.
Mueller, J.E.1970. "Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson ." American Political Science Review64: 18-34.
26.
—. 1973. War, Presidents, and Public Opinin. New York and London: Wiley.
27.
Norpoth, H.1984. "Economics, Politics, and the Cycle of Presidential Popularity ." Political Behavior6: 253-73.
28.
—. 1987a. "The Falklands War and Government Popularity in Britain: Rally Without Consequence or Surge Without Decline?" Electoral Studies6: 3-16.
29.
—. 1987b. "Guns and Butter and Government Popularity in Britain ." American Political Science Review81: 949-59.
30.
Norpoth H. and T. Yantek.1983. "Macroeconomic Conditions and Fluctuations in Presidential Popularity: The Question of Lagged Effects." American Journal of Political Science27: 785-807.
31.
Ostrom, C. W. Jr., and D.M. Simon.1985. "Promise and Performance: A Dynamic Model of Presidential Popularity." American Political Science Review79: 334-58.
32.
Richardson, J.J., and J. Moon.1984. "The Politics of Unemployment in Britain ." Political Quarterly55: 29-37.
33.
Sanders, D., H. Ward, and D. Marsh (with T. Fletcher). 1987. "Government Popularity and the Falklands War: A Reassessment ." British Journal of Political Science17: 281-313.
34.
Stimson, J.A.1976. "Public Support for American Presidents: A Cyclical Model ." Public Opinion Quarterly40: 1-21.
35.
Whiteley, P.1984a. "Perceptions of Economic Performance and Voting Behavior in the 1983 General Election in Britain." Political Behavior6: 395-410.
36.
—. 1984b. "Inflation, Unemployment, and Government Popularity: A Dynamic Model for the United States, Britain, and West Germany." Electoral Studies3: 3-24.
