Determinants of Foreign Institutional Investment in India: An Empirical Analysis

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to explore the determinants of foreign institutional investments (FIIs) in India through the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Using quarterly time series data, the empirical analysis was carried out for the period January 2004 to December 2011. Our study shows that exchange rate has significant negative impact on FII inflows both in the short run and long run, implying that depreciation of currency adversely affects the FII flows into India. Moreover, the Indian equity market returns has negative short-run and positive long-run effects on FII inflows to India. This confirms the evidence of positive and negative feedback trading hypothesis in the short run and long run, respectively. The US equity market returns have positive and significant influence on FII flows in the long run but positive and insignificant influence on FII flows in the short run. The risks associated with US equity market encourage foreign institutional investors to invest more in the Indian equity markets. Furthermore, domestic inflation exerts negative and positive significant influence on FII flows in the long run and short run, respectively. It can be concluded that FII inflows to India are essentially determined by exchange rate, domestic inflation, domestic equity market returns, returns and risk associated with US equity market.

Keywords

FII inflows equity market returns exchange rate inflation ARDL-UECM cointegration

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