Future of information retrieval systems and the role of library and information science experts in their development

Abstract

Many organizations and businesses are using futurology to keep pace with the ever-increasing changes in the world, as the businesses and organizations need to be updated to achieve organizational and business growth and development. A review of the previous studies has shown that no systematic research has been already conducted on the future of information retrieval systems and the role of library and information science experts in the future of such systems. Therefore, a qualitative study was conducted by reviewing resources, consulting experts, doing interaction analysis, and writing scenarios. The results demonstrated 13 key factors affecting the future of information retrieval systems in the form of two driving forces of social determinism and technological determinism, and four scenarios of Canopus star, Ursa major, Ursa minor, and single star. The results also showed the dominance of technology and social demand and its very important role in the future of information retrieval systems.

Keywords

Experts futurology information retrieval systems Library and Information Science (LIS)scenario writing

Get full access to this article

View all access options for this article.

References

Aguilar

(1967) Scanning the Business Environment. New York, NY: Macmillan.

Arcade

Godet

Meunier

, et al. (1999) Structural analysis with the MICMAC method & Actor’s strategy with MACTOR method. Futures Research Methodology, American Council for the United Nations University: The Millennium Project, 2010.

Craig

Campbell

(2005) Organisations and the Business Environment. London: Routledge.

Dafoe

(2015) On technological determinism: A typology, scope conditions, and a mechanism. Science Technology & Human Values 40: 1047–1076.

Dator

(1998) Introduction: The future lies behind! Thirty years of teaching futures studies. American Behavioral Scientist 42(3): 298–319.

Dridi

(2008) Ontology-based information retrieval: Overview and new proposition. In: 2008 second international conference on research challenges in information science, Marrakech, Morocco, 3–6 June, pp.421–426. New York: IEEE.

Ferkiss

(1985) Technological Determinism. Encyclopedia of the Future. New York, NY: Simon & Schuster and Prentice Hall International.

Giesecke

(1998) Scenario Planning for Libraries. Chicago: American Library Association.

Godet

(1994) From Anticipation to Action: A Handbook of Strategic Prospective. Paris: UNESCO Publishing.

10.

Godet

Durance

Gerber

(2008) Strategic foresight: use and misuse of scenario building. Work Paper, Laboratoire d’Innovation de Prospective Stratégique et d’Organisation, Paris.

11.

Gordon

(2009) Cross-impact analysis, In: Glenn

Gordon

(eds), Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0. Washington, DC: The Millennium Project.

12.

Jansen

Spink

Saracevic

(2000) Real life, real users, and real needs: A study and analysis of user queries on the web. Information Processing & Management 36(2): 207–227.

13.

King

(1998) Scenario planning: Powerful tools for thinking of alternatives. In: Giesecke

(ed.), Scenario Planning for Libraries. Chicago: American Library Association.

14.

Kuosa

(2014) Towards Strategic Intelligence: Foresight, Intelligence, and Policy-Making. Vantaa: Dynamic Futures.

15.

Lewandowski

(2005) Web searching, search engines and information retrieval. Information Services & Use 25: 137–147.

16.

Martin

Leurent

(2017) Technology and Innovation for the Future of Production: Accelerating Value Creation. Geneva: World Economic Forum.

17.

Meadow

(2013) Information retrieval—A view of its past, present, and future. Proceedings of the annual conference of CAIS/Actes du congrès annuel de l’ACSI. Available at: https://doi.org/10.29173/cais457

18.

Mietzner

Reger

(2005) Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight. International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning 1: 220–239.

19.

Patil

Dutta

Sriram

(2005) Ontology-based exchange of product data semantics. IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering 2: 213–225.

20.

Rangel

Keller

(2011) Essentialism goes social: Belief in social determinism as a component of psychological essentialism. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 100(6): 1056–1078.

21.

Schlecht

Schneider

Buchwald

(2021) The prospective value creation potential of Blockchain in business models: A Delphi study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 166: 120601.

22.

Schwarz

(1991) The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. New York, NY: Currency Doubleday.

23.

Singhal

(2008) Web search: Challenges and directions. In: Macdonald

Ounis

Plachouras

, et al. (eds) European Conference on Information Retrieval. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, p.2.

24.

Van’t Klooster

van Asselt

MBA

(2006) Practising the scenario-axes technique. Futures 38: 15–30.